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Montenegro vs Wales Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Steve Ashfield in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Wales travel to Montenegro for this Nations League match. Both sides are still waiting for their first win in this League B group that also includes Iceland and Turkey. Read on for our match prediction.
The Welsh side began life under new coach Craig Bellamy with a goalless home draw against Turkey. After this match, they travel to group leaders Iceland so will hope to return home with some points.
They are second in the table above Turkey but only because they have fewer disciplinary points. Staying second would take them into the promotion play-offs. The last Nations League saw them relegated from League A.
Their big problem at present is scoring goals with no goals scored in their last four matches, even against Gibraltar. That led to a change in coach and they put in a promising display against Turkey on Friday.
Montenegro began the Nations League in the third-tier but won promotion to League B in 2020-21. They won two of their six matches in League B in the 2022-23 tournament but lost their opening game this time around 2-0 in Iceland.
That was their third successive defeat after losses in Belgium and at home to Georgia. They'd won four straight home games before being beaten by Georgia but against opponents such as Lebanon and Lithuania.
Four of their last five games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. We believe that stat will come up again in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Montenegro v Wales Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.4 | 2.25 | 2.62 |
|
|
3.21 | 3.37 | 2.43 |
|
|
3.21 | 3.37 | 2.43 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.2 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.78 | 3.03 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.78 | 3.03 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.2 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.11 | 3.26 | 2.35 |
|
|
3 | 3.35 | 2.43 |
|
|
3.7 | 2.88 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.88 | 3.16 | 2.17 |
|
|
4 | 3 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.15 | 2.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Montenegro and Wales?
Our prediction for the Montenegro vs Wales match is: Under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2024 between Montenegro and Wales in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.34% for a win of Montenegro against Wales with odds of 4 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Montenegro vs Wales is 32.92% with odds of 3.37 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Wales vs Montenegro with odds of 2.62 at Ladbrokes.
Montenegro - Wales Prediction and Best Odds:
| Montenegro Wales Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Montenegro wins | 41.34% | 4 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 65.12% | 2.32 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 38.1% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Montenegro/Montenegro | 16.53% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Montenegro vs Wales Form
Montenegro and Wales's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
|
4
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 |
Montenegro and Wales Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
17 Jun 2023 - Euro
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
11 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
11 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
25 Mar 2023 - Euro
Montenegro against Wales Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Most goals and assists
Montenegro
Wales
N. Krstovic
(3 Goals)
H. Wilson
(4 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(1 Assists)
,
M. Jankovic
(1 Assists)
,
M. Tuci
(1 Assists)
,
O. Gasevic
(1 Assists)
N. Williams
(2 Assists)
,
L. Cullen
(2 Assists)
Montenegro - Wales Key Points
- Wales have failed to score in their last four matches.
- Four of the last five Montenegro matches have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Three of the last four Wales internationals have ended 0-0 after 90 minutes.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in three of the last five matches Wales have played in the Nations League.
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Our Montenegro vs Wales Prediction
A goalfest is not expected in this match. Wales made a good start under Craig Bellamy with a home goalless draw against Turkey. The wait for the first goal by the Dragons since March continues though.
Montenegro made a poor start to this group with a 2-0 loss to Iceland. Failing to win this game will increase the chances of them being relegated back to League C. Our Montenegro v Wales prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Montenegro Wales
| Montenegro vs Wales | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montenegro wins | 2.8 | 3.7 | +32.1% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.25 | 0% |
| Wales wins | 2.5 | 2.05 | -18.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Montenegro is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 32.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 27.0% (-8.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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