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Monaco vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Steve Ashfield in Ligue 1 Predictions
This is the final match in Ligue 1 before the winter break. Third placed Monaco host league leaders PSG and can move into second if they avoid defeat in this match. The Red and Whites are only behind second placed Marseille on goal difference but seven points adrift of their opponents. Winning this match would see them go into the winter break with their title hopes looking bright. A loss though would leave them ten points adrift of PSG.
The visitors are unbeaten in Ligue 1 this season and would love to go into the winter break with a ten-point lead. The Parisians have won four of their seven away league games but don't have the best of records away to Monaco in recent years. They are unbeaten in their last 31 away league fixtures which is an incredible feat but they won't need reminding their last loss was at Monaco in February 2023. Read our match prediction below.
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The Best Betting Odds for Monaco v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.8 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.8 | 1.91 |
|
|
4 | 4.02 | 1.94 |
|
|
4 | 4.02 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.8 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.88 | 3.9 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.88 | 3.9 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.9 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.88 | 3.86 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.85 | 4 | 1.89 |
|
|
4 | 3.91 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.6 | 4 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.65 | 4 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.9 | 1.87 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.95 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.8 | 1.85 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and PSG?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs PSG match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/12/2024 between Monaco and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.18% for a win of Monaco against PSG with odds of 4 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs PSG is 27.39% with odds of 4.02 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.44% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Monaco with odds of 1.94 at 1xbet.
Monaco vs PSG Form
Monaco and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
37 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 28 |
|
3
|
30 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
Monaco and PSG Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
18 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
Monaco vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2022 - Ligue 1
12 Dec 2021 - Ligue 1
Monaco - PSG: Form Analysis
Monaco are second in Ligue 1 and have won nine of their 15 league games this season. Of those nine victories, five have come at home with only one loss inflicted by Angers on November 11. They've won two home league games since that setback.
Their most recent game saw them draw 0-0 away at Reims. That was their second successive game without scoring after a 3-0 loss at Arsenal in the Champions League. Three of their last four home Ligue 1 games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
Eight home league fixtures have only seen 18 goals scored. Last season's home game against PSG ended in a goalless draw but they have earned ten points from their last four home games against the league champions. Only one of their last five games has been won.
PSG are attempting to go ten points clear at the top.
The league leaders have won 11 of their 15 league matches with the other four ending in draws. The Red and Blues are unbeaten in 17 league matches since losing at home to Toulouse in May. They've gone 31 away games without defeat.
Three of their last five matches have had under 2.5 goals scored in them and that stat has also come up in their last five away league fixtures.
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Monaco vs PSG last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
R. Majecki
DefenderVanderson
MidfielderE. Diop
K. Diatta
D. Zakaria
ForwardF. Balogun
P. Kimpembe
Monaco & PSG Squad Analysis
Monaco will welcome back right-back Vanderson who returns after suspension. Out of this game though is Jordan Teze who is the latest Monaco player to be suspended for getting too many bookings.
Folarin Balogun is likely to miss this match after his shoulder injury flared up again last week. It remains to be seen if Breel Embolo will be recalled to the team after being left out at the weekend. Monaco played five at the back against Reims but may change their formation to 4-2-3-1 for the visit of PSG.
Another good performance from Doue?
Desire Doue put in an impressive performance against Lyon at the weekend with an assist and earning PSG a penalty in the second half. He may again feature in this match at Monaco. Lucas Beraldo replaced Marquinhos for the Lyon game. Maquinhos may make his return on Wednesday. Not so, Randal Kolo Muani who didn't feature in the squad at the weekend and is expected to be on the move next month.
Most goals and assists
Monaco
PSG
E. Ben Seghir
(5 Goals)
B. Barcola
(10 Goals)
M. Akliouche
(5 Assists)
O. Dembélé
(6 Assists)
,
A. Hakimi
(6 Assists)
Monaco and PSG Stats in Ligue 1
Monaco - PSG Key Points
- Eight home Monaco league games have only seen 18 goals scored.
- Three of the last five PSG away league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in three of the last four Monaco home league fixtures.
- Monaco drew 0-0 at home with PSG last season.
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Our Monaco vs PSG Prediction
Can Monaco close the gap on leaders PSG? A win here will see them close to within four points of PSG but defeat would see them go ten points behind the Ligue 1 leaders. The home side have only won one of their last five games and failed to score in the last two.
PSG are still to lose in this season's Ligue 1. They are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions and only conceded six away league goals this season. Our main Monaco v PSG prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Monaco vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions
Draw
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Monaco vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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