France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Monaco vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Steve Ashfield in Ligue 1 Predictions
This is the final match in Ligue 1 before the winter break. Third-placed Monaco host league leaders PSG and can move into second if they avoid defeat in this match. Read our match prediction below.
The Red and Whites are only behind second placed Marseille on goal difference but seven points adrift of their opponents. Winning this match would see them go into the winter break with their title hopes looking bright. A loss though would leave them ten points adrift of PSG.
The visitors are unbeaten in Ligue 1 this season and would love to go into the winter break with a ten-point lead. The Parisians have won four of their seven away league games but don't have the best of records away to Monaco in recent years. They are unbeaten in their last 31 away league fixtures which is an incredible feat but they won't need reminding their last loss was at Monaco in February 2023.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Monaco v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.5 | 3.9 | 1.73 |
|
|
4 | 4 | 1.8 |
|
|
3.8 | 2.7 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.45 | 4 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.45 | 4 | 1.8 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.9 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.86 | 3.88 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.86 | 3.88 | 1.86 |
|
|
4.4 | 4.1 | 1.79 |
|
|
4.18 | 3.92 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.5 | 4.2 | 1.76 |
|
|
4 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.25 | 3.95 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.33 | 3.8 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.4 | 4.1 | 1.79 |
|
|
4 | 4 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.8 | 1.83 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and PSG?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs PSG match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/12/2024 between Monaco and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.82% for a win of Monaco against PSG with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs PSG is 27.39% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.78% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Monaco with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
Monaco - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Monaco PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 43.78% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.78% | 1.67 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 45% | |
| Half-time : Monaco / Full-time : PSG | 16.26% | 23 at Betsson |
Monaco vs PSG Form
Monaco and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
46 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 32 |
|
4
|
31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Monaco and PSG Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
18 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
Monaco vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2022 - Ligue 1
12 Dec 2021 - Ligue 1
Monaco - PSG: Form Analysis
Monaco are second in Ligue 1 and have won nine of their 15 league games this season. Of those nine victories, five have come at home with only one loss inflicted by Angers on November 11. They've won two home league games since that setback.
Their most recent game saw them draw 0-0 away at Reims. That was their second successive game without scoring after a 3-0 loss at Arsenal in the Champions League. Three of their last four home Ligue 1 games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
Eight home league fixtures have only seen 18 goals scored. Last season's home game against PSG ended in a goalless draw but they have earned ten points from their last four home games against the league champions. Only one of their last five games has been won.
PSG are attempting to go ten points clear at the top.
The league leaders have won 11 of their 15 league matches with the other four ending in draws. The Red and Blues are unbeaten in 17 league matches since losing at home to Toulouse in May. They've gone 31 away games without defeat.
Three of their last five matches have had under 2.5 goals scored in them and that stat has also come up in their last five away league fixtures.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Players list
P. Kohn
DefenderVanderson
T. Kehrer
G. Ilenikhena
W. Singo
S. Magassa
MidfielderT. Minamino
M. Akliouche
E. Matazo
ForwardE. Ben Seghir
B. Embolo
M. Safonov
DefenderA. Hakimi
Marquinhos
W. Pacho
MidfielderW. Zaire-Emery
F. Ruiz
L. Hernandez
Vitinha
ForwardL. Kang-in
O. Dembele
G. Ramos
Substitutes
Y. Lienard
DefenderB. Kiwa
K. Ouattara
C. Henrique
MidfielderE. Matazo
T. Minamino
S. Bouabre
ForwardL. Michal
G. Ilenikhena
M. Safonov
L. Hernandez
M. Skriniar
Y. Zague
Beraldo
MidfielderS. Mayulu
L. Kang-in
M. Asensio
G. Ramos
Missing players
D. Zakaria
ForwardF. Balogun
I. Mbaye
Monaco & PSG Squad Analysis
Monaco will welcome back right-back Vanderson who returns after suspension. Out of this game though is Jordan Teze who is the latest Monaco player to be suspended for getting too many bookings.
Folarin Balogun is likely to miss this match after his shoulder injury flared up again last week. It remains to be seen if Breel Embolo will be recalled to the team after being left out at the weekend. Monaco played five at the back against Reims but may change their formation to 4-2-3-1 for the visit of PSG.
Another good performance from Doue?
Desire Doue put in an impressive performance against Lyon at the weekend with an assist and earning PSG a penalty in the second half. He may again feature in this match at Monaco. Lucas Beraldo replaced Marquinhos for the Lyon game. Marquinhos may make his return on Wednesday. Not so, Randal Kolo Muani who didn't feature in the squad at the weekend and is expected to be on the move next month.
Most goals and assists
Monaco
PSG
E. Ben Seghir
(6 Goals)
B. Barcola
(11 Goals)
M. Akliouche
(6 Assists)
A. Hakimi
(7 Assists)
Monaco - PSG Key Points
- Eight home Monaco league games have only seen 18 goals scored.
- Three of the last five PSG away league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in three of the last four Monaco home league fixtures.
- Monaco drew 0-0 at home with PSG last season.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Monaco vs PSG Prediction
Can Monaco close the gap on leaders PSG? A win here will see them close to within four points of PSG but defeat would see them go ten points behind the Ligue 1 leaders. The home side have only won one of their last five games and failed to score in the last two.
PSG are still to lose in this season's Ligue 1. They are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions and only conceded six away league goals this season. Our main Monaco v PSG prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Monaco vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions
Draw
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Monaco PSG
| Monaco vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 3 | 4.5 | +50.0% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.9 | +5.4% |
| PSG wins | 2.15 | 1.73 | -19.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 19.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 57.8% (11.3%)
Bet £10 and Get £30 in Free Bets when you join William Hill
New customers who register with the William Hill site can benefit from an exciting Free Bet Welcome Offer of up to £30! All you have to do to be eligible for this offer is create a new account, and place your first deposit at the site using one of the accepted payment methods. The promo code R30 has to be used. You can then proceed to place your first bet to qualify for this offer, which must be of minimum stake £10 and minimum odds 1/2. You receive three £10 free bets when the qualifying bet has been settled. Full details and terms of this offer apply, and can be found at the William Hill site - register now to find out more!
Monaco vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
