France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Even though the Ligue 1 title race is already settled, there’s still a lot to play for as Monaco and Marseille clash. There are still six rounds to go and in the 29th, Monaco will be at home to Marseille. Read on for our prediction of the match.
In losing 2-1 at Brest last week, Monaco dropped one place to third. A win will see them return to position two but they’ve failed to beat Marseille in the last two meetings.
They lost 2-1 in the reverse fixture and hope to replicate the result in their last home match against Marseille. While their four-match unbeaten run was halted, Monaco are on five straight wins at home in Ligue 1.
In their most recent outing, Marseille brought to an end their own winless run. They beat Toulouse 3-2, officially halting a three-match losing streak. In their last three matches, the visitors conceded at least two goals.
That will give them jitters, having lost 3-2 in their last visit to Monaco. Three is the constant number coming into this game; in each of their last three away matches, Marseille conceded three times.
This is definitely a run they will want to stop as they seek to hold on to their two-point advantage.
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The Best Betting Odds for Monaco v Marseille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.86 | 4 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.75 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.2 | 2.8 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.95 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.95 | 4.08 | 3.67 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Marseille match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2025 between Monaco and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.71% for a win of Monaco against Marseille with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Marseille is 10.6% with odds of 4.2 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Monaco with odds of 3.67 at 1xbet.
Monaco - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Monaco Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 59.71% | 2.2 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.19% | 1.48 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | 1.5 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time : Monaco/Monaco | 26.91% | 3.25 at Betfair |
Monaco vs Marseille Form
Monaco and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
53 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 22 |
|
3
|
52 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 16 |
Monaco and Marseille Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
Monaco vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
13 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1
6 Mar 2022 - Ligue 1
Monaco against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
K. Ouattara
C. Mawissa
J. Teze
L. Balerdi
L. Felipe
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Marseille
M. Biereth
(12 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(16 Goals)
M. Akliouche
(10 Assists)
A. Gouiri
(5 Assists)
Monaco - Marseille Key Points
- Marseille conceded three times in each of their last three away matches.
- Monaco scored 19 times in their last five Ligue 1 matches at home.
- Each of Marseille’s last three matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- 16 goals were netted in Marseille’s last five Ligue 1 matches.
- Monaco’s last five Ligue 1 matches produced 13 goals.
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Our Monaco vs Marseille Prediction
These two sides are involved in a congested race for the automatic Champions League positions. After PSG, they are among the best scoring sides but they haven't been very solid in defence. Coming into this game, these two have been in really high-scoring games and we could see the same in their Saturday meet-up.
Each of their last three meetings also produced three or more goals. At home, Monaco netted 19 times in just their last five league matches while Marseille conceded nine in the last three away. Our prediction for Monaco v Marseille is for over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Monaco Marseille
| Monaco vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 2 | 1.86 | -7.0% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4 | +5.3% |
| Marseille wins | 3.4 | 3.6 | +5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Monaco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 53.8% (3.8%)
Use the Monaco vs. Marseille game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
Are you looking to use the match between Monaco and Marseille in an upcoming accumulator bet? If so, you'll want to join Vbet to place that acca. There is an odds bonus of up to 100% when you place accumulators which contain at least three selections that are all odds of 1.3 or bigger. Look at the other games in the Ligue 1 and start to build those accas!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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