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Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
Monaco will be hoping to make the most of their home advantage when they play host to Benfica at Stade Louis-II in the Champions League knockout round play-offs on Wednesday night. As Aguias and Les Rouge et Blanc ended the League Phase tied on 13 points and in 16th and 17th place in the standings respectively. The winner of this tie will earn a round of 16 matchup against either Liverpool or Barcelona. Check out our match prediction below!
This is the fourth time that these two will face off in European competition, and Benfica are unbeaten across that period, winning two and drawing one of the three meetings to date. Monaco have failed to score in two of their three matches against this opponent, but they did net twice when these sides met in this season’s competition, albeit they lost the match 3-2.
Despite winning the encounter in the League Phase, Benfica are installed as outsiders in this one. If they can maintain their unbeaten record against Monaco, it will put them in the driver's seat to qualify for the last 16 when they head back home for the second leg.
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The Best Betting Odds for Monaco v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 3 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.6 | 3 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.83 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.83 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.6 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.7 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.7 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.65 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.7 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.65 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.75 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.69 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/02/2025 between Monaco and Benfica Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.94% for a win of Monaco against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon is 10.17% with odds of 3.83 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Monaco with odds of 3.05 at Betsson.
Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Monaco and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
10 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Trophée des Champions
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
Monaco - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
Monaco kicked off their Champions League campaign in the best way possible, beating Barcelona 2-1 in their opening fixture before drawing with Dinamo Zagreb in round two.
Back-to-back wins over Red Star Belgrade and Bologna followed, but they struggled to keep their momentum going and lost three of their last four League Phase games to finish on 13 points.
Notably, Les Rouge et Blanc conceded three or more goals in each of those defeats, while they only allowed four goals in the remaining six matches in the competition.
Benfica beat Monaco 3-2 on matchday five of this season’s Champions League!
Meanwhile, Benfica booked their place in the playoffs with a very impressive 2-0 win over Juventus on matchday eight, bouncing back from that incredible 5-4 loss to Barcelona a week earlier.
Both these sides had identical records during the League Phase (W4 D1 L3), but Benfica had a better goal difference of four having scored two or more goals in three of their final four games.
Notably, the Eagles performed better on the road than at home during the group stage with three wins in four, with the exception being a 1-0 loss to Bundesliga giants Bayern Munich.
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Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
W. Singo
J. Teze
MidfielderE. Diop
A. Golovin
ForwardF. Balogun
G. Ilenikhena
Monaco & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
Christian Mawissa was sent off just 12 minutes into Monaco’s loss to Inter Milan in their final League Phase game, and the French defender will be suspended for this match.
Folarin Balogun (shoulder) and Wilfried Singo (hamstring) are both ruled out due to injury, while George Ilenikhena (groin) and Lamine Camara (knee) are flagged as major doubts.
Benfica’s Vangelis Pavlidis has scored five goals in his last three Champions League games!
The Eagles were handed two devastating injury blows over the past weekend, with Alexander Bah and Manu Silva both sustaining ACL injuries within three minutes of each other.
Both players were stretched off the field and are likely to miss out the rest of the season.
The visitors are also sweating over the fitness of Angel Di Maria and Arthur Cabral, both of whom sat out the victory over Moreirense, while Renato Sanches is sidelined until next month with a thigh injury.
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Benfica Lisbon
E. Ben Seghir
(6 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(14 Goals)
M. Akliouche
(6 Assists)
V. Pavlidis
(7 Assists)
, 
A. Di Maria
(7 Assists)
Monaco and Benfica Lisbon Stats in Champions League
Monaco - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Seven of Monaco’s last 10 games across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Three of Monaco’s four home matches in the Champions League have ended with both teams scoring.
- Benfica scored two or more goals in three of their four away games in the Champions League.
- Seven of Benfica’s last 10 games across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams scored when these sides met on matchday five.
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Our Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Monaco will know the importance of getting a result in this match, but they have not been great in defence lately. They have managed only one clean sheet in their last 10 matches across all competitions, while conceding two or more in their last four.
Benfica, on the other hand, have only kept one clean sheet in their last nine matches, but have scored two or more in four of their last five. A total of five goals were scored when these two met earlier in the competition and we are expecting a few more to hit the back of the net in this one. Our Monaco vs Benfica prediction is both teams to score.
Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 & BTTS
Six of Monaco’s eight games in this competition have ended with over 2.5 goals, while five of Benfica’s Champions League games saw three or more goals strike the back of the net. Additionally, both teams scored in the five-goal thriller between these sides earlier in the competition.
Use the Monaco vs. Benfica Lisbon game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League knockout phase play-off first leg between Monaco and Benfica will be played on February 12 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League knockout phase play-off first leg between Monaco and Benfica will take place at Stade Louis-II in Monaco.
The Champions League knockout phase play-off first leg between Monaco and Benfica will be broadcast live on TNT Sports.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the actions using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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