Europe - Champions League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
High-flying Monaco will be out to protect their unbeaten UEFA Champions League record on Wednesday night when they play host to Benfica at Stade Louis-II. Les Rouge et Blanc are in third place in the League Phase standings while As Aguias are 19th after the first four rounds of the competition. Let’s get into the match prediction.
This is the third time that these two sides will meet in the Champions League, with both previous encounters coming back in the 2014-15 campaign during the group stage. Benfica won one of those matches (at home) and the other ended level, while Monaco failed to score in either of those games. However, Benfica have never beaten French opposition on the road in Europe’s top-tier club competition (W0 D3 L5).
The hosts are showing up as the favourites at the books in this one, but not by a very big margin, suggesting that an evenly balanced matchup is expected here. Let’s get into the key stats.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Monaco v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.7 | 2.96 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.7 | 2.96 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.7 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.65 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.68 | 2.98 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.7 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.7 | 2.98 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 3 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.69 | 2.97 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.6 | 3 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Monaco Draw No Bet!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/11/2024 between Monaco and Benfica Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.43% for a win of Monaco against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.39 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon is 17.05% with odds of 3.7 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Monaco with odds of 3.05 at Betobet.
Monaco - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Monaco Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 42.52% | 3.05 at Betobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.14% | 1.85 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Benfica Lisbon | 20.31% | 7.5 at Betfair |
Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Monaco and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|
16
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Monaco and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
1 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
18 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Oct 2024 - League Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Oct 2024 - League Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
6 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
Monaco - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
Monaco are enjoying a very impressive 2024-25 season and enter matchday five of this competition as one of only six sides yet to suffer defeat in the new-look Champions League.
Les Monegasques notched up their third win in this competition last time out, beating Bologna 1-0, while they’ve only dropped points in one match which ended in a 2-2 draw away to Dinamo Zagreb.
The hosts are also having an excellent domestic league campaign, currently in second place in Ligue 1 after 12 matches, six points behind perennial champions Paris Saint-Germain.
Monaco have scored more goals in this competition (10) than their last 14 Champions League matches combined!
Meanwhile, Benfica made the perfect start to their Champions League campaign, posting victories in their first two matches against Red Star Belgrade (2-1) and Atletico Madrid (4-0).
However, they were unable to sustain their good form, losing their next two 3-1 at home to Feyenoord and 1-0 on the road against Bayern Munich in rounds three and four.
Those defeats were the only ones the Eagles have conceded in their last 16 matches across all competitions though, while 13 of the remaining 14 games in that period ended in victory and one match finished in a 1-1 draw.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Monaco against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Monaco & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
Monaco are likely to be missing at least three players for this week’s fixture, including Edan Diop (foot) and Folarin Balogun (shoulder), who are slated to remain on the sidelines until next month.
Senegal international Krepin Diatta missed the weekend’s Ligue 1 home fixture against Brest due to a muscle injury, and he is facing at least a further couple of weeks on the treatment table.
Akliouche has scored twice for Monaco in the Champions League and netted a brace over the weekend!
Benfica are also likely to be without three players for this trip to France, with Tiago Gouveia definitely ruled out having not featured for the club since sustaining a shoulder injury in August.
Teenager Gianluca Prestianni has now missed the Eagles’ last eight matches with an ankle issue and Renato Sanches is flagged as a doubt after sitting out their domestic cup match with a muscle injury.
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Benfica Lisbon
E. Ben Seghir
(6 Goals)
K. Akturkoglu
(9 Goals)
M. Akliouche
(6 Assists)
A. Di Maria
(6 Assists)
Monaco - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Monaco are unbeaten in this season’s Champions League.
- Monaco have scored two or more goals in three of their four matches in this competition.
- Monaco have only lost one of their nine home games across all competitions this season.
- Monaco are on a three-match winning streak across all competitions.
- Benfica have lost their last two matches in the Champions League.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
After making an impressive start to their Champions League campaign, Benfica are now looking to avoid a third straight defeat and have to do so facing a side that are yet to lose in this competition.
Monaco have been one of the surprise packages in the new-look Champions League and have already claimed one huge scalp in beating Barcelona in this competition. We fancy the hosts to win this one, but with favourable odds available, we will opt for the safety of our money back on the draw. Our Monaco vs Benfica prediction: Monaco Draw No Bet!
Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Three of Monaco’s four games in this competition have ended with both teams scoring, while Benfica have scored two or more goals in four of their last five matches on the road.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Monaco Benfica Lisbon
| Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.5% and is now 34.5% (0.0%)
Get £20 as a free bet if your bet on Monaco vs. Benfica Lisbon loses.
No bettor enjoys making a losing prediction but if you join Betway today and your first bet on the game between Monaco and Benfica Lisbon is a losing bet, Betway will give you your cash back, up to £20! Make sure that your bet on this game is at a price of 3.0 (2/1) or bigger to qualify for the special offer.
Monaco vs Benfica Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Champions League match between Monaco and Benfica will be played on November 27 at 20:00 GMT.
The UEFA Champions League match between Monaco and Benfica will take place at Stadion Stade Louis-II in Monaco.
The UEFA Champions League match between Monaco and Benfica will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Rade Obrenovic will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Jure Praprotnik, Grega Kordez and David Smajc as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
