World - World Cup
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by Steve Ashfield in World Cup Predictions
Both Moldova and Norway won promotion in the 2024/25 Nations League. Now they turn their attention to the 2026 World Cup with Moldova the hosts in this opening group match. Can the Tricolours begin with a home win? Here's our match prediction.
This is a match in Group I which also includes Israel, Estonia and the loser of the Germany v Italy Nations League quarter-final. Moldova won promotion from League D but that was against San Marino, Andorra and Malta. Needless to say, this is going to be a lot tougher for them.
Moldova have lost their last nine World Cup qualifiers with just three points earned from their last 20 matches. Their last win was against Montenegro in 2013 with a home victory over San Marino earlier that year.
Norway won promotion from League A thanks to plenty of goals from Erling Haaland. He scored a hat-trick in their most recent 5-0 home win over Kazakhstan. They last qualified for the World Cup finals in 1998 with an appearance at the Euros two years later.
Their away form is a slight worry but they did win 4-1 in Slovenia in their most recent match. They have never lost to Moldova with four wins and a draw in their previous meetings.
We tip Norway to win and lead at half and full time.
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The Best Betting Odds for Moldova v Norway Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13 | 5.25 | 1.27 |
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12 | 5.5 | 1.2 |
|
|
11 | 5.5 | 1.28 |
|
|
13 | 6 | 1.25 |
|
|
13 | 6 | 1.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Moldova and Norway?
Our prediction for the Moldova vs Norway match is: Norway to win and lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/03/2025 between Moldova and Norway in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.68% for a win of Moldova against Norway with odds of 13 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Moldova vs Norway is 22.11% with odds of 6 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Norway vs Moldova with odds of 1.3 at Tonybet.
Moldova - Norway Prediction and Best Odds:
| Moldova Norway Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Norway wins | 41.21% | 1.3 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.74% | 1.99 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 47.62% | 2.5 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Norway/Norway | 15.63% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Moldova vs Norway Form
Moldova and Norway Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
Moldova vs Norway last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Moldova - Norway Key Points
- Moldova have only earned three points from their last 20 World Cup qualifiers.
- Moldova have lost their last nine World Cup qualifiers.
- Norway have scored nine goals in their last two matches with Haaland scoring four of them.
- Only the Netherlands have beaten Norway in their last eight World Cup qualifiers.
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Our Moldova vs Norway Prediction
Moldova won promotion in the Nations League but now they take on sides who are far higher than them in the FIFA World rankings. Norway also won promotion and will be playing in League A in the next Nations League.
The home side have never qualified for the World Cup finals and will struggle in this group. Norway haven't made it to the finals this century but should get off to a winning start here. Our Moldova v Norway prediction is Norway to win and lead at half and full time.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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