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by Steve Ashfield in World Cup Predictions
The bottom two in World Cup qualifying group I face each other on Tuesday. Moldova are home to Estonia and both are still looking to earn their first point in the group. Can the Blueshirts get an away win? Here's our match prediction.
Also in this group are Israel and Italy. Saturday did not go well for Moldova as they were beaten 5-0 at home by Norway. That was their tenth consecutive World Cup qualifying defeat. Just three points have come from their last 21 qualifiers and it's 12 years since their last victory.
The Tricolours have had some success in recent months. They won promotion in the Nations League finishing top of their group but against nations such as Andorra and Malta. Back to playing against higher-ranked countries, it's back to their usual struggles.
Estonia also lost their opening match, losing 2-1 in Israel. They did lead in that match but the home side equalized thanks to an Estonian own goal. Israel scored the winner in the second half, condemning Estonia to defeat.
They have gone four games without a win and excluding over time have gone 14 on the road without a victory. We go for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
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The Best Betting Odds for Moldova v Estonia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.1 | 4.5 |
|
|
2 | 3.1 | 4.33 |
|
|
2 | 3.1 | 4.2 |
|
|
2 | 3.18 | 4.41 |
|
|
2 | 3.18 | 4.41 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Moldova and Estonia?
Our prediction for the Moldova vs Estonia match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/03/2025 between Moldova and Estonia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.22% for a win of Moldova against Estonia with odds of 2.1 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Moldova vs Estonia is 20.13% with odds of 3.25 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Estonia vs Moldova with odds of 4.6 at Vbet.
Moldova - Estonia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Moldova Estonia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Moldova wins | 60.22% | 2.1 at Betfair |
| Under 2.5 | 53.24% | 1.98 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 26.19% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Moldova/Moldova | 26.83% | 3.5 at Betfair |
Moldova vs Estonia Form
Moldova and Estonia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
|
5
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 |
Moldova and Estonia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Moldova vs Estonia last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Moldova
Estonia
M. Paskotsi
(1 Goals)
Moldova - Estonia Key Points
- Five previous meetings between these two countries have seen only four goals scored.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in two of the last three Estonia internationals.
- Three of the last five Estonia away games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Before the loss to Norway, Moldova's last six matches had all had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Our Moldova vs Estonia Prediction
This and the return fixture are the best chances these two countries will have of winning matches in this group. Only 28 places separate these two countries in the latest FIFA world rankings. Moldova were totally outgunned by Norway on Saturday, while Estonia lost in Israel.
Previous game between Moldova and Estonia have all been low-scoring affairs.That is again likely to be the case when they meet on Tuesday. Our Moldova v Estonia prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Moldova Estonia
| Moldova vs Estonia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova wins | 2.25 | 1.95 | -13.3% |
| Draw | 3 | 3.1 | +3.3% |
| Estonia wins | 3.5 | 4.5 | +28.6% |
At 1 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Moldova is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 51.3% (6.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Moldova vs. Estonia game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Moldova and Estonia? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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