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Molde vs Legia Warszawa Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
by Kennedy Kechula | in Conference League Predictions
Norwegian side Molde will be at home to host Legia Warsaw at the Aker Stadium this Thursday in the Europa Conference League. The two sides face off in the first leg of the round of 16 and below, we have the preview and two predictions on the possible outcome of this match.
In the quarter-finals a big game against Chelsea or Copenhagen awaits the winner here. Molde finished low in the league phase, only kept in by goal difference. They rose from that with a win on post-match penalties after a 1-1 draw on aggregate with Shamrock Rovers in the knockout round playoffs.
The Norwegians had to overturn a 1-0 deficit on the road in the second leg of that tie to ultimately reach this stage. Legia Warsaw will seek the first leg advantage, knowing their opponents aren’t match-fit after a lengthy winter break. They will also have revenge on the mind, facing the team that eliminated them from Europe last season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Molde v Legia Warszawa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 3.25 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.5 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.46 | 3.32 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.46 | 3.32 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.28 |
|
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2.21 | 3.55 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.55 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.56 | 3.23 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.6 | 3.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Molde and Legia Warszawa?
Our prediction for the Molde vs Legia Warszawa match is: Legia Warszawa wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/03/2025 between Molde and Legia Warszawa in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.33% for a win of Molde against Legia Warszawa with odds of 2.25 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Molde vs Legia Warszawa is 12.29% with odds of 3.6 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Legia Warszawa vs Molde with odds of 3.5 at Betsson.
Molde vs Legia Warszawa Form
Molde and Legia Warszawa Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2025 - Conference League
13 Feb 2025 - Conference League
6 Feb 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Feb 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2025 - Conference League
6 Feb 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Feb 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2025 - Conference League
20 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
7 Dec 2024 - NM Cup
1 Dec 2024 - Eliteserien
10 Nov 2024 - Eliteserien
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
26 Feb 2025 - Polish Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
15 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
8 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
26 Feb 2025 - Polish Cup
15 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
19 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
8 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
8 Dec 2024 - Ekstraklasa
5 Dec 2024 - Polish Cup
1 Dec 2024 - Ekstraklasa
Molde vs Legia Warszawa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Feb 2024 - Conference League
15 Feb 2024 - Conference League
Molde - Legia Warszawa: Form Analysis
Molde have been the dominant side in this fixture and will want to carry the same here. A first leg advantage in such fixtures is always crucial and the Norwegians will hope to shake off their rustiness.
Since December, Molde have played competitively just twice – both of which were in the knockout round playoffs. They actually lost the home leg of the two matches against Shamrock Rovers, but recovered in the return leg.
Though they boast a good record against Legia, Molde finished a massive 16 places below the Polish side in the league phase.
Legia Warsaw haven't won in Europe since November.
Legia Warsaw’s last two Conference League matches ended in defeat but they will be primed for a win here, being that they are the fitter of these two.
While Molde are just coming from winter break, Legia have lived and played through it. The visitors won their last two matches, scoring three times in each of them. However, across their last five outings, Legia only managed one clean sheet.
They also failed to score once in that period. The loss to Djurgarden in December in this competition halted their five-game winning streak.
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Molde vs Legia Warszawa last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Molde & Legia Warszawa Squad Analysis
Frederik Ihler struggled to settle in at Molde in his first season, only netting twice in the league. However, 2025 presents a new opportunity and he will be looking to grab it.
The Dane’s numbers in general, look good in the Europa Conference League where they netted four goals, having only taken seven shots. He has a 1.86 expected goals return. Another player in focus in this game will be Fredrik Gulbrandsen.
He hasn’t scored this season in the Conference League but holds a good run against Legia. In the four meetings between these teams, he scored three times.
Legia will miss at least three players, who are on their injury list.
From a midfield role, Bartosz Kapustka has been the gem in the Legia team. His ability to play both defensive and attacking roles make him stand out in this group of players.
He has 10 goals so far in the season, though only one of those came in the Conference League. His impact in this game will be key and he will be looking to add to the two goals he scored in the last three league matches.
Most goals and assists
Molde
Legia Warszawa
F. Ihler
(4 Goals)
B. Kapustka
(10 Goals)
E. Breivik
(2 Assists)
,
K. Haugen
(2 Assists)
R. Vinagre
(7 Assists)
Molde and Legia Warszawa Stats in Conference League
Molde - Legia Warszawa Key Points
- Molde lost three of their last seven Conference League matches.
- Twice in three home Conference League matches, Molde lost.
- In seven of their last 10 Conference League home matches, Legia won.
- Legia Warsaw have five wins in six away Conference League matches.
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Our Molde vs Legia Warszawa Prediction
Thanks to the Norwegian season going into the winter break, Molde will come into this game a bit rusty. They only broke their break to feature in the playoffs and now they have another tough encounter.
A lack of match-fitness, compared to Legia Warsaw who are actively playing in their league, will not favor Molde. Legia Warsaw have the best opportunity to end Molde’s dominance in this fixture. Our prediction for Molde v Legia Warsaw is that Legia Warszawa wins the match.
Molde vs Legia Warszawa - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Each of Legia Warsaw’s last five matches in the Conference League produced three or more goals. In that period, Legia Warsaw never failed to score. They’ve actually netted three goals three times in the last five Conference League matches.
Molde have also been scoring a lot at home in this competition, three of their last five seeing over 2.5 goals. Our second prediction, based on these numbers, will be for the match to have over 2.5 goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Molde vs. Legia Warszawa game!
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Molde vs Legia Warszawa match : Frequently asked questions
The Molde v Legia Warsaw match is scheduled for Thursday 6th March.
The Molde v Legia Warsaw game will be played at Aker Stadium.
Molde v Legia Warsaw match will be aired live on Viaplay for Norwegian audiences. For Polish viewers the match will be on Polsat. There will also be match updates available on Sportytrader through the Europa Conference League portal.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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