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Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions
There’s a grudge match brewing this weekend in the FA Cup First Round. MK Dons (formerly Wimbledon FC) host AFC Wimbledon, the team founded to replace them at Plough Lane. This is a cup tie that could see even a carefully considered prediction look silly. So, will the host Dons get the better of the visiting Wombles?
They certainly have plenty of incentive to do so after losing 3-0 to AFC Wimbledon earlier in the season. That game however was played at Plough Lane and AFC Wimbledon’s away form is nowhere near as impressive as their home form.
That is borne out by the recent history between the teams which has seen home wins in many recent fixtures. MK Dons also come into this game on the back of a three-game winning streak, which included last weekend’s 3-1 road victory at Grimsby Town. A result which left them eighth in the League Two table.
AFC Wimbledon lie 13th in the table although they have played three games fewer than most of their rivals. Their perfect 5-0-0 home record is the foundation for that but they have lost four of their six games on the road.
That included last weekend's 3-2 defeat away to League One leaders Port Vale.
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The Best Betting Odds for Milton Keynes Dons v AFC Wimbledon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.4 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.44 | 2.79 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.44 | 2.79 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.3 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.58 | 3.03 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.58 | 3.03 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.44 | 2.79 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.55 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.67 | 3.32 | 2.78 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.2 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.3 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.3 | 2.88 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Milton Keynes Dons and AFC Wimbledon?
Our prediction for the Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon match is: MK Dons to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/11/2024 between Milton Keynes Dons and AFC Wimbledon in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.49% for a win of Milton Keynes Dons against AFC Wimbledon with odds of 2.8 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon is 25.72% with odds of 3.58 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.79% chance ⭐ for a win of AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons with odds of 3.03 at Betwinner.
Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Milton Keynes Dons AFC Wimbledon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons wins | 47.49% | 2.8 at Betsson |
| Under 2.5 | 51.98% | 2.03 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Milton Keynes Dons/Milton Keynes Dons | 20.12% | 4.5 at Betsson |
Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon Form
Milton Keynes Dons and AFC Wimbledon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - League Two
22 Oct 2024 - League Two
19 Oct 2024 - League Two
12 Oct 2024 - League Two
8 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
5 Oct 2024 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - League Two
12 Oct 2024 - League Two
8 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
5 Oct 2024 - League Two
21 Sep 2024 - League Two
7 Sep 2024 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - League Two
19 Oct 2024 - League Two
1 Oct 2024 - League Two
28 Sep 2024 - League Two
17 Sep 2024 - EFL Trophy
14 Sep 2024 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
26 Oct 2024 - League Two
22 Oct 2024 - League Two
19 Oct 2024 - League Two
12 Oct 2024 - League Two
8 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
22 Oct 2024 - League Two
12 Oct 2024 - League Two
14 Sep 2024 - League Two
31 Aug 2024 - League Two
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - League Two
19 Oct 2024 - League Two
8 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
5 Oct 2024 - League Two
1 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2024 - League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Sep 2024 - League Two
2 Mar 2024 - League Two
23 Jan 2024 - League Two
Most goals and assists
Milton Keynes Dons
AFC Wimbledon
A. Gilbey
(7 Goals)
M. Stevens
(8 Goals)
J. Reeves
(2 Assists)
Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon Key Points
- MK Dons come into this game having lost just one of their last eight.
- AFC Wimbledon have not won any of their last four away games, losing three.
- MK Dons have won five of the last nine games between the two teams, including three of the last four at home.
- AFC Wimbledon have failed to score in four of their six away games this season.
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Our Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction
Our prediction for the MK Dons vs. AFC Wimbledon FA Cup First Round clash is: MK Dons to win.
These two fierce rivals have met already this season, AFC Wimbledon winning 3-0 at home. But their record in Milton Keynes is very poor and their away form this season is also in sharp contrast to their excellent home form. MK Dons home form is not outstanding, but their recent form is very good and that may well be enough to carry them to the win in this cup tie.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Milton Keynes Dons AFC Wimbledon
| Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons wins | 2.2 | 2.5 | +13.6% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.4 | -5.6% |
| AFC Wimbledon wins | 3 | 2.5 | -16.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Milton Keynes Dons is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 40.0% (-5.5%)
Use £30 free bets for the Milton Keynes Dons vs. AFC Wimbledon game!
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Try your luck on this year's FA Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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