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Millwall vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Kennedy Kechula in Championship Predictions
Having finished in the lower half of the Championship last season, Millwall and Watford start 2024/25 with renewed hope. Millwall, who were 13th, two places ahead of Watford, will play host in this match. Read on for our preview and prediction.
In recent times Millwall have dominated this fixture and will seek to extend the same here. Two straight losses to close their preseason regime will, however, call for some improvement. The Lions were the most in form team in the final five rounds of the Championship last season.
Neill Harris will want to tap on to that run that had Millwall on five straight wins to wrap up 2023/24. Among the teams they defeated were champions Leicester City, and Millwall kept four clean sheets in the five matches. In the last two seasons, Millwall have gone unbeaten in this encounter.
Watford’s quest for a return to the Premier League failed badly last season as they could only manage 13 wins. Finishing 17 points below the playoff positions was clearly an underperformance and this time there are higher targets at Vicarage Road.
Two wins only in their seven off-season friendly matches did little to ease the pressures. Key to Watford’s underwhelming season was the instability in management. A lack of solidity in defence and a poor run away from home remain factors that must be addressed to change fortunes.
The Hornets failed to win any of the last four away league matches, losing the final two. Tom Cleverley injected some energy in the team, though it was a bit late. He will hope to push his charges to do better in the new season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Millwall v Watford Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
351 | 13 | 1.04 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.3 | 3.4 |
|
|
289 | 11 | 1.05 |
|
|
289 | 11 | 1.05 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.15 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.18 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.15 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.22 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and Watford?
Our prediction for the Millwall vs Watford match is: Millwall to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/08/2024 between Millwall and Watford in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.2% for a win of Millwall against Watford with odds of 351 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Millwall vs Watford is 23.44% with odds of 13 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Millwall with odds of 3.4 at Ladbrokes.
Millwall - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Millwall Watford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 50.2% | 351 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 55.29% | 2.11 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Millwall | 25.45% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Millwall vs Watford Form
Millwall and Watford's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
22 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
|
11
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Millwall and Watford Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
9 Apr 2024 - Championship
29 Mar 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
29 Mar 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
Millwall against Watford : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2022 - Championship
24 Apr 2021 - Championship
26 Jan 2021 - Championship
Players list
L. Jensen
DefenderS. Hutchinson
J. Cooper
J. Bryan
C. De Norre
MidfielderD. McNamara
G. Saville
A. Emakhu
M. Langstaff
ForwardD. Watmore
K. Nisbet
D. Bachmann
DefenderF. Sierralta
R. Porteous
M. Pollock
K. Sema
R. Andrews
MidfielderT. Dele-Bashiru
E. Kayembe
M. Sissoko
T. Ince
ForwardM. Rajovic
Substitutes
L. Roberts
DefenderK. Smith
D. McNamara
W. Harding
MidfielderA. Massey
ForwardM. Langstaff
K. Nisbet
A. Emakhu
T. Leahy
J. Bond
DefenderY. Larouci
MidfielderI. Louza
R. Vata
T. Ince
K. Baah
K. Sema
M. Rajovic
J. Morris
Most goals and assists
Millwall
Watford
D. Watmore
(5 Goals)
V. Bayo
(5 Goals)
, 
E. Kayembe
(5 Goals)
,
T. Ince
(5 Goals)
M. Langstaff
(2 Assists)
,
G. Honeyman
(2 Assists)
G. Chakvetadze
(4 Assists)
Millwall - Watford Key Points
- Millwall won each of their last five league matches.
- Millwall are unbeaten in four meetings with Watford.
- Watford are winless in their last four away league matches.
- Watford lost half of their last eight away Championship matches.
- In their last eight league matches, Watford managed just one win.
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Our Millwall vs Watford Prediction
Millwall come into this game unbeaten in four matches against Watford, and they won three of those. They also had a good run to close last season; the best in the final five rounds of the campaign. With a manager who instilled positivity in the team last season, Millwall will be gunning for a strong start.
They face a side that finished 2023/24 in struggling form, which should favor them. Our prediction for Millwall v Watford is for Millwall to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Millwall Watford
| Millwall vs Watford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 2.5 | 351 | +13,940.0% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 13 | +293.9% |
| Watford wins | 2.8 | 1.04 | -62.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Millwall is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13,940.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 0.3% (-39.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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