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England - Championship

Millwall
13 Jan 2024 10:00
Middlesbrough

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5

 
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Millwall vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Devesh Jaganath in Championship Predictions

Middlesbrough will look to move closer to the playoff spots in the Championship when they travel to face Millwall on Saturday afternoon. The hosts are currently in 15th place in the league standings, while the visitors are 12th. After finishing comfortably in the top six last season, Middlesbrough have failed to follow up on that performance so far this term. They are on 36 points after 26 matches and trailing the top six by four points. It’s been a mixed week for Boro, as they went crashing out of the FA Cup with a 1-0 loss to Aston Villa but bounced back to claim a huge scalp, beating Chelsea in the League Cup in midweek. Their last league outing ended in a 3-1 loss to Coventry City and also saw them shed two spots in the league standings. On the road this season, the Smoggies have a record of five wins, two draws and six losses, though they have won three of their last four away games. As a result, the bookies have made them marginal favourites in this match. 

Meanwhile, Millwall came agonisingly close to a playoff spot last season, but like their opponents in this match, they have experienced a notable drop-off this term. The Lions are on 32 points after 26 matches but with the mid-table still being very compact a run of two or three consecutive victories could see them jump in ranking quite quickly. Millwall were also knocked out of the FA Cup last week, beaten 3-2 in a very entertaining match against league leaders Leicester City. However, they return to league competition here where they are unbeaten in their last four matches and also managed to keep clean sheets in each of those games. At home, the hosts are also unbeaten in four games, with two wins and two draws. Millwall won the reverse fixture 1-0 in August and are perhaps a little surprisingly priced as the underdogs here.

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The Best Betting Odds for Millwall v Middlesbrough Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.1 3.5 2.25
NetBet
2.92 3.15 2.17
1xbet
3.09 3.44 2.29
22bet
3.09 3.44 2.29
Betwinner
3.16 3.42 2.25
LSbet
3.16 3.42 2.25
Stake
3.1 3.4 2.25
Melbet
2.84 3.35 2.48
Tonybet
3.05 3.35 2.32
Betway
3.1 3.3 2.2
Unibet
3.15 3.25 2.32
Betsson
3.07 3.36 2.33
William Hill
3 3.2 2.38
Vbet
3.18 3.45 2.33
Check all Millwall vs Middlesbrough odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and Middlesbrough?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/01/2024 between Millwall and Middlesbrough in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.12% for a win of Millwall against Middlesbrough with odds of 3.18 at Vbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Millwall vs Middlesbrough is 19.79% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Millwall with odds of 2.48 at Melbet.

Millwall - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:

Millwall Middlesbrough Prediction Probability Odds
Middlesbrough wins 41.09% 2.48 at Melbet
Under 2.5 52.63% 1.88 at Stake
Both Team To Score 51.04%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough 14.6% 5.75 at Unibet

Millwall vs Middlesbrough Form

Millwall and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
69 46 20 9 17 9
13
Millwall
Millwall
59 46 16 11 19 -10

Millwall and Middlesbrough Last Matches

Millwall
Millwall Last matches
D D W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Millwall
2 :  3
Leicester

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Millwall

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Norwich

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  0
QPR

23 Dec 2023 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Millwall

13 Dec 2023 - Championship

Leicester
3 :  2
Millwall
L D D W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Millwall
2 :  3
Leicester

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Norwich

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  0
QPR

4 Nov 2023 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  1
Southampton

17 Sep 2023 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  3
Leeds

8 Aug 2023 - Carabao Cup

Millwall
0 :  4
Reading
W L L L D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Millwall

23 Dec 2023 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Millwall

13 Dec 2023 - Championship

Leicester
3 :  2
Millwall

21 Oct 2023 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Millwall

2 Sep 2023 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Millwall

20 Aug 2023 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  1
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Chelsea

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Aston Villa

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  3
Coventry City

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Huddersfield Town
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Rotherham
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

23 Dec 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
West Brom
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Chelsea

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Aston Villa

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  3
Coventry City

23 Dec 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
West Brom

13 Dec 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  2
Hull

9 Dec 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  2
Ipswich Town
L L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Huddersfield Town
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Rotherham
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

19 Dec 2023 - Carabao Cup

Port Vale
0 :  3
Middlesbrough

2 Dec 2023 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  2
Middlesbrough

31 Oct 2023 - Carabao Cup

Exeter City
2 :  3
Middlesbrough

7 Oct 2023 - Championship

Sunderland
0 :  4
Middlesbrough

Millwall vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Millwall

33 %

Draw

33 %

Middlesbrough

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

5 Aug 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Millwall

12 Dec 2020 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  0
Millwall

4 Aug 2018 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  2
Middlesbrough
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Millwall against Middlesbrough Lineups: Starting 11

Millwall

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

20
M. Sarkic
2
D. McNamara
45
W. Harding
5
J. Cooper
15
J. Bryan
8
B. Mitchell
39
G. Honeyman
19
D. Watmore
11
R. Longman
10
Z. Flemming
7
K. Nisbet
10
M. Rogers
11
I. Jones
29
S. Greenwood
4
D. Barlaser
16
J. Howson
20
F. Azaz
12
L. Ayling
27
L. Engel
6
D. Fry
3
R. van den Berg
23
T. Glover

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Middlesbrough

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Millwall
CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast E. Latte Lath (18 Goals)
Best assists
Northern Ireland G. Saville (5 Assists)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (9 Assists)

Millwall - Middlesbrough Key Points

  1. Eight of Millwall’s last ten league games have ended with under 3.5 goals
  2. Fewer than three goals were scored in each of Millwall’s last five league matches
  3. Millwall have kept clean sheets in each of their last four league games
  4. Nine of Middlesbrough’s last ten matches have ended with under 3.5 goals
  5. Fewer than four goals were scored in each of the last seven matches between these sides
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Our Millwall vs Middlesbrough Prediction

The fact that there is virtually nothing to split these sides in terms of the odds available, tells you all you need to know about how level this contest is likely to be. Both these sides will have top-six ambitions this season, and matches between them have historically been decided by slender margins. We’re expecting something similar in this one. Our Millwall vs Middlesbrough prediction: Under 3.5. 

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5

 
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Millwall vs Middlesbrough Prediction
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