Millwall vs Luton Town Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Sridhar in Championship Predictions
Millwall and Luton will hope the international break has given them time to press the refresh button as they resume their 2024-25 Championship campaign. This match on Saturday at The Den in London comes with our prediction of a win or draw for the home team.
The home team went into the international break in 15th place with four points, while the visitors were 23rd with only one point. Millwall started the season with back-to-back defeats, as they lost 3-2 to Watford at this venue and then were beaten 4-3 by Bristol City on the road.
The redemption started on matchday three as they drew 0-0 at Hull before going into the break with a 3-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday. The defeat to Watford remains an exception, as the Lions have usually enjoyed playing at this venue. Luton is yet to adjust to the Championship after getting relegated from the Premier League last season. The Hatters have won just a single point so far and are stuck to the bottom, with only goal difference saving them from the bottom-placed Cardiff.
They went into the international break losing three matches in a row, which included a loss to Queens Park Rangers in the EFL Cup. Worryingly enough, Luton are yet to score a goal on the road in the Championship this season, drawing 0-0 at Portsmouth and losing 1-0 at Preston.
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The Best Betting Odds for Millwall v Luton Town Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.4 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.36 | 2.68 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.36 | 2.68 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.36 | 2.68 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.36 | 2.68 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and Luton Town?
Our prediction for the Millwall vs Luton Town match is: Luton win or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2024 between Millwall and Luton Town in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.84% for a win of Millwall against Luton Town with odds of 2.8 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Millwall vs Luton Town is 32.49% with odds of 3.36 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Luton Town vs Millwall with odds of 2.87 at Ladbrokes.
Millwall - Luton Town Prediction and Best Odds:
| Millwall Luton Town Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 43.84% | 2.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.55% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Millwall/Millwall | 15.62% | 4 at Bet365 |
Millwall vs Luton Town Form
Millwall and Luton Town's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
18
|
4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
|
19
|
4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 |
Millwall and Luton Town Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
12 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Millwall against Luton Town : Head to Head (H2H)
28 Feb 2023 - Championship
Millwall against Luton Town Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Millwall - Luton Town Key Points
- The last three matches between these sides ended in draws
- Luton are yet to win this season, drawing one and losing four competitive matches
- Away from home, Luton lost two and drew one match this season
- Millwall avoided defeat in their last two league matches
- Millwall won six and drew one of their last eight home matches in the Championship
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Our Millwall vs Luton Town Prediction
Luton are clearly struggling for impact, as they find themselves stuck in the bottom-three going into the international break. They need a lift, but it is difficult to see them getting it on this trip to Millwall. The Lions have a very strong record when playing at home, something they are likely to continue here. We are backing the home team to remain undefeated, and our prediction for Millwall vs Luton is for the home team to win or draw. For the exotics, the last three matches between these teams ended in a draw and another stalemate here can't be ruled out entirely.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Millwall Luton Town
| Millwall vs Luton Town | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 2.8 | 2.5 | -10.7% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.3 | -2.9% |
| Luton Town wins | 2.4 | 2.8 | +16.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Millwall is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 40.0% (4.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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