England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Millwall vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions
Millwall welcome Derby County to The New Den on Saturday afternoon for a Championship match. The Lions sit 18th in the table ahead of this contest while the Rams are 12th. This is an interesting clash for a prediction with the visitors awaiting their first point away from home.
Things have gone well at home so far this season for Millwall. They scored three times in their wins against Sheffield Wednesday and Preston in their last two on their own patch, picking up three points each time. They came from 0-2 down against Watford in their opening home game to 2-2 but then coughed up an injury-time winner for their visitors.
Going back to the end of last season, Millwall has won seven of their last ten at home. It is not the same intimidating atmosphere as it once was but it is still a fair enough record that they have.
Four games and four defeats is the away record for Derby since their return to the Championship. Dig a little deeper than that and it does not read as bad as you might think. This is an easier task than being kept off the scoresheet at Sunderland and Sheffield United in their last two on the road.
They did at least manage to take the lead at Watford before succumbing 1-2. They also put two past Blackburn in the opening game of the season so they are capable of finding the net on their travels. Millwall has conceded in three of their four home games this season so Paul Warne's men will be hopeful of finding the net.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Millwall v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.1 | 4.2 |
|
|
2 | 3.25 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.36 | 3.85 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.36 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.25 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.34 | 3.74 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.34 | 3.74 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.35 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.36 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.3 | 3.85 |
|
|
2 | 3.27 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.25 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.25 | 3.95 |
|
|
2 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.37 | 3.96 |
|
|
2 | 3.2 | 3.9 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Millwall vs Derby County match is: Derby County to win and both teams to score
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/10/2024 between Millwall and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.27% for a win of Millwall against Derby County with odds of 2.05 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Millwall vs Derby County is 14.04% with odds of 3.37 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Millwall with odds of 4.4 at Vbet.
Millwall - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Millwall Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 56.27% | 2.05 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 54.46% | 2.09 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Millwall | 27.65% | 5 at Betsson |
Millwall vs Derby County Form
Millwall and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
23 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
|
12
|
19 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
Millwall and Derby County Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
9 Aug 2024 - Championship
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Millwall vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Feb 2019 - Championship
18 Aug 2018 - Championship
Millwall against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Millwall
Derby County
D. Watmore
(5 Goals)
J. Yates
(3 Goals)
,
K. Jackson
(3 Goals)
F. Azeez
(3 Assists)
K. Jackson
(2 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(2 Assists)
, 
N. Mendez Laing
(2 Assists)
Millwall - Derby County Key Points
- There have been an average of 3.25 goals per game in Millwall home games this season.
- Derby has taken on four very tough tasks on the road, including the top two.
- Millwall has conceded in three of their four home games this season.
- A 1.11 xGF for Derby away from home is impressive given the teams they have taken on.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Millwall vs Derby County Prediction
bet365 - Bet Boost
Available to all bet365 customers, you will find bet boosts when you click on the promotions tab on the site. The events that have bet boosts on them are easily identifiable with a green arrow next to them. To take the boosted price, just click on it to add it to your betslip.
They are found on most sports, with horse racing a firm favourite for bet boosts. The horse racing boosts can be found from 10 am up until 15 minutes before a race is scheduled to start but they are only valid to customers in the UK and Ireland. A bet boost cannot be combined with another bet boost, nor are they valid for any of the sport-specific boosts such as the football or tennis acca boosts.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
