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Millwall vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Ian John in Championship Predictions
Millwall host Burnley in the Championship this weekend with a chance to record a first home win over the visiting Clarets since April 2006. The visiting Clarets have had the upper hand in this fixture of late, with four wins in the last six against the Lions, plus two away draws. What will our prediction for this crucial Championship match be?
After a slow start to the season, Millwall have picked up their form. They come into this game lying tenth in the Championship table and unbeaten in four, drawing 0-0 (a) v WBA and 1-1 (h) v Derby followed by two 1-0 wins, at home to Plymouth and last weekend away to Swansea City.
Goals have been scarce however with just three goals scored in their last five matches.
Burnley are proving to be very tough to beat in the Championship this season. The Clarets sole defeat came away to Sunderland and since then they have won four and drawn five of the next nine games.
Most impressively, they have conceded just five goals in their dozen games this season in the league, the best record in the division.
They have won three and drawn two of their six away games in the league this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Millwall v Burnley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.88 | 3.1 | 2.63 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.15 | 3 |
|
|
2.74 | 3.13 | 2.71 |
|
|
2.74 | 3.13 | 2.71 |
|
|
2.85 | 3 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.05 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.74 | 3.13 | 2.71 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.05 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.92 | 2.97 | 2.81 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.88 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.9 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.88 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.87 | 2.97 | 2.72 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.88 | 2.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Millwall vs Burnley match is: Burnley to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/11/2024 between Millwall and Burnley in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.33% for a win of Millwall against Burnley with odds of 3.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Millwall vs Burnley is 36.45% with odds of 3.13 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Millwall with odds of 3 at Ladbrokes.
Millwall - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Millwall Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36.45% | 3.13 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 81.8% | 1.91 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 31.25% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 15.09% | 4 at Bet365 |
Millwall vs Burnley Form
Millwall and Burnley's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
27 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
|
8
|
23 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Millwall and Burnley Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
23 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
23 Oct 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
15 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
15 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League
12 Oct 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
9 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League
4 Oct 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
1 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League
Millwall vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Feb 2023 - Championship
Millwall against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Millwall
Burnley
D. Watmore
(5 Goals)
J. Brownhill
(5 Goals)
F. Azeez
(3 Assists)
L. Pires
(2 Assists)
,
J. Anthony
(2 Assists)
Millwall - Burnley Key Points
- Millwall have not beaten Burnley at home in any of their last four games (drew two, lost two).
- Burnley are unbeaten in their last four away games.
- All four of Millwall's wins in the league have come against teams ranked 13th or lower in the table.
- Burnley have conceded just three goals in six away games this season (scoring eight).
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Our Millwall vs Burnley Prediction
Our prediction for the Millwall vs. Burnley Championship fixture on Sunday is: Burnley to win.
We have to admit that this was a tricky game to call. Both teams are in relatively good form of late, both don't concede many goals and Millwall also don't score too many. The Londoners have not beaten a team in the top half of the Championship this season and with Burnley's defence so solid and keeping chances to a minimum, we are backing the visiting Clarets to earn the win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Millwall Burnley
| Millwall vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 2.63 | 2.88 | +9.5% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.1 | -3.1% |
| Burnley wins | 2.7 | 2.63 | -2.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.3% and is now 32.3% (1.0%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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