Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
Inconsistent runs in Serie A have left AC Milan and Fiorentina battling for spots in Europe next season. In the league's 31st round of matches, ninth placed AC Milan will host eighth placed Fiorentina, both hoping to move closer to the top six. We have a prediction for the match below.
AC Milan’s 2-1 defeat to Napoli in the last league outing dealt a major blow to their hopes for Europe. They are now five points below the top six and run the risk of missing a place in Europe.
As they are still in the Coppa Italia, that is another route for the Rossoneri. On Wednesday Milan drew 1-1 with Inter Milan in the first leg of the cup semi-final.
Fiorentina are in much better shape, coming here on three straight wins across all competitions. They are also chasing a spot in Europe via both the league and cup competitions.
La Viola are still in the Conference League, where they rank among the favorites. In Serie A, they are coming from a 1-0 win at home to Atalanta.
They had earlier beaten Juventus 3-0 and here they will be eyeing another big scalp. Notably, all their last three wins came at home and here they resume action on the road.
The visitors have one win only in seven away league matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Fiorentina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.6 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.78 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.78 | 5.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Fiorentina match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2025 between AC Milan and Fiorentina in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.61% for a win of AC Milan against Fiorentina with odds of 2.15 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Fiorentina is 15.41% with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs AC Milan with odds of 5.05 at 1xbet.
AC Milan - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Fiorentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 57.61% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.62% | 1.97 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 80.83% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan | 22.55% | 5 at Betfair |
AC Milan vs Fiorentina Form
AC Milan and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
56 | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
|
9
|
51 | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 13 |
AC Milan and Fiorentina Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
27 Feb 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
27 Feb 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
13 Jan 2025 - Serie A
AC Milan vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
30 Mar 2024 - Serie A
25 Nov 2023 - Serie A
4 Mar 2023 - Serie A
13 Nov 2022 - Serie A
1 May 2022 - Serie A
Players list
M. Maignan
DefenderK. Walker
F. Tomori
M. Thiaw
T. Hernandez
MidfielderW. Bondo
T. Reijnders
ForwardL. Jovic
S. Chukwueze
R. Leao
S. Gimenez
D. De Gea
DefenderP. Comuzzo
P. Mari
L. Ranieri
Dodo
M. Folorunsho
MidfielderY. Adli
C. Ndour
N. Fagioli
ForwardL. Beltran
M. Kean
Substitutes
L. Torriani
M. Sportiello
DefenderM. Gabbia
S. Pavlovic
A. Florenzi
D. Bartesaghi
MidfielderF. Terracciano
S. Chukwueze
Joao Felix
W. Bondo
L. Jovic
S. Gimenez
R. Sottil
T. Martinelli
P. Terracciano
DefenderM. Moreno
P. Comuzzo
Y. Adli
N. Zaniolo
C. Ndour
M. Folorunsho
A. Richardson
ForwardL. Beltran
Missing players
Emerson
A. Jimenez
MidfielderR. Loftus-Cheek
R. Gosens
MidfielderE. Bove
A. Colpani
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Fiorentina
C. Pulisic
(13 Goals)
, 
T. Reijnders
(13 Goals)
M. Kean
(20 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(9 Assists)
, 
R. Leao
(9 Assists)
R. Gosens
(7 Assists)
AC Milan - Fiorentina Key Points
- Both teams scored in AC Milan’s last six league matches.
- Both teams scored in four of Fiorentina’s last five away matches.
- In six of the last eight meetings between these teams, both sides scored.
- AC Milan scored in 10 straight league matches but managed only two clean sheets.
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Our AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction
Fiorentina and AC Milan will want to bring to the fore their biggest strengths for this match as they battle for places in Europe. Those strong points happen to be in attack, and this is a guarantee that we will have goals here.
The two sides are also struggling defensively and in their recent meetings, clean sheets have been quite rare. Only two of the last eight matches featuring these teams produced clean sheets and both were AC Milan’s. Our prediction for AC Milan v Fiorentina is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Fiorentina
| AC Milan vs Fiorentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 2 | 1.75 | -12.5% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.6 | +2.9% |
| Fiorentina wins | 3.75 | 4.5 | +20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 57.1% (7.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the AC Milan vs. Fiorentina game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between AC Milan and Fiorentina? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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