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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
05/04/2025 14:45
Fiorentina

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Inconsistent runs in Serie A have left AC Milan and Fiorentina battling for spots in Europe next season. In the league's 31st round of matches, ninth placed AC Milan will host eighth placed Fiorentina, both hoping to move closer to the top six. We have a prediction for the match below.

AC Milan’s 2-1 defeat to Napoli in the last league outing dealt a major blow to their hopes for Europe. They are now five points below the top six and run the risk of missing a place in Europe.

As they are still in the Coppa Italia, that is another route for the Rossoneri. On Wednesday Milan drew 1-1 with Inter Milan in the first leg of the cup semi-final.

Fiorentina are in much better shape, coming here on three straight wins across all competitions. They are also chasing a spot in Europe via both the league and cup competitions.

La Viola are still in the Conference League, where they rank among the favorites. In Serie A, they are coming from a 1-0 win at home to Atalanta.

They had earlier beaten Juventus 3-0 and here they will be eyeing another big scalp. Notably, all their last three wins came at home and here they resume action on the road.

The visitors have one win only in seven away league matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Fiorentina Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.9 3.5 4.2
Betfred
1.83 3.75 4
Ladbrokes
2.1 2.6 3.8
1xbet
1.95 3.79 4.22
22bet
1.95 3.79 4.22
Check all AC Milan vs Fiorentina odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Fiorentina?

Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Fiorentina match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2025 between AC Milan and Fiorentina in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.73% for a win of AC Milan against Fiorentina with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Fiorentina is 15.35% with odds of 3.79 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs AC Milan with odds of 4.22 at 1xbet.

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Form

AC Milan and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
51 30 15 6 9 17
9
AC Milan
AC Milan
47 30 13 8 9 10

AC Milan and Fiorentina Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
L L W W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

30 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
AC Milan

15 Mar 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Como 1907

8 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  3
AC Milan

2 Mar 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Lazio

27 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  1
AC Milan
W W D L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

15 Mar 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Como 1907

2 Mar 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Lazio

18 Feb 2025 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  1
Feyenoord

15 Feb 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  1
Roma
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
AC Milan

8 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  3
AC Milan

27 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  1
AC Milan

22 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  1
AC Milan

12 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Feyenoord
1 :  0
AC Milan

8 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  2
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta

16 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Juventus

13 Mar 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

9 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

6 Mar 2025 - Conference League

Panathinaikos Athens
3 :  2
Fiorentina

28 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lecce
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta

16 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Juventus

13 Mar 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

28 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lecce

16 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  2
Como 1907

2 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Genoa
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

6 Mar 2025 - Conference League

Panathinaikos Athens
3 :  2
Fiorentina

23 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  0
Fiorentina

10 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

26 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  2
Fiorentina

13 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Monza
2 :  1
Fiorentina

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

67 %

Draw

0 %

Fiorentina

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

6 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
AC Milan

30 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
AC Milan

25 Nov 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Fiorentina

4 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
AC Milan

13 Nov 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

1 May 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Fiorentina
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AC Milan vs Fiorentina last Lineups

AC Milan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

16
M. Maignan
32
K. Walker
46
M. Gabbia
28
M. Thiaw
19
T. Hernandez
29
Y. Fofana
14
T. Reijnders
20
A. Jimenez
11
C. Pulisic
10
R. Leao
90
T. Abraham
20
M. Kean
10
A. Gudmundsson
65
F. Parisi
44
N. Fagioli
32
D. Cataldi
8
R. Mandragora
2
Dodo
6
L. Ranieri
18
P. Mari
5
M. Pongracic
43
D. De Gea

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Fiorentina

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Defender

Emerson

A. Jimenez

Midfielder

R. Loftus-Cheek

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

R. Gosens

Midfielder

E. Bove

A. Colpani

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Fiorentina
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (18 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal R. Leao (8 Assists)
Best assists
Germany R. Gosens (7 Assists)

AC Milan and Fiorentina Stats in Serie A

AC Milan
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
43%
Victories
50%
27%
Draw
20%
30%
Defeats
30%
2.67
Total goals per match
2.57
1.5
Goals scored per match
1.57
1.17
Goals conceded per match
1
60%
Over 2.5
57%
40%
Under 2.5
43%
60%
BTTS
50%
33%
No goals conceded
37%

AC Milan - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in AC Milan’s last six league matches.
  2. Both teams scored in four of Fiorentina’s last five away matches.
  3. In six of the last eight meetings between these teams, both sides scored.
  4. AC Milan scored in 10 straight league matches but managed only two clean sheets.
Up to $150 to bet on AC Milan - Fiorentina! 

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Our AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction

Fiorentina and AC Milan will want to bring to the fore their biggest strengths for this match as they battle for places in Europe. Those strong points happen to be in attack, and this is a guarantee that we will have goals here.

The two sides are also struggling defensively and in their recent meetings, clean sheets have been quite rare. Only two of the last eight matches featuring these teams produced clean sheets and both were AC Milan’s. Our prediction for AC Milan v Fiorentina is for both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction
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