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England - Championship

Middlesbrough
03/02/2025 14:00
Sunderland

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Middlesbrough vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Sridhar | in Championship Predictions

The matchday 30 meeting between Middlesbrough and Sunderland on Monday brings out an interesting battle for Championship playoff places. This match at the Riverside Stadium between the 7th-placed Boro and the 4th-placed Black Cats comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.

Middlesbrough has 44 points from 29 matches and is just outside the top six spots by goal difference. Sunderland has 55 points and is three behind third-placed Burnley.

A 2-1 away loss to Preston last week was a third defeat in four matches for Middlesbrough in all competitions. Recent results haven’t been comforting in the league, as Boro could win just two of their last eight matches, drawing four and losing two.

Despite that, a run of three wins and three draws in their last six home league matches suggests Middlesbrough won’t be easy to beat.

Sunderland drew 2-2 at home against Plymouth in their last match, which meant they could win only one of their last four competitive games. League form puts them in better shape, though, as Sunderland were beaten in just one of their last 11 league matches.

If there’s a concern for the visitors, it’s their away form, as they were drawing too many matches for comfort. Sunderland won only two of their last nine away league games, but five draws are perhaps too many points dropped.

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The Best Betting Odds for Middlesbrough v Sunderland Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.3 3.3 3.1
Betfred
2.3 3.3 3.1
Ladbrokes
2.6 2.4 3.1
1xbet
2.36 3.3 3.07
22bet
2.36 3.3 3.07
Betobet
2.3 3.3 3.05
Betwinner
2.35 3.3 3.07
LSbet
2.35 3.3 3.07
Stake
2.29 3.35 3.05
Melbet
2.35 3.3 3.07
Tonybet
2.3 3.35 3.05
William Hill
2.3 3.3 3
Vbet
2.3 3.3 3.01
Betway
2.3 3.2 3
Unibet
2.25 3.45 3
Betfair
2.3 3.3 3.1
Betsson
2.31 3.43 3.04
Check all Middlesbrough vs Sunderland odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Sunderland?

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Sunderland match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/02/2025 between Middlesbrough and Sunderland in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.61% for a win of Middlesbrough against Sunderland with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Sunderland is 34.22% with odds of 3.45 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 30.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Middlesbrough with odds of 3.1 at Bet365.

Middlesbrough vs Sunderland Form

Middlesbrough and Sunderland's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Sunderland
Sunderland
55 29 15 10 4 18
7
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
44 29 12 8 9 11

Middlesbrough and Sunderland Last Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
W D L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  0
West Brom

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Blackburn

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Cardiff

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Middlesbrough
W D D D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  0
West Brom

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Blackburn

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Cardiff

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Burnley

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  3
Sheffield Wednesday

14 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Millwall
D L D W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Middlesbrough

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Plymouth
3 :  3
Middlesbrough

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

6 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Middlesbrough
Sunderland
Sunderland Last matches
W W L D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  2
Plymouth

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sunderland

17 Jan 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Sunderland

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Sunderland
1 :  2
Stoke

5 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  0
Portsmouth

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  1
Sheffield United
D W W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  2
Plymouth

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Sunderland
1 :  2
Stoke

5 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  0
Portsmouth

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  1
Sheffield United

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  1
Norwich

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  1
Bristol City
L W D L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sunderland

17 Jan 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Sunderland

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  0
Sunderland

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  2
Sunderland

14 Dec 2024 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  3
Sunderland

29 Nov 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Sunderland

Middlesbrough vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Middlesbrough

40 %

Draw

20 %

Sunderland

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
20%
BTTS
1.2
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.8
Goals scored (Team 2)
20%
Over 2.5
80%
Under 2.5

21 Sep 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

4 Feb 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Sunderland

7 Oct 2023 - Championship

Sunderland
0 :  4
Middlesbrough

22 Jan 2023 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  0
Middlesbrough

26 Apr 2017 - Premier League

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Sunderland
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Middlesbrough vs Sunderland last Lineups

Middlesbrough

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
T. Glover
12
L. Ayling
6
D. Fry
3
R. van den Berg
30
N. Borges
18
A. Morris
7
H. Hackney
50
B. Doak
20
F. Azaz
10
D. Burgzorg
9
E. Latte Lath
18
W. Isidor
28
E. Le Fee
7
J. Bellingham
10
P. Roberts
20
S. Abdul Samed
4
D. Neill
3
D. Cirkin
13
L. O'Nien
26
C. Mepham
32
T. Hume
1
A. Patterson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Sunderland

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
CD Huachipato Sunderland
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast E. Latte Lath (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France W. Isidor (9 Goals)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (9 Assists)
Best assists
England P. Roberts (6 Assists)

Middlesbrough and Sunderland Stats in Championship

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Sunderland
Sunderland
41%
Victories
52%
28%
Draw
34%
31%
Defeats
14%
2.86
Total goals per match
2.28
1.62
Goals scored per match
1.45
1.24
Goals conceded per match
0.83
45%
Over 2.5
45%
55%
Under 2.5
55%
52%
BTTS
48%
31%
No goals conceded
45%

Middlesbrough - Sunderland Key Points

  1. Five of Middlesbrough’s last seven competitive matches have returned under 2.5 goals.
  2. Middlesbrough saw two or fewer goals scored in four of their last five home league matches.
  3. Sunderland kept a clean sheet in three of their last four league matches.
  4. Seven of Sunderland’s last nine away league matches have seen fewer than three goals scored.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Sunderland Prediction

Sunderland won the reverse fixture 1-0 and haven’t done a league double over Middlesbrough for the first time in many seasons. More than that, the Black Cats will keep pushing for a top-two spot, which isn’t far off and one that will confirm direct promotion. As for Middlesbrough, the recent dip in form has seen them drop out of the playoff zone, and a win here will get them back on track. Either way, both teams are likely to play it safe and tight. That’s why our Middlesbrough v Sunderland prediction is under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Middlesbrough vs Sunderland Prediction
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