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England - Championship

Middlesbrough

04 Feb 2024 07:00

Sunderland

Prediction :

Draw

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Middlesbrough vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

Prediction published on 03/02/2024, 22:22 by Ian John in Championship Predictions

Middlesbrough host Sunderland in a Tees-Wear derby at midday on Sunday in the UK, hoping that they can repeat their 4-0 success at the Stadium of Light back in October. That game saw Sunderland reduced to ten men just before half-time, with Middlesbrough taking full advantage to score four unanswered goals in the second half. Boro's recent form since then has been a little patchy, something manager Michael Carrick will have to improve if they are to force their way into the playoff picture over the coming weeks. With their game with Birmingham postponed last weekend, Boro haven't played since their 6-1 Carabao Cup Semi Final 2nd leg loss to Chelsea. Additionally, their league form heading into the Sunderland game isn't great with two defeats, two wins and one draw in their last five Championship games. Goals have proven hard for Boro to come by at home with just 15 scored (and the same number conceded) in their 14 home league games this season.

Sunderland may lie above Middlesbrough in the table, but the Black Cats form of late has not been particularly impressive either. Manager Michael Beale has made some moves in the January transfer window to rectify that. Alex Pritchard has left the club to join Birmingham City and Jay Matete joined Oxford United on loan. Coming into the club is Callum Styles, who joined on loan from Barnsley. Sunderland also fought off a bid from Lazio for their exciting winger Jack Clarke during January and that should keep their playoff hopes alive. The visitors have won just two of their last six in all competitions, but did get back to winning ways last weekend with a 3-1 home win over Stoke City. They will certainly want payback after their 0-4 loss at home to Middlesbrough earlier this season but they have won just one of the last 9 against today's opponents, losing seven, and their last win in the league at the Riverside came back in September 2005 (A 2-0 win).

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The Best Betting Odds for Middlesbrough v Sunderland Match

1	X	2
2.1	3.3	3.75
1.99	3.2	3.25
2.1	3.35	3.92
2.1	3.35	3.92
2.08	3.54	3.44
2.08	3.54	3.44
2.08	3.05	3.5
2.05	3.28	3.82
2.1	3.35	3.5
2.16	3.33	3.68
2.1	3.3	3.3
2.07	3.5	3.45
2.07	3.35	3.69
2.1	3.4	3.3

Check all Middlesbrough vs Sunderland odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Sunderland?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/02/2024 between Middlesbrough and Sunderland in Championship :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.47% for a win of Middlesbrough against Sunderland with odds of 2.16 at Vbet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Sunderland is 20.39% with odds of 3.54 at Betwinner.
Our prediction model gives a 32.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Middlesbrough with odds of 3.92 at 1xbet.

Middlesbrough - Sunderland Prediction and Best Odds:

Middlesbrough Sunderland Prediction	Probability	Odds
Middlesbrough wins	47.47%	2.16 at Vbet
Under 2.5	68.46%	1.94 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score	45.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough	23.77%	5.2 at Stake

Middlesbrough vs Sunderland Form

Middlesbrough and Sunderland's standings in the Championship

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
8 Middlesbrough	69	46	20	9	17	9
16 Sunderland	56	46	16	8	22	-2

Middlesbrough and Sunderland Last Matches

Middlesbrough Last matches

All Home Away

L L W W D L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

2 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

23 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea

6 : 1

Middlesbrough

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough

1 : 1

Rotherham

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Millwall

1 : 3

Middlesbrough

9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough

1 : 0

Chelsea

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Middlesbrough

0 : 1

Aston Villa

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough

1 : 3

Coventry City

L W L L W D

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals

50% BTTS

0.83 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough

1 : 1

Rotherham

9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough

1 : 0

Chelsea

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Middlesbrough

0 : 1

Aston Villa

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough

1 : 3

Coventry City

23 Dec 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough

1 : 0

West Brom

13 Dec 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough

1 : 2

Hull

W W L W W L

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

23 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea

6 : 1

Middlesbrough

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Millwall

1 : 3

Middlesbrough

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Huddersfield Town

1 : 2

Middlesbrough

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Rotherham

1 : 0

Middlesbrough

19 Dec 2023 - Carabao Cup

Port Vale

0 : 3

Middlesbrough

16 Dec 2023 - Championship

Swansea

1 : 2

Middlesbrough

Sunderland Last matches

All Home Away

D W L L L W

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

27 Jan 2024 - Championship

Sunderland

3 : 1

Stoke

19 Jan 2024 - Championship

Sunderland

0 : 1

Hull

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Ipswich Town

2 : 1

Sunderland

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Sunderland

0 : 3

Newcastle

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Sunderland

2 : 0

Preston North End

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Rotherham

1 : 1

Sunderland

W L W L L W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

17% BTTS

1 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

27 Jan 2024 - Championship

Sunderland

3 : 1

Stoke

19 Jan 2024 - Championship

Sunderland

0 : 1

Hull

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Sunderland

0 : 3

Newcastle

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Sunderland

2 : 0

Preston North End

23 Dec 2023 - Championship

Sunderland

0 : 3

Coventry City

12 Dec 2023 - Championship

Sunderland

1 : 0

Leeds

L D L W D L

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

0.67 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Ipswich Town

2 : 1

Sunderland

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Rotherham

1 : 1

Sunderland

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Hull

0 : 1

Sunderland

16 Dec 2023 - Championship

Bristol City

1 : 0

Sunderland

2 Dec 2023 - Championship

Millwall

1 : 1

Sunderland

25 Nov 2023 - Championship

Plymouth

2 : 0

Sunderland

Middlesbrough vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Middlesbrough

67 %

Draw

0 %

Sunderland

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33

Total goals

BTTS

1.67

Goals scored (Team 1)

0.67

Goals scored (Team 2)

33%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

7 Oct 2023 - Championship

Sunderland

0 : 4

Middlesbrough

22 Jan 2023 - Championship

Sunderland

2 : 0

Middlesbrough

26 Apr 2017 - Premier League

Middlesbrough

1 : 0

Sunderland

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Middlesbrough against Sunderland Lineups: Starting 11

Middlesbrough

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

T. Glover

L. Ayling

D. Fry

R. van den Berg

L. Engel

D. Barlaser

H. Hackney

M. Forss

J. Howson

F. Azaz

S. Greenwood

M. Burstow

J. Clarke

J. Bellingham

P. Ekwah

A. Ba

D. Neill

T. Hume

L. O'Nien

D. Ballard

L. Hjelde

A. Patterson

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Sunderland

Most goals and assists

Middlesbrough

Sunderland

Top Goalscorer

E. Latte Lath (18 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

J. Clarke (15 Goals)

Best assists

F. Azaz (9 Assists)

Best assists

J. Clarke (5 Assists)

Middlesbrough - Sunderland Key Points

Just three points separate Sunderland in 7th in the Championship table from Middlesbrough in 11th, but the Black Cats have a better goal difference of +8 compared to +1 for 'Boro.
Both teams have the same form over the last five games, winning two, losing two and drawing one game.
Middlesbrough ran out 4-0 winners when the teams met at the Stadium of Light in October. Dan Neil's sending off at half time for Sunderland leading to Boro scoring four after the interval to secure a comfortable win.
Both teams have scored in five of Middlesbrough's last seven games. However there have only been over 2.5 goals in four of those matches.
Middlesbrough have won seven of the last nine between the two teams, losing once (a 2-0 defeat in the league last season) and drawing the other.
Both teams have scored in just one of the last six games between the two. Over 2.5 Goals has occurred in just four of the last 13 games between the two teams.

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Our Middlesbrough vs Sunderland Prediction

There's lots to consider for the Middlesbrough vs Sunderland game. In terms of trends, the usual options of BTTS and Under/Over 2.5 goals don't have great data for either team of late and their form, as you would expect, is somewhat patchy. What is clear is that Middlesbrough's home form of late has been poor and they can't afford to keep losing. Sunderland's away form needs to improve too if they are to challenge. Therefore, our prediction for Middlesbrough v Sunderland is for this one to finish in a keenly contested draw.

Prediction :

Draw

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