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England - Championship

Middlesbrough
28 Sep 2024 10:00
Stoke

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Ian John in Championship Predictions

Michael Carrick’s Middlesbrough host Stoke City in the Championship this weekend. The Boro have been inconsistent this season winning two, drawing two and losing two of their six league games. Stoke have been even worse, seeing them sack manager Steven Schumacher recently replacing him with Narcis Pelach. Will our prediction give some hope to the Potters for this match, or will the home team prevail?

If Middlesbrough do not win the match, their first-half performance will likely be the cause. All of the five goals Boro conceded in the league had been scored before halftime. They come into this game on the back of a 1-0 defeat at rivals Sunderland last week, but they are unbeaten at home, winning one and drawing two of their three games.

One big issue for Boro fans will be revenge as Stoke defeated Middlesbrough 5-0 at the Riverside when the teams met in the Carabao Cup earlier on in the season. However, that result was definitely an exception rather than the rule for the Potters.

Stoke are 17th in the table but have lost their last two games. A 1-0 defeat away to Oxford was followed by a damaging 3-1 home defeat to Hull last weekend. Goals are a big problem for Stoke, who have scored just four all season, conceding nine in reply.

They scored one more in 90 minutes against Middlesbrough in the Carabao Cup than they have managed in six league games this season.

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The Best Betting Odds for Middlesbrough v Stoke Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.6 4.1 5
Ladbrokes
1.95 2.62 4.4
1xbet
1.67 4.1 4.81
22bet
1.67 4.1 4.81
Betobet
1.62 4 5.25
Betwinner
1.67 4.08 4.78
LSbet
1.67 4.08 4.78
Stake
1.63 4 5
Melbet
1.67 4.08 4.78
Tonybet
1.63 4 5
Betway
1.53 4.2 5.25
Unibet
1.63 4.1 4.9
Betfair
1.62 4.2 5
Betsson
1.56 4.44 5.41
William Hill
1.6 3.8 5.5
Vbet
1.57 4.4 5.7
Check all Middlesbrough vs Stoke odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Stoke?

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Stoke match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2024 between Middlesbrough and Stoke in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.06% for a win of Middlesbrough against Stoke with odds of 1.95 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Stoke is 18.68% with odds of 4.44 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 40.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Middlesbrough with odds of 5.7 at Vbet.

Middlesbrough - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:

Middlesbrough Stoke Prediction Probability Odds
Middlesbrough wins 41.06% 1.95 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 55.2% 3.2 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 21.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough 19.78% 4.6 at Unibet

Middlesbrough vs Stoke Form

Middlesbrough and Stoke's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
35 22 10 5 7 10
19
Stoke
Stoke
22 22 5 7 10 -7

Middlesbrough and Stoke Last Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
L D L W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Sep 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Preston North End

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
0 :  2
Middlesbrough

27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  5
Stoke

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  2
Portsmouth

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough
W W W D L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Preston North End

27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  5
Stoke

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  2
Portsmouth

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Swansea

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Heerenveen

20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Middlesbrough
3 :  0
Bolton
W D W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Sep 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
0 :  2
Middlesbrough

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Leeds
0 :  3
Middlesbrough

31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Harrogate Town
0 :  0
Middlesbrough

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Doncaster
3 :  5
Middlesbrough
Stoke
Stoke Last matches
L W W L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sep 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  3
Hull

17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
1 :  1
Fleetwood Town

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Stoke

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  1
Stoke

27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  5
Stoke

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
West Brom
W L W L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sep 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  3
Hull

17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
1 :  1
Fleetwood Town

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
West Brom

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  0
Coventry City

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

4 May 2024 - Championship

Stoke
4 :  0
Bristol City
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
0% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Stoke

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  1
Stoke

27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  5
Stoke

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Stoke

13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Carlisle United
0 :  2
Stoke

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Bolton
0 :  1
Stoke

Middlesbrough vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Middlesbrough

33 %

Draw

17 %

Stoke

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  5
Stoke

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  0
Middlesbrough

17 Aug 2022 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

5 Dec 2020 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

27 Jun 2020 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Middlesbrough

20 Dec 2019 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Stoke
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Middlesbrough against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11

Middlesbrough

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
S. Dieng
12
L. Ayling
25
G. Edmundson
15
A. Dijksteel
30
N. Borges
18
A. Morris
7
H. Hackney
50
B. Doak
20
F. Azaz
8
R. McGree
9
E. Latte Lath
9
T. Cannon
42
M. Manhoef
10
B. Joon-ho
15
J. Thompson
6
W. Burger
11
L. Koumas
17
E. Bocat
23
B. Gibson
16
B. Wilmot
22
J. Tchamadeu
1
V. Johansson

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Stoke

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
CD Huachipato Stoke
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast E. Latte Lath (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland T. Cannon (9 Goals)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (8 Assists)
Best assists
South Korea B. Joon-ho (4 Assists)
Rep. of Ireland A. Moran (4 Assists)

Middlesbrough - Stoke Key Points

  1. Five of Middlesbrough's league games this season have seen under 2.5 goals.
  2. Three of Stoke's past four games have seen under 2.5 goals.
  3. Four of the last six league games between these two teams have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Stoke have scored just one goal away from home in the league this season.
Up to $150 to bet on Middlesbrough - Stoke! 

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Our Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction

Our prediction for Middlesbrough vs. Stoke City in the Championship is: Under 2.5 Goals. 

The data for both these teams this season is very inconsistent with few identifiable trends within it. However, one that can be identified is that many games these teams are involved in do not see many goals. Given the current form of Middlesbrough at home, and Stoke in general, a sensible prediction here is to back this to be a very tight game where only one or two goals may be scored. 

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Stoke

Middlesbrough vs Stoke Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Middlesbrough wins 1.75 1.6 -8.6%
Draw 3.75 4.1 +9.3%
Stoke wins 3.9 5 +28.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Middlesbrough is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 62.5% (5.4%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction
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