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Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Ian John in Championship Predictions
Michael Carrick’s Middlesbrough host Stoke City in the Championship this weekend. The Boro have been inconsistent this season winning two, drawing two and losing two of their six league games. Stoke have been even worse, seeing them sack manager Steven Schumacher recently replacing him with Narcis Pelach. Will our prediction give some hope to the Potters for this match, or will the home team prevail?
If Middlesbrough do not win the match, their first-half performance will likely be the cause. All of the five goals Boro conceded in the league had been scored before halftime. They come into this game on the back of a 1-0 defeat at rivals Sunderland last week, but they are unbeaten at home, winning one and drawing two of their three games.
One big issue for Boro fans will be revenge as Stoke defeated Middlesbrough 5-0 at the Riverside when the teams met in the Carabao Cup earlier on in the season. However, that result was definitely an exception rather than the rule for the Potters.
Stoke are 17th in the table but have lost their last two games. A 1-0 defeat away to Oxford was followed by a damaging 3-1 home defeat to Hull last weekend. Goals are a big problem for Stoke, who have scored just four all season, conceding nine in reply.
They scored one more in 90 minutes against Middlesbrough in the Carabao Cup than they have managed in six league games this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Middlesbrough v Stoke Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 4.1 | 5 |
|
|
1.95 | 2.62 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.1 | 4.81 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.1 | 4.81 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.08 | 4.78 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.08 | 4.78 |
|
|
1.63 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.08 | 4.78 |
|
|
1.63 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.4 | 5.7 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.2 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.1 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.44 | 5.41 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.8 | 5.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Stoke match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2024 between Middlesbrough and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.06% for a win of Middlesbrough against Stoke with odds of 1.95 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Stoke is 18.68% with odds of 4.44 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Middlesbrough with odds of 5.7 at Vbet.
Middlesbrough - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Middlesbrough Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 41.06% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 55.2% | 3.2 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 21.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough | 19.78% | 4.6 at Unibet |
Middlesbrough vs Stoke Form
Middlesbrough and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
24 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
|
13
|
19 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -1 |
Middlesbrough and Stoke Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2024 - Championship
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2024 - Championship
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Middlesbrough vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2022 - Championship
5 Dec 2020 - Championship
27 Jun 2020 - Championship
20 Dec 2019 - Championship
Middlesbrough against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Most goals and assists
Middlesbrough
Stoke
T. Conway
(5 Goals)
T. Cannon
(7 Goals)
F. Azaz
(5 Assists)
B. Joon-ho
(4 Assists)
,
A. Moran
(4 Assists)
Middlesbrough - Stoke Key Points
- Five of Middlesbrough's league games this season have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Three of Stoke's past four games have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Four of the last six league games between these two teams have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Stoke have scored just one goal away from home in the league this season.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction
Our prediction for Middlesbrough vs. Stoke City in the Championship is: Under 2.5 Goals.
The data for both these teams this season is very inconsistent with few identifiable trends within it. However, one that can be identified is that many games these teams are involved in do not see many goals. Given the current form of Middlesbrough at home, and Stoke in general, a sensible prediction here is to back this to be a very tight game where only one or two goals may be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Stoke
| Middlesbrough vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 1.75 | 1.6 | -8.6% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.1 | +9.3% |
| Stoke wins | 3.9 | 5 | +28.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 62.5% (5.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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