England - Carabao Cup
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Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Nella Wagah in Carabao Cup Predictions
Middlesbrough and Stoke City will both target returns to winning ways when they meet in the League Cup on Tuesday. After solid starts to the season, both teams have slowed down in the last two matches. Here’s our preview and prediction for this match.
Hosts Middlesbrough are tipped favorites as they play at home. They will hope home comforts help end a four-match winless run against Stoke City. Boro are unbeaten in their last three home matches and only lost once in eight.
The last time they hosted Stoke, it ended in a 2-0 defeat but that remains their only home loss to The Potters in eight visits. Coming into this game, Tommy Conway’s stoppage time penalty saved Middlesbrough from a second straight defeat. They drew 2-2 with Portsmouth and will be desperate for a first win in three matches.
Stoke City did a double on Middlesbrough in the Championship last season with identical 2-0 wins. They will be gunning for a fifth unbeaten game against their hosts but are coming from two straight defeats.
After a 3-0 away loss at Watford, Stoke City returned home to a 2-1 defeat at the hands of West Bromwich Albion on Saturday. The last two matches were a complete contrast to their fine start when they won both matches with clean sheets.
In the first round of this competition, they beat Carlisle United 2-0 courtesy of second half goals from Freddie Anderson and Emre Tezgel. That remains their last win. Heading into this game, Stoke City have now posted six defeats in their last 11 away matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Middlesbrough v Stoke Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
151 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
43 | 17 | 1.03 |
|
|
43 | 17 | 1.03 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.9 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.86 | 4.02 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.86 | 4.02 |
|
|
76 | 15.5 | 1.02 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.82 | 4.02 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.65 | 4 |
|
|
12 | 4.5 | 1.33 |
|
|
46 | 15 | 1.02 |
|
|
501 | 501 | 1 |
|
|
1.83 | 4 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.4 | 1.93 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Stoke match is: Middlesbrough to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/08/2024 between Middlesbrough and Stoke in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.26% for a win of Middlesbrough against Stoke with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Stoke is 14.55% with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Middlesbrough with odds of 4.3 at Betobet.
Middlesbrough - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Middlesbrough Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 46.26% | 501 at Betfair |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.29% | 2.4 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 29.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough | 16.98% | 23 at Betfair |
Middlesbrough vs Stoke Form
Middlesbrough and Stoke Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
22 Apr 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Middlesbrough vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2022 - Championship
5 Dec 2020 - Championship
27 Jun 2020 - Championship
20 Dec 2019 - Championship
19 Apr 2019 - Championship
Players list
S. Brynn
DefenderL. Engel
A. Dijksteel
H. Hunt
M. Clarke
MidfielderA. Morris
T. Conway
D. Barlaser
ForwardJ. Coburn
A. Gilbert
I. Jones
V. Johansson
DefenderE. Bocat
J. Tchamadeu
W. Smith
J. Dixon
MidfielderM. Manhoef
S. Sidibe
B. Joon-ho
W. Burger
ForwardN. Ennis
L. Gooch
Substitutes
T. Glover
DefenderL. Engel
A. Dijksteel
A. Morris
J. Wilson
I. Jones
F. Azaz
ForwardT. Conway
D. Burgzorg
F. Fielding
DefenderB. Gibson
B. Wilmot
MidfielderB. Joon-ho
J. Laurent
L. Gooch
W. Smith
M. Manhoef
N. Ennis
Most goals and assists
Middlesbrough
Stoke
E. Latte Lath
(9 Goals)
T. Cannon
(9 Goals)
F. Azaz
(8 Assists)
B. Joon-ho
(4 Assists)
,
A. Moran
(4 Assists)
Middlesbrough - Stoke Key Points
- Stoke City lost their last two matches.
- Stoke City have six losses in the last 11 away matches.
- Middlesbrough won five of their last eight home matches.
- In eight League Cup matches, Middlesbrough have seven wins.
- Middlesbrough have five wins in eight home games against Stoke.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction
Middlesbrough reached the League Cup semi-finals last season and are looking to go on another good run in the competition. In the first round, they overcame a strong opponent – Leeds United – and will be unfazed by The Potters.
While they haven't been great against Stoke City lately, they’ve been dominant in this fixture at home. That, and their recent run in this competition should push them here. Stoke City are not only coming from back-to-back losses, their away form hasn’t also been great. Our prediction for Middlesbrough v Stoke City is for Middlesbrough to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Stoke
| Middlesbrough vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 1.91 | 151 | +7,805.8% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 51 | +1,357.1% |
| Stoke wins | 3.75 | 1 | -73.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7,805.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 0.7% (-51.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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