England - Championship
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by Joseph King in Championship Predictions
Eighth-place Middlesbrough continue to battle for a spot in the promotion playoff when they host 18th-placed Oxford United for matchday 39 in the English Championship. Will Boro close the gap on the top six or will the U’s win their second straight game? Here’s our match prediction.
Middlesbrough come into this match after picking up a fortunate point in their latest 0-0 away draw with Luton two weeks ago. Boro were heavily outplayed in that encounter, managing only 0.24 expected goals (xG) compared to their opponent’s 2.46 xG total.
They’ll be hoping for an improved performance at the Riverside Stadium, where they have been solid overall with nine wins and five draws from 19 games. The hosts have now posted a 3-1-1 record in their last five matches and trail sixth-place West Brom by three points.
Oxford put an end to their lengthy nine-match winless run in their last appearance with a 1-0 home over Watford. It marked the team’s ninth win at home and moved them four points clear of the relegation zone.
With eight matches remaining in the Championship season, the U’s could be at risk of dropping into a relegation battle if they aren’t careful. Unfortunately for them, they’ve really struggled to get results on the road, winning only once in 19 attempts.
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The Best Betting Odds for Middlesbrough v Oxford United Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.62 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
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1.57 | 4 | 6 |
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1.91 | 2.62 | 4.6 |
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1.59 | 4.15 | 5.5 |
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1.59 | 4.15 | 5.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Oxford United?
Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Oxford United match is: Middlesbrough wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/03/2025 between Middlesbrough and Oxford United in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.46% for a win of Middlesbrough against Oxford United with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Oxford United is 21.7% with odds of 4.28 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Oxford United vs Middlesbrough with odds of 6 at Betfred.
Middlesbrough - Oxford United Prediction and Best Odds:
Middlesbrough Oxford United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Middlesbrough wins | 56.46% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
Under 2.5 | 61.44% | 2 at Bet365 |
Both Team To Score | 41.67% | 1.91 at Vbet |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough | 28.18% | 4.5 at Betsson |
Middlesbrough vs Oxford United Form
Middlesbrough and Oxford United's standings in the Championship
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
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57 | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
19
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42 | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | -17 |
Middlesbrough and Oxford United Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Feb 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
3 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship

1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
7 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
7 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
4 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
Middlesbrough vs Oxford United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
Middlesbrough against Oxford United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists








Middlesbrough - Oxford United Key Points
- Middlesbrough have won their last two home fixtures.
- Oxford have lost 11 of their 19 away Championship matches.
- Middlesbrough won the reverse fixture by a scoreline of 6-2 back in November.
- The visitors have scored just 12 away goals while conceding 30.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Oxford United Prediction
Middlesbrough absolutely dominated the reverse fixture, blasting six goals past Oxford as the away team. Now, back in front of the home fans, Boro have a golden opportunity to cut into the three point deficit which sees them trailing the promotion playoff.
Oxford finally got back into the win column after almost two months since their last victory. However, they’ve been a real Jekyll and Hyde team when it comes to their home vs away form and will likely find it tough on Saturday. Our Middlesbrough vs Oxford prediction: Middlesbrough wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Oxford United
Middlesbrough vs Oxford United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Middlesbrough wins | 1.5 | 1.62 | +8.0% |
Draw | 4.2 | 3.9 | -7.1% |
Oxford United wins | 6 | 5.5 | -8.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 61.7% (-4.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Middlesbrough vs. Oxford United game!
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Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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