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Middlesbrough vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Middlesbrough
08/04/2025 15:00
Leeds

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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 by Joseph King in Championship Predictions

Middlesbrough will look to consolidate their fifth-place position when they host third-place Leeds for matchday 41 of the English Championship on Tuesday. Boro are involved in a tight battle for a spot in the promotion playoffs while the Whites are seeking automatic promotion. Here’s our match prediction!

Middlesbrough come into this match in a fine run of form after taking 10 points from the last 12 available. They struck twice in the first 10 minutes of play in their 2-0 away win over Blackburn over the weekend to secure their second straight victory.

The result raises Michael Carrick’s side to 60 points, putting them level with sixth-place Bristol and maintaining a slim one-point lead over seventh-place Coventry. With a 15-point gap between themselves and fourth-place Sunderland, the goal for the rest of the campaign will be to wrap up the fifth seed.

As for Leeds, only a single victory in their last six outings sees them with ground to make up if they are to achieve automatic promotion back to the Premier League. The visitors were held to a 1-1 away draw with Luton in their last match, marking their third draw in a row.

Leeds trail third-place Sheffield by one point and leaders Burnley by two points, meaning there is still plenty that can change in the final few matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Middlesbrough v Leeds Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.5 4.2 1.65
Betfred
4.2 4 1.8
Ladbrokes
4.5 3.9 1.73
NetBet
4 3.7 1.63
1xbet
4.35 4.05 1.74
Check all Middlesbrough vs Leeds odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Leeds?

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Leeds match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/04/2025 between Middlesbrough and Leeds in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.85% for a win of Middlesbrough against Leeds with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Leeds is 19.85% with odds of 4.2 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 47.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Middlesbrough with odds of 1.8 at Betfred.

Middlesbrough - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:

Middlesbrough Leeds Prediction Probability Odds
Leeds wins 47.3% 1.8 at Betfred
Over 2.5 goals 51.63% 1.84 at Stake
Both Team To Score 49.17% 1.7 at Ladbrokes
Half-time / Full-time: Leeds/Leeds 19.46% 2.8 at Betfair

Middlesbrough vs Leeds Form

Middlesbrough and Leeds's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Leeds
Leeds
94 44 27 13 4 60
9
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
64 45 18 10 17 10

Middlesbrough and Leeds Last Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
W L W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  2
Middlesbrough

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Oxford United

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
0 :  0
Middlesbrough

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
QPR

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Derby County
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Oxford United

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
QPR

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Derby County

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Watford

3 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  3
Sunderland

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  0
West Brom
L L W L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  2
Middlesbrough

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
0 :  0
Middlesbrough

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

25 Feb 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  3
Middlesbrough

21 Feb 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  1
Middlesbrough
Leeds
Leeds Last matches
D L W D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  1
Leeds

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  2
Swansea

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

QPR
2 :  2
Leeds

12 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Millwall

9 Mar 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  0
Leeds

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  1
West Brom
W L W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  2
Swansea

12 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Millwall

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  1
West Brom

17 Feb 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  1
Sunderland

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Leeds
0 :  2
Millwall

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Leeds
7 :  0
Cardiff
W W W L D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  1
Leeds

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

QPR
2 :  2
Leeds

9 Mar 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  0
Leeds

24 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  3
Leeds

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Watford
0 :  4
Leeds

5 Feb 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
0 :  2
Leeds

Middlesbrough vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Middlesbrough

17 %

Draw

17 %

Leeds

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Leeds
0 :  3
Middlesbrough

22 Apr 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  4
Leeds

2 Dec 2023 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  2
Middlesbrough

26 Feb 2020 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Leeds

9 Feb 2019 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Leeds
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Players list

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

M. Travers

Defender

A. Dijksteel

R. van den Berg

Midfielder

J. Howson

D. Fry

H. Hackney

F. Azaz

Forward

S. Iling-Junior

M. Forss

T. Conway

M. Whittaker

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

K. Darlow

Defender

J. Bogle

J. Rodon

E. Ampadu

S. Byram

Midfielder

A. Tanaka

I. Gruev

J. Guilavogui

G. Wilfried

Forward

I. Schmidt

P. Bamford

Substitutes

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

T. Glover

Defender

D. Fry

A. Morris

Midfielder

L. Woolston

L. McCabe

D. Barlaser

R. Giles

R. McGree

Forward

M. Whittaker

K. Iheanacho

M. Forss

D. Burgzorg

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

I. Meslier

Defender

J. Guilavogui

B. Aaronson

S. Byram

J. Firpo

M. Wober

Midfielder

I. Schmidt

D. James

Forward

G. Wilfried

M. Solomon

L. Ramazani

P. Bamford

J. Piroe

Mateo Joseph

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
Scotland T. Conway (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands J. Piroe (19 Goals)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (11 Assists)
Best assists
Israel M. Solomon (12 Assists)

Middlesbrough - Leeds Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in six of Leeds’ last eight games.
  2. The visitors are the highest-scoring team in the division with 79 goals scored.
  3. Middlesbrough are the third highest-scoring team with 61 goals.
  4. The hosts have seen both teams get on the scoresheet in their last two straight home matches.
  5. The reverse fixture ended in a 3-1 scoreline.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Leeds Prediction

This is likely to be a difficult matchup for Leeds, despite coming in as the favorites. They’ve found it really tough to hold on to the full three points in recent weeks and will now have to contend with an in-form Boro side that is playing well at the Riverside.

Leeds still, however, have been able to find the net with consistency and their recent appearances have been back-and-forth affairs. With Middlesbourgh experiencing success on the attacking side as well, we expect this one to finish at least 1-1. Our Middlesbrough vs Leeds prediction: both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
Exclusive Offer
$200 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Leeds

Middlesbrough vs Leeds Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Middlesbrough wins 4.5 4.5 0%
Draw 3.9 4.2 +7.7%
Leeds wins 1.7 1.65 -2.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Leeds is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 60.6% (1.8%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Middlesbrough vs. Leeds game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Middlesbrough and Leeds? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Middlesbrough vs Leeds Prediction
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