England - Championship
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Middlesbrough vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Sridhar | in Championship Predictions
Middlesbrough will look to pile pressure on the relegation-threatened Derby as the sides meet in a Championship matchday 35 meeting on Saturday. This match at the Riverside Stadium between the 11th-placed Boro and the 23rd-placed Rams comes with our prediction of a home win.
Ahead of this round, Middlesbrough’s 47 points put them four points behind the playoff spots. Derby have 29 points to their credit and are still four points adrift of safety.
Middlesbrough won 3-1 away at Stoke last weekend, ending a run of five consecutive defeats. These results took them farther from the playoff race, but they can now hope to revive their push.
The hosts need to be careful of their form at Riverside Stadium in recent weeks, having lost two league games in a row here. Derby may struggle to make the most of those results, as they are beaten 1-0 at home by Millwall. That result extended their winless run to 11 matches in all competitions, losing nine and drawing two.
The Rams remain closer to the bottom of the points tally, as they struggle for goals. While they have been scoring consistently away from home, Derby’s record of five defeats and one draw suggests it could be a tricky visit this weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Middlesbrough v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.7 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.75 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.95 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.95 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.96 | 5 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.96 | 5 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.92 | 4.92 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.88 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.57 | 4 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.13 | 5.39 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.8 | 5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Derby County match is: Middlesbrough wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/03/2025 between Middlesbrough and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.42% for a win of Middlesbrough against Derby County with odds of 1.77 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Derby County is 33.31% with odds of 4.13 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Middlesbrough with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
Middlesbrough vs Derby County Form
Middlesbrough and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
|
23
|
29 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -14 |
Middlesbrough and Derby County Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
3 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
3 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
14 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
Middlesbrough vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
1 Jan 2019 - Championship
27 Oct 2018 - Championship
Middlesbrough vs Derby County last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Middlesbrough
Derby County
E. Latte Lath
(11 Goals)
J. Yates
(7 Goals)
F. Azaz
(10 Assists)
N. Mendez Laing
(4 Assists)
Middlesbrough and Derby County Stats in Championship
Middlesbrough - Derby County Key Points
- Derby lost ten of their last 12 competitive matches, drawing the other two.
- Away from home, Derby failed to win any of their last ten competitive trips, losing seven.
- Derby lost five of their last six away league matches.
- Middlesbrough scored in six of their last eight home league matches.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Derby County Prediction
Only Luton have scored fewer goals than Derby this season in the Championship, and the Rams are feeling the pressure of relegation trouble. While there is still a lot of time left in the campaign, Derby need to find a way past its scoring troubles to have hopes of beating the drop. Middlesbrough lost their two recent home games but have otherwise been a difficult side at this venue. They will be desperate to continue winning, and our Middlesbrough vs Derby County prediction is Middlesbrough wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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