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England - Championship

Middlesbrough
29 Dec 2024 15:00
Burnley

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Middlesbrough vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Ian John in Championship Predictions

There’s Championship action at the Riverside on Saturday evening as Middlesbrough hosts in-form Burnley in a crucial promotion battle between the two. Can the Smoggies land a massive win in this match, or will our prediction favour the Clarets or another market entirely? 

It is fair to say that Michael Carrick’s Middlesbrough have had a real mixed bag of results at home this season. Their record is decent, as they lie seventh in the table just outside the playoff places. But they have only won half of their games at home, drawing three and losing three as well as their six wins. 

They come into this fixture having drawn two successive games by a 3-3 scoreline, first an exciting away draw at Plymouth Argyle, followed by Boxing Day’s entertaining clash with Sheffield Wednesday, which saw the home side squander a 3-0 half-time lead against the Owls. 

Burnley’s form is outstanding, and Scott Parker will be thrilled with how his team is performing, especially away from home, where they have won all of their last four games and conceded just one goal over that period of victories. 

Unbeaten in their last ten Championship games they have recorded wins in their last three, 2-1 away to Norwich, 2-1 at home to Watford and most impressively a 2-0 win at promotion rivals Sheffield United on Boxing Day. 

They now lie third in the table, just one point off top spot.

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The Best Betting Odds for Middlesbrough v Burnley Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.35 3.2 3.1
Betfred
2.4 3.3 3
Ladbrokes
2.6 2.37 3.2
1xbet
2.35 3.34 3.05
22bet
2.35 3.34 3.05
Betobet
2.35 3.25 3
Betwinner
2.35 3.34 3.05
LSbet
2.35 3.34 3.05
Stake
2.4 3.25 3
Melbet
2.35 3.34 3.05
Tonybet
2.44 3.3 3.05
Vbet
2.3 3.26 3.04
Betway
2.3 3.2 3
Unibet
2.43 3.25 2.9
Betfair
2.45 3.25 3
Betsson
2.33 3.36 3.07
William Hill
2.4 3.25 3
Check all Middlesbrough vs Burnley odds
Up to $150 to bet on Middlesbrough - Burnley! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Burnley?

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Burnley match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2024 between Middlesbrough and Burnley in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.01% for a win of Middlesbrough against Burnley with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Burnley is 26.44% with odds of 3.36 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Middlesbrough with odds of 3.2 at Ladbrokes.

Middlesbrough vs Burnley Form

Middlesbrough and Burnley's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Burnley
Burnley
47 23 13 8 2 21
7
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
36 23 10 6 7 10

Middlesbrough and Burnley Last Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
W D L W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  3
Sheffield Wednesday

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Plymouth
3 :  3
Middlesbrough

14 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Millwall

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

6 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

30 Nov 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
Hull
L W L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  3
Sheffield Wednesday

14 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Millwall

30 Nov 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
Hull

27 Nov 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Blackburn

9 Nov 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
5 :  1
Luton Town

2 Nov 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  3
Coventry City
D W W D L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
3 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Plymouth
3 :  3
Middlesbrough

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

6 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  6
Middlesbrough

5 Nov 2024 - Championship

QPR
1 :  4
Middlesbrough

27 Oct 2024 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  3
Middlesbrough
Burnley
Burnley Last matches
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
0 :  2
Burnley

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  1
Watford

17 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
4 :  0
Hull City

15 Dec 2024 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Burnley

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Derby County

7 Dec 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup

Brighton & Hove Albion Reserve
0 :  0
Burnley
W W D D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  1
Watford

17 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
4 :  0
Hull City

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Derby County

6 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

3 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
8 :  1
Birmingham City

26 Nov 2024 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  0
Coventry City
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
0 :  2
Burnley

15 Dec 2024 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Burnley

7 Dec 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup

Brighton & Hove Albion Reserve
0 :  0
Burnley

30 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Burnley

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Burnley

18 Nov 2024 - Professional Development League

Sheffield Wednesday
3 :  2
Burnley

Middlesbrough vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Middlesbrough

0 %

Draw

40 %

Burnley

60 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
60%
BTTS
0.6
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.4
Goals scored (Team 2)
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

6 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

7 Apr 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  2
Burnley

17 Dec 2022 - Championship

Burnley
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

8 Apr 2017 - Premier League

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Burnley

26 Dec 2016 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  0
Middlesbrough
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Middlesbrough vs Burnley last Lineups

Middlesbrough

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

31
S. Brynn
15
A. Dijksteel
3
R. van den Berg
6
D. Fry
30
N. Borges
4
D. Barlaser
7
H. Hackney
50
B. Doak
20
F. Azaz
10
D. Burgzorg
22
T. Conway
19
Z. Flemming
28
H. Mejbri
8
J. Brownhill
11
J. Anthony
29
J. Laurent
24
J. Cullen
12
B. Humphreys
5
M. Esteve
6
C. Egan-Riley
14
C. Roberts
1
J. Trafford

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Burnley

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
CD Huachipato Burnley
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast E. Latte Lath (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Brownhill (9 Goals)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (9 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil L. Pires (2 Assists)
Wales C. Roberts (2 Assists)
England J. Anthony (2 Assists)
England J. Brownhill (2 Assists)

Middlesbrough and Burnley Stats in Championship

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Burnley
Burnley
43%
Victories
57%
26%
Draw
35%
30%
Defeats
9%
3.13
Total goals per match
1.7
1.78
Goals scored per match
1.3
1.35
Goals conceded per match
0.39
48%
Over 2.5
22%
52%
Under 2.5
78%
52%
BTTS
30%
26%
No goals conceded
61%

Middlesbrough - Burnley Key Points

  1. Seven of Middlesbrough's eleven home games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Just 22% of Burnley's games this season have seen three or more goals scored.
  3. The teams met back on the 6th of December, the game finishing in a 1-1 draw.
  4. Burnley have conceded just five goals in 12 league away games this season.
Up to $150 to bet on Middlesbrough - Burnley! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Middlesbrough vs Burnley Prediction

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs. Burnley Championship match is: Under 2.5 Goals. 

Middlesbrough home matches this season have been a real mix of results, but generally games against the better teams have been low-scoring affairs. Add to that Burnley's outstanding defensive record, which has seen them concede just five goals in their twelve away games this season (scoring 15) and it looks like being another very tight contest at the Riverside at the weekend, making the Under 2.5 Goals option very appealing. 

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Middlesbrough and Burnley? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Middlesbrough vs Burnley Prediction
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