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Middlesbrough vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Joseph King | in Championship Predictions
Two of the English Championship’s top three face off at the Riverside Stadium with Middlesbrough hosting Burnley for this matchday 38 fixture. With seven matches remaining in their league campaign, there’s still time for third-place Middlesbrough to chase down second-place Sheffield United for the final automatic promotion spot to next season’s Premier League. Boro currently trail Sheffield by six points but have the disadvantage of having played a game more than the Blades, meaning a victory here against the league leaders will be vital. Burnley hold a comfortable 11 point lead atop the table and look all but guaranteed to win promotion as the league champions.
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The oddsmakers have this one priced as a dead heat with both Middlesbrough and Burnley receiving equal odds of 2.63 to take the three points. If you think this match will end in a stalemate you can get odds of 3.40. The books lean towards a lower-scoring affair as the under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.80 while over 2.5 comes in at odds of 2.00.
Middlesbrough vs Burnley Form
Middlesbrough and Burnley's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
101 | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 52 |
|
4
|
75 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 28 |
Middlesbrough and Burnley Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Mar 2023 - Championship
4 Mar 2023 - Championship
25 Feb 2023 - Championship
15 Feb 2023 - Championship
28 Jan 2023 - Championship
22 Jan 2023 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Mar 2023 - Championship
4 Mar 2023 - Championship
28 Jan 2023 - Championship
7 Jan 2023 - FA Cup
26 Dec 2022 - Championship
10 Dec 2022 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2023 - Championship
15 Feb 2023 - Championship
22 Jan 2023 - Championship
29 Dec 2022 - Championship
17 Dec 2022 - Championship
12 Nov 2022 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2023 - Championship
18 Mar 2023 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2023 - Championship
11 Mar 2023 - Championship
4 Mar 2023 - Championship
1 Mar 2023 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2023 - Championship
11 Mar 2023 - Championship
1 Mar 2023 - FA Cup
25 Feb 2023 - Championship
14 Feb 2023 - Championship
11 Feb 2023 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Mar 2023 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2023 - Championship
4 Mar 2023 - Championship
21 Feb 2023 - Championship
18 Feb 2023 - Championship
4 Feb 2023 - Championship
Middlesbrough vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Dec 2022 - Championship
8 Apr 2017 - Premier League
26 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Middlesbrough - Burnley: Form Analysis
Middlesbrough fell to a surprising 4-2 away loss to relegation-threatened Huddersfield Town in their last match. The promotion-hopefuls were significant favorites in that encounter but were unable to withstand a surge of three goals in 11 minutes by the Terriers after the break. Middlesbrough return now to the Riverside where they have been very good this season, winning 11 of their matches while losing only twice. It’s the defense that has shown the most notable jump in performance with only 14 goals conceded this season on home soil compared to 32 away from home. Manager Michael Carrick has overseen a few excellent recent home results with his team recording victories of 5-0 and 4-0 in two of the last three home matches.
Burnley also find themselves in a ‘bounce-back’ spot here after being kept off the scoresheet in two consecutive matches for only the first time all season. A heavy 6-0 defeat to Man City in the FA Cup preceded a 0-0 draw to Sunderland in their last fixture. This sequence of results represents the first time since the 5th of October that Burnley have gone more than a single match failing to record a win. It’s a true testament to just how dominant Vincent Kompany’s side has been this year as they have separated themselves as the clear cream of the crop in England’s second tier.
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Players list
Z. Steffen
DefenderT. Smith
P. McNair
D. Lenihan
MidfielderR. Giles
M. Forss
A. Ramsey
J. Howson
R. McGree
ForwardM. Crooks
C. Akpom
A. Muric
DefenderJ. Beyer
C. Roberts
I. Maatsen
A. Al-Dakhil
MidfielderJ. Cullen
J. Cork
J. Brownhill
ForwardA. Barnes
M. Obafemi
Vitinho
Substitutes
L. Roberts
DefenderD. Fry
M. Bola
MidfielderM. Crooks
A. Mowatt
D. Barlaser
ForwardM. Forss
B. Peacock-Farrell
DefenderH. Ekdal
Vitinho
J. Cork
S. Twine
ForwardB. Manuel
M. Obafemi
Middlesbrough & Burnley Squad Analysis
Both sides come into this match relatively healthy considering the grind that is the Championship season. The hosts only injury concern is defender Matt Clarke who remains sidelined with a back problem. Manager Michael Carrick might be tempted to make some changes after his side were torn apart by a struggling Huddersfield attack.
On the other side, Burnley manager Vincent Kompany could soon have striker Jay Rodriguez back in the fray with the 33-year-old closing in on a return after a lengthy spell on the sidelines. Michael Obafemi could make his first start up top for the Clarets here after completing a loan move from Swansea earlier in the season. Middlesbrough will also have to pay special attention to Nathan Tella, as the 23-year-old has had a breakout season on loan from Southampton.
Most goals and assists
Middlesbrough
Burnley
C. Akpom
(29 Goals)
N. Tella
(19 Goals)
Middlesbrough - Burnley Key Points
- Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last 11 matches at home in the Championship.
- Boro has scored 10 goals in their last three matches at the Riverside while conceding only once.
- Burnley’s only two losses of the Championship season have come away from home.
- Burnley have only managed one win in their last four away matches across all competitions.
- Middlesbrough has a dominant 2.05 expected goals scored and 0.95 expected goals against at home this season.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Burnley Prediction
The bookmakers clearly think this is going to be an extremely tight match given how they have priced this one. While a 1-1 type of draw could certainly be on the cards and likely wouldn’t be too disappointing for either manager, we rate the hosts chances at edging this one slightly better than those of the visitors.they have priced. Middlesbrough are on a roll in front of the home fans as of late and the underlying numbers back up how good they have been. It will be interesting to see how Burnley respond as it is the first time this season that they Clarets have been held to back-to-back scoreless matches. Our Middlesbrough vs Burnley prediction: Middlesbrough draw no bet
Middlesbrough vs Burnley - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
1-1 exact score
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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