Mexico vs Jamaica Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Sridhar in Copa America Predictions
Jamaica can create history with a first-ever win in the Copa America competition, but will have to go past Mexico in their inaugural match of the 2024 edition.
This Group B game will be played at the NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas, on Sunday morning, UK time. With Ecuador and Venezuela being the other teams in this group, a win here could put them in a strong position to qualify for the knockouts.
Mexico are participating in the tournament for the first time since 2016, when they made it to the quarterfinals, while Jamaica played in the 2015 and 2016 editions, losing all six matches without even scoring a goal.
Can Mexico edge out Jamaica, or is there history in the making?
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The Best Betting Odds for Mexico v Jamaica Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.73 | 2.8 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.55 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.02 | 19 | 501 |
|
|
1.02 | 19 | 501 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.82 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.01 | 14.75 | 100 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.74 | 5.85 |
|
|
1.58 | 4 | 6.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mexico and Jamaica?
Our prediction for the Mexico vs Jamaica match is: Mexico to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/22/24 between Mexico and Jamaica in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.9% for a win of Mexico against Jamaica with odds of 1.73 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mexico vs Jamaica is 23.51% with odds of 19 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Jamaica vs Mexico with odds of 501 at 1xbet.
Mexico - Jamaica Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mexico Jamaica Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Jamaica wins | 39.59% | 501 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.47% | 2.23 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 55.83% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Jamaica | 16.35% | 13 at Bet365 |
Mexico vs Jamaica Form
Mexico and Jamaica's standings in the Copa America
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
Mexico and Jamaica Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
31 May 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
16 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
24 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
3 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
Mexico against Jamaica : Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
26 Mar 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
14 Jun 2022 - CONCACAF Nations League
27 Jan 2022 - World Cup
2 Sep 2021 - World Cup
Mexico - Jamaica: Form Analysis
Mexico went through a roller-coaster ride in their three warm-up matches before the tournament. They defeated Bolivia 1-0, but went on to lose 4-0 to Uruguay and 3-2 to Brazil.
That is not ideal preparation on paper, but the quality of the opposition should have surely given them a good workout. They are in the Copa America competition for the first time since 2016, when they made it to the quarterfinals, so there’s enough incentive to get back to form. Their FIFA ranking of 14, which is 41 places better than Jamaica, also tells the story of a side that can bring their best game when needed.
El Tri have also won six of their last 11 matches against Jamaica, including a 3-0 win last time in July. This time around, though, Jamaica will come well prepared. They have won their last three matches coming into the tournament, against Panama (1-0), the Dominican Republic (1-0), and Dominica (3-2).
That should keep the spirits high in the camp as they look to notch a first-ever win in the Copa America competition. They have lost all six matches in the two editions in which they participated and even failed to score a goal. That’s history on the line for Jamaica if they can find something in their game to take advantage of Mexico’s generational change.
Jamaica has their own problems to tackle, as the internal squabbles around players from the Premier League not getting enough credit have put them in a spot.
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Mexico against Jamaica Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
E. Alvarez
A. Blake
DefenderA. Bell
Mexico & Jamaica Squad Analysis
Mexico will pin their hopes on the exciting 23-year-old striker Santiago Gimenez, who has four goals to his name on national duty. He has 26 goals and eight assists for Feyenoord in club football and will be their mainstay. Edson Alaverez of West Ham will man the central midfield, while Jorge Sanchez is expected to lead the backline.
Jamaica went through an internal controversy, with striker Leon Bailey refusing to turn up despite being called up. There is still enough depth on the side with West Ham’s Michail Antonio and Demarai Gray. Michael Hector and Damion Lowe could be the ones slated to start at the back.
Mexico - Jamaica Key Points
- Mexico won 3-0 against Jamaica in July 2023 when the sides last met
- Mexico have two wins and a draw from their last four matches in the Copa America competition
- Jamaica have never won a match in the Copa America competition, losing all six
- Jamaica have conceded five goals in their last four matches
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Our Mexico vs Jamaica Prediction
Mexico’s preparations for the tournament have been far from ideal, losing three of their last four matches. That said, those have come up against tougher teams like the United States, Uruguay, and Brazil. With a historical record of six wins and four draws from their last 11 matches against Jamaica, the Mexicans will look to get their tournament off to a winning start. Our prediction for Mexico vs Jamaica is a win for Mexico.
Mexico vs Jamaica - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Mexico have leaked goals recently, conceding nine in their last four matches. All those goals came against better-ranked teams like the United States, Uruguay, and Brazil, but Jamaica will pose a scoring threat. The Jamaicans have scored in their last four matches and will fancy their chances here of at least getting one goal.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mexico Jamaica
| Mexico vs Jamaica | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 1.62 | 1.44 | -11.1% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.5 | +18.4% |
| Jamaica wins | 5.75 | 7 | +21.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Jamaica is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 17.4% and is now 14.3% (-3.1%)
bet365 Euros Super Boost
Every day during the Euro 2024 tournament, bet365 is providing super boosts to all of their new and existing players. The Euro boosts are available on single bets only, so they can not be included in multiples and there are maximum stakes on them depending on your situation as one of their customers. They are easy to spot as they will be at the top of the homepage every day and will be indicated by a yellow arrow. The prices will vary day to day but as an example, the first-day bonus is a boost from 1.30 to 2.00 which is huge.
Mexico vs Jamaica match : Frequently asked questions
The Mexico vs Jamaica Copa America Group B match will be available live on Fox Sports 1 TV Channel in the USA. It can also be streamed live on the Fox Sports app.
Check out our Copa America Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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