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France - Ligue 1

Metz
14 Jan 2024 09:00
Toulouse

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Metz vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

 by Joseph King in Ligue 1 Predictions

A potential relegation six-pointer is in store for matchday 18 of the French Ligue 1 as 14th-place Metz host 16th-place Toulouse. These two are separated by just two points in the standings with Toulouse currently occupying the relegation playoff position. The three points in this match could be significant come the end of the season as both teams look to separate themselves from the bottom three. Metz come into this fixture off the back of a penalty shootout defeat to Clermont Foot in the French Cup last weekend. It marked an unwelcome return to play after the winter break which saw the Maroons lose their last four consecutive league fixtures prior to the holiday period. The hosts have really struggled to pick up positive results even in front of their home support. Metz have just a single win in their eight home matches while finding the back of the net just seven times.

Toulouse were able to return from the break with a 3-0 away win over lower-division side Chambery in the French Cup last weekend. The victory snapped a three match losing run for Les Violets whose prior win came in the Conference League over LASK. Domestically, it’s been a disappointing first half of the season for the team that finished 13th last season and was crowned champions of the Coupe de France. Their commitments to the Conference League looks to have taken its toll on their league form. Toulouse are winless in the French top flight for over three months with their last victory coming on October 1st. In those 10 winless Ligue 1 fixtures, Toulouse had managed to draw five with the other five ending in defeat. The goals simply haven’t been there for the visitors this season as they’ve found the net only 15 times, the second-lowest mark in the division.

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The Best Betting Odds for Metz v Toulouse Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.88 3.2 2.5
NetBet
2.95 3 2.5
1xbet
3.14 3.29 2.44
22bet
3.14 3.29 2.44
Betwinner
2.96 3.03 2.61
LSbet
2.96 3.03 2.61
Stake
3.1 3.3 2.49
Melbet
3.08 3.22 2.39
Tonybet
3.05 3.2 2.5
Betway
2.9 3 2.6
Unibet
2.9 3.05 2.6
Betsson
2.95 3.05 2.58
William Hill
3 3.1 2.5
Vbet
3.03 3.1 2.69
Check all Metz vs Toulouse odds
Up to $150 to bet on Metz - Toulouse! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Toulouse?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/01/2024 between Metz and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.59% for a win of Metz against Toulouse with odds of 3.14 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Toulouse is 32.33% with odds of 3.3 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 38.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Metz with odds of 2.69 at Vbet.

Metz - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:

Metz Toulouse Prediction Probability Odds
Toulouse wins 38.08% 2.69 at Vbet
Under 2.5 67.23% 1.63 at Vbet
Both Team To Score 40.83%
Half-time : Metz / Full-time : Toulouse 13.67% 126 at Betsson

Metz vs Toulouse Form

Metz and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11
Toulouse
Toulouse
43 34 11 10 13 -4
16
Metz
Metz
29 34 8 5 21 -23

Metz and Toulouse Last Matches

Metz
Metz Last matches
W L L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Metz
1 :  1
Clermont

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Metz

17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Montpellier Hsc

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Brest

3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  0
Metz

26 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  3
Metz
L D W L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

5 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Metz
1 :  1
Clermont

17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Montpellier Hsc

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Brest

12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
3 :  1
Nantes

29 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  0
Le Havre

7 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Nice
W L D W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Metz

3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  0
Metz

26 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  3
Metz

5 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Metz

22 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  1
Metz

1 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  0
Metz
Toulouse
Toulouse Last matches
L W D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Chambery SF
0 :  3
Toulouse

3 Jan 2024 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  0
Toulouse

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  2
Monaco

17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Rennes

14 Dec 2023 - Europa League

LASK Linz
1 :  2
Toulouse

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  0
Toulouse
L W D D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  2
Monaco

17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Rennes

3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  1
Lorient

30 Nov 2023 - Europa League

Toulouse
0 :  0
Union Saint-Gilloise

9 Nov 2023 - Europa League

Toulouse
3 :  2
Liverpool

5 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  2
Le Havre
D L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Chambery SF
0 :  3
Toulouse

3 Jan 2024 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  0
Toulouse

14 Dec 2023 - Europa League

LASK Linz
1 :  2
Toulouse

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  0
Toulouse

26 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  0
Toulouse

12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
Toulouse

Metz vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Metz

17 %

Draw

67 %

Toulouse

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

1 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  0
Metz

28 Sep 2019 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  2
Toulouse

3 Mar 2018 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  1
Toulouse

18 Nov 2017 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Metz

14 May 2017 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  1
Toulouse

19 Nov 2016 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  2
Metz
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Metz against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11

Metz

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
A. Oukidja
2
M. Colin
8
I. Traore
3
M. Udol
29
C. Herelle
21
J. N'Guessan
6
K. N-Doram
27
D. Jean-Jacques
10
G. Mikautadze
99
J. Asoro
14
C. Sabaly
9
T. Dallinga
8
V. Sierro
11
C. Gelabert
15
A. Donnum
24
C. Casseres Jr
4
S. Spierings
17
G. Suazo
2
R. Nicolaisen
12
W. Kamanzi
13
C. Mawissa
50
G. Restes

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Toulouse

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Metz
CD Huachipato Toulouse
Top Goalscorer
Georgia G. Mikautadze (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands T. Dallinga (18 Goals)
Best assists
France M. Udol (5 Assists)
Best assists
Chile G. Suazo (4 Assists)
Netherlands T. Dallinga (4 Assists)

Metz - Toulouse Key Points

  1. Metz home matches see an average of just 2.00 total goals in Ligue 1.
  2. Five of the hosts' eight home league matches (62.5%) have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  3. Metz now have just a single goal scored in their last 360 minutes of Ligue 1 football, failing to find the net on three of four occassions.
  4. Toulouse away league matches see an average of just 2.11 total goals scored this campaign.
  5. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in four of the last six for Toulouse in the league.
Up to $150 to bet on Metz - Toulouse! 

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Our Metz vs Toulouse Prediction

Two teams struggling to score will face off on Sunday with a massive three points up for grabs. With the way both teams are playing, it's difficult to envision anything other than a low-scoring, tightly-contested type of match. Metz have been decent defensively on their home patch but haven't been able to get the goals. Toulouse's Ligue 1 form has been dreadful with the majority of their matches only involving a goal or two. Our Metz vs Toulouse prediction is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Metz vs Toulouse Prediction
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