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Metz vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Metz will continue with the push for survival in Ligue 1 this Saturday when they welcome Champions League chasers, Lille. Lille are a point below the automatic Champions League qualification spot while Metz are one point above the relegation playoff position. Two straight wins have lifted Metz from the relegation zone and they will hope to continue in the same breath here. They followed on their win over Lens with a 1-0 away win over Le Havre most recently. The hosts also showed commendable fighting spirit against Brest and Monaco earlier. Here they come seeking a third consecutive league win for the first time this season. In November, when they were on the verge of three straight wins, their party ended in a 2-0 loss to Lille. They have a chance to pick it up with their visitors here and Metz can rely on their impressive scoring run. They only failed to score once in the last 11 league matches. However, there’s still work to be done defensively, having managed just three clean sheets in 20 league games. Four of their last five matches ended in over 2.5 goals as a result of this.
Lille’s push for a place in Europe has lately suffered a few blows. They were eliminated from the Conference League by Aston Villa before falling to Monaco, denting their top-three push. With 52 points, they’re four ahead of fifth placed Nice who are also eyeing a place in the Champions League. In this game, Lille will be looking to rise from a 1-0 loss to Monaco in their last game. They failed to build on the 1-0 win over Strasbourg, which stands as one of their two clean sheets in 10 matches. Both teams scored in seven of Lille’s last 10 matches, and defence comes as a key concern for the visitors. Whenever Lille kept a clean sheet in their last 10 away matches, they failed to win just once. They have three wins in 10 away matches, and come here without a win in the last three away games. With an eight-game unbeaten run against Metz, the visitors will come here full of confidence. The reverse fixture, played in December, was settled by two late first-half goals, Lille winning 2-0.
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The Best Betting Odds for Metz v Lille Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
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301 | 15 | 1.03 |
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5 | 4 | 1.67 |
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5.2 | 3.7 | 1.67 |
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5.3 | 3.85 | 1.58 |
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6.03 | 4.07 | 1.62 |
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6.03 | 4.07 | 1.62 |
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4.88 | 3.94 | 1.68 |
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4.88 | 3.94 | 1.68 |
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5.4 | 4.1 | 1.66 |
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5.9 | 3.98 | 1.58 |
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5.4 | 4 | 1.65 |
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301 | 26 | 1.01 |
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451 | 16 | 1.03 |
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23 | 1.08 | 11 |
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5.4 | 3.95 | 1.62 |
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5.5 | 3.8 | 1.63 |
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5.8 | 4.1 | 1.64 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Lille?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/04/2024 between Metz and Lille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.44% for a win of Metz against Lille with odds of 451 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Lille is 13.87% with odds of 26 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs Metz with odds of 11 at Betfair.
Metz - Lille Prediction and Best Odds:
Metz Lille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Lille wins | 50.69% | 11 at Betfair |
Over 2.5 goals | 54.05% | 1.95 at Vbet |
Both Team To Score | 60.83% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lille | 24.71% | 4.5 at Betsson |
Metz vs Lille Form
Metz and Lille's standings in the Ligue 1
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
|
59 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
16
|
29 | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | -23 |
Metz and Lille Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
19 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2024 - Conference League
11 Apr 2024 - Conference League
5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2024 - Conference League
5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2024 - Conference League
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2024 - Conference League
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2024 - Conference League
2 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
Metz vs Lille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
8 Aug 2021 - Ligue 1
9 Apr 2021 - Ligue 1
13 Sep 2020 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2019 - Ligue 1
Metz against Lille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Metz - Lille Key Points
- Both teams scored in seven of Metz’s last 11 league matches
- Metz have three clean sheets in their last 20 league matches
- Four of Metz’s last five matches ended in over 2.5 goals
- In seven of Lille’s last nine matches, both teams scored
- Seven of Lille’s last 11 league matches had over 2.5 goals
- Lille have managed just three clean sheets in their last 10 league games
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Our Metz vs Lille Prediction
Metz and Lille are two sides on good scoring runs but struggling defensively. They both need points here to further their season’s ambitions. We thus expect either side to put in the effort. Goals on both sides are therefore expected, which could make this a high-scoring game. Our prediction for Metz v Lille is for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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