Australia - A-League
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by Thobelani Moyo | in A-League Predictions
Melbourne Victory and Western United, two sides aiming to return to winning ways in the A-League will square off at AAMI Park on matchday 13. Melbourne Victory is fourth in the league standings, while Western United is sixth. Here's our match prediction.
Melbourne Victory head into this clash with disappointment written on their faces after dropping points in a nail-biting 2-2 home draw against Western Sydney Wanderers.
It's safe to say the hosts' confidence has dropped significantly considering they are winless in four league matches, recording three draws and a solitary loss.
However, the Big V have been unassailable at home this season. They are unbeaten in five games (W3, D2) with nine goals scored during this run. The last time they suffered defeat on home soil in the A-League was in April 2024 against Western Sydney Wanderers.
It was a dreadful display from Western United in their recent match against Melbourne City, who only managed two shots on target in a convincing 2-0 away defeat.
In light of that result, John Aloisi's men pulled the plug on a four-match winning streak in the league. They will aim to rekindle their confidence in this matchup where they've won four of their last seven matches across all competitions.
Away from home, they've been in top form, winning four of their last five matches. However, they've preserved one clean sheet during this run.
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Western United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.03 | 4.52 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.03 | 4.52 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Western United?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Western United match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Western United in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.74% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Western United with odds of 1.77 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Western United is 22.12% with odds of 4.2 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Western United vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 4.52 at 1xbet.
Melbourne Victory - Western United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Western United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 42.74% | 1.77 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.7% | 1.55 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory | 22.14% | 5.1 at Unibet |
Melbourne Victory vs Western United Form
Melbourne Victory and Western United's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
38 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 16 |
|
4
|
36 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
Melbourne Victory and Western United Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - A-League
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
28 Dec 2024 - A-League
21 Dec 2024 - A-League
8 Dec 2024 - A-League
1 Dec 2024 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2025 - A-League
3 Jan 2025 - A-League
29 Dec 2024 - A-League
20 Dec 2024 - A-League
14 Dec 2024 - A-League
7 Dec 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Western United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
40 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Dec 2024 - A-League
14 Mar 2024 - A-League
20 Feb 2024 - A-League
13 Mar 2023 - A-League
23 Mar 2022 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Western United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Western United
N. Vergos
(6 Goals)
, 
N. Velupillay
(6 Goals)
N. Botic
(11 Goals)
Z. Machach
(4 Assists)
,
D. Arzani
(4 Assists)
,
J. Valadon
(4 Assists)
R. Danzaki
(6 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Western United Key Points
- Three of Melbourne Victory's last five home league matches have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in each of their last four matches across all competitions.
- Five of Western United's last seven away league matches have seen both teams score.
- Melbourne Victory averages 1.8 goals per game at home, and Western United averages 2.29 goals per game away.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Western United Prediction
Melbourne Victory has the chance to unseat Melbourne City in second place by securing maximum points in this matchup. Such a feat should be possible, having won 3-1 in the reverse fixture.
Western United were unlucky not to have found the back of the net against Melbourne City. However, they did create a decent number of chances and appeared threatening in the final third. Hopefully, this time, they'll be more clinical in their bid to avoid a second consecutive league defeat. Our Melbourne Victory v Western United prediction is: Both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Western United
| Melbourne Victory vs Western United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 1.8 | 1.73 | -3.9% |
| Draw | 4 | 4 | 0% |
| Western United wins | 3.8 | 4.33 | +13.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 57.8% (2.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Western United game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Melbourne Victory and Western United? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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