Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath in A-League Predictions
Matchday 19 in the A-League will see Melbourne Victory playing host to Wellington Phoenix at AAMI Park on Friday. The Big V are sixth in the league standings while the Nix are 10th. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Melbourne Victory have struggled for consistency this season and are unlikely to have much say in the title race unless they can start finding results in the second half of the season.
The Big V suffered their fifth defeat of the season last weekend when they were beaten comprehensively by the Newcastle Jets on the road. That was also their third loss in four.
However, the hosts have been good at home, taking 14 points from a possible 21 at AAMI Park this season, while only conceding a single defeat (W4 D2 L1).
Meanwhile, Wellington Phoenix have experienced a major drop-off from their second-place finish last season, as they are currently on just 19 points after 10 games.
However, there has been a marginal improvement from the Nix of late. A 1-1 draw to Brisbane last time out extended their unbeaten run to four games (W1 D3 L0), which is a notable uptick after losing five of their preceding six matches.
The visitors have played six away games this term and have split the results three wins and three defeats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 4.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 7 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.77 | 7.25 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.77 | 7.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/02/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.46% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Wellington Phoenix with odds of 1.42 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix is 21.01% with odds of 5.55 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 8.5 at Betwinner.
Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Wellington Phoenix Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 48.46% | 1.42 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.15% | 2.44 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 44.79% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Melbourne Victory/Melbourne Victory | 24.29% | 2.08 at Unibet |
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Form
Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
39 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
|
11
|
24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -13 |
Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - A-League
1 Feb 2025 - A-League
24 Jan 2025 - A-League
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
4 Jan 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
4 Jan 2025 - A-League
21 Dec 2024 - A-League
8 Dec 2024 - A-League
9 Nov 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - A-League
1 Feb 2025 - A-League
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
28 Dec 2024 - A-League
30 Nov 2024 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Feb 2025 - A-League
24 Jan 2025 - A-League
20 Jan 2025 - A-League
15 Jan 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
3 Jan 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Feb 2025 - A-League
24 Jan 2025 - A-League
15 Jan 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
27 Dec 2024 - A-League
13 Dec 2024 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2025 - A-League
3 Jan 2025 - A-League
22 Dec 2024 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
9 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2024 - A-League
18 May 2024 - A-League
12 May 2024 - A-League
12 Apr 2024 - A-League
Players list
M. Langerak
DefenderJ. Rawlins
B. Hamill
R. Miranda
K. Bos
MidfielderJ. Valadon
R. Teague
Z. Machach
ForwardC. Santos Rodrigus
D. Arzani
B. Fornaroli
A. Kelly-Heald
DefenderT. Payne
I. Hughes
S. Wootton
N. Walker
S. Sutton
L. Brooke-Smith
M. Sheridan
MidfielderA. Rufer
K. Nagasawa
ForwardK. Barbarouses
Substitutes
J. Duncan
DefenderL. Jackson
MidfielderC. Santos Rodrigus
F. Monge
ForwardK. Bos
D. Arzani
B. Fornaroli
J. Oluwayemi
DefenderJ. Smith
MidfielderF. Conchie
A. Rufer
K. Nagasawa
L. Brooke-Smith
N. Walker
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
, 
N. Velupillay
(7 Goals)
K. Barbarouses
(10 Goals)
D. Arzani
(5 Assists)
H. Ishige
(8 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix Key Points
- Four of Melbourne Victory’s last six league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Melbourne Victory scored two or more goals in six of their seven home games this season.
- Four of Wellington Phoenix’s last five away league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Wellington Phoenix conceded two or more goals in three of their last four away games.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction
Both of these sides have experienced a fall from grace this season, dropping from the top three into mid-table, while struggling to string together a consistent run of results.
However, Melbourne Victory have been good at home, particularly in attack where they've only failed to score two or more goals in one match so far. Our Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Wellington Phoenix
| Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 1.95 | 1.4 | -28.2% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 4.75 | +35.7% |
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 3.9 | 7.5 | +92.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 28.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 71.4% (20.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Wellington Phoenix game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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