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Melbourne Victory vs Sydney Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
by Devesh Jaganath in Football Predictions
Matchday 16 in the A-League kicks off with Melbourne Victory playing host to Sydney FC AAMI Park on Friday. Big V are seventh in the league standings while the Sky Blues are two spots above them in fifth. Let’s get into the match prediction!
Melbourne Victory are in desperate need of a positive result here. After losing their last match to Adelaide United, they are now winless in their last six games since mid-December.
Chief among the Big V’s problems of late is poor defensive performances, as they have conceded two or more goals in each of their last three games and in four of their last five.
The hosts have also experienced a downturn of form at home, failing to win any of their last three matches after winning three on the bounce at the start of the season.
Meanwhile, Sydney enter this match off the back of a seven-goal thriller against Brisbane Roar, which they unfortunately lost 4-3 despite a huge effort in the closing stages.
That result brought an end to a six-match unbeaten streak which included three wins and three draws. However, they have now scored two or more goals in seven of their last eight games.
Despite their impressive attacking output, the Sky Blues have yet to win an away game this season, drawing three and losing one of four to date.
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Sydney Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 3.9 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.75 | 3 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.75 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.91 | 3.09 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.91 | 3.09 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.9 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.94 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.94 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.75 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.94 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.93 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.05 | 4 | 3 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.9 | 3.35 |
|
|
2 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.1 | 4 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Sydney?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Sydney match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Sydney in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.71% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Sydney with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Sydney is 36.63% with odds of 4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Sydney vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
Melbourne Victory - Sydney Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Sydney Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36.63% | 4 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.81% | 1.4 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | 1.42 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 15.54% | 7 at Bet365 |
Melbourne Victory vs Sydney Form
Melbourne Victory and Sydney's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
25 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
|
5
|
24 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Melbourne Victory and Sydney Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
4 Jan 2025 - A-League
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
28 Dec 2024 - A-League
21 Dec 2024 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
4 Jan 2025 - A-League
21 Dec 2024 - A-League
8 Dec 2024 - A-League
9 Nov 2024 - A-League
3 Nov 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
28 Dec 2024 - A-League
1 Dec 2024 - A-League
23 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
15 Jan 2025 - A-League
11 Jan 2025 - A-League
8 Jan 2025 - A-League
4 Jan 2025 - A-League
28 Dec 2024 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
11 Jan 2025 - A-League
8 Jan 2025 - A-League
28 Dec 2024 - A-League
14 Dec 2024 - A-League
5 Dec 2024 - AFC Cup, Group A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - A-League
4 Jan 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2024 - A-League
8 Dec 2024 - A-League
28 Nov 2024 - AFC Cup, Group A
1 Nov 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Sydney Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Dec 2024 - A-League
26 Jan 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Sydney Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
N. Vergos
(3 Goals)
, 
R. Teague
(3 Goals)
,
N. Velupillay
(3 Goals)
,
B. Fornaroli
(3 Goals)
, 
C. Santos Rodrigus
(3 Goals)
J. Lolley
(10 Goals)
N. Vergos
(3 Assists)
, 
Z. Machach
(3 Assists)
,
D. Arzani
(3 Assists)
A. Ouahim
(7 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Sydney Key Points
- Four of Melbourne Victory’s last five games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in five of their six home games this season.
- Twelve of Sydney’s 14 league games this season have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Sydney have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 league matches.
- Three or more goals were scored in two of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Sydney Prediction
Melbourne Victory are in a bit of a rut at the moment, having failed to win any of their last six league games and they have been shipping goals in bulk lately, conceding two or more in four of their last five.
That does not bode well for the hosts’ chances against Sydney, who are the highest-scoring team in the league with 32 goals in just 14 matches. Therefore, our Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC prediction is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Sydney
| Melbourne Victory vs Sydney | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 2.15 | 2.05 | -4.7% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.9 | +4.0% |
| Sydney wins | 3 | 3.2 | +6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.7% and is now 25.6% (-1.0%)
Use £30 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Sydney game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Melbourne Victory and Sydney? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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