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Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
by Devesh Jaganath in A-League Predictions
Cross-town rivals Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City will face off in the A-League Melbourne Derby on Saturday at AAMI Park. The Big V are third in the league standings while Hearts are only one point behind them in fourth. Check out our match prediction below!
Melbourne Victory notched up their eighth win of the season last weekend when they scored the only goal in a 1-0 win over a stuttering Wellington Phoenix at home.
That result was the Big V’s third win in four league games (W3 D0 L1) - a significant improvement after failing to win any of their six preceding matches in the top flight (W0 D3 L3).
The hosts have earned 17 of their 28 points to date on their home patch and have only suffered one defeat at this venue so far this season (W5 D2 L1).
Meanwhile, Melbourne City returned to the win column last week with a much-needed 1-0 victory over Perth Glory on their home patch.
The win saw the side avoid a fourth straight defeat in the top flight, a period during which they failed to score a single goal.
However, the visitors have been very poor on the road of late, currently riding a three-match losing streak and winless in their last five since mid-December (W0 D2 L3).
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Melbourne City Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.2 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
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2.1 | 3.4 | 3 |
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2.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
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2.2 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
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2.2 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
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2.2 | 3.5 | 3.15 |
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2.19 | 3.62 | 3.13 |
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2.19 | 3.62 | 3.13 |
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2.13 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
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2.19 | 3.62 | 3.13 |
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2.15 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
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2.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
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2.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
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2.17 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
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2.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
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2 | 3.5 | 3.35 |
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2.1 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City match is: Melbourne Victory draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/02/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.22% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Melbourne City with odds of 2.2 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City is 31.48% with odds of 3.62 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City Prediction and Best Odds:
Melbourne Victory Melbourne City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Melbourne Victory wins | 44.22% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
Under 2.5 | 61.72% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Both Team To Score | 49.58% | 1.65 at Betsson |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory | 16.51% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Form
Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City's standings in the A-League
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3
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28 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
4
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27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City Last Matches
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3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2025 - A-League
8 Feb 2025 - A-League
1 Feb 2025 - A-League
24 Jan 2025 - A-League
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2025 - A-League
24 Jan 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
4 Jan 2025 - A-League
21 Dec 2024 - A-League
8 Dec 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - A-League
1 Feb 2025 - A-League
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
28 Dec 2024 - A-League
1 Dec 2024 - A-League

3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - A-League
7 Feb 2025 - A-League
25 Jan 2025 - A-League
17 Jan 2025 - A-League
11 Jan 2025 - A-League
7 Jan 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - A-League
11 Jan 2025 - A-League
7 Jan 2025 - A-League
3 Jan 2025 - A-League
15 Dec 2024 - A-League
30 Nov 2024 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - A-League
25 Jan 2025 - A-League
17 Jan 2025 - A-League
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
21 Dec 2024 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
60 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Dec 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
5 May 2024 - A-League
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
17 Feb 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Most goals and assists
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
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
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Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City Key Points
- Melbourne Victory have won three of their last four league games.
- Melbourne Victory have kept clean sheets in their of their last four league games.
- Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in six of their eight home games this season.
- Melbourne City have lost three of their last four league games.
- Melbourne City are winless in their last five away league games.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Prediction
With just a single point separating these two sides, there is plenty at stake in this weekend’s Melbourne Derby, and it is the Big V that enter the contest with momentum having won three of their last four games.
Hearts also notched up a much-needed victory in their last match, but they have lost their last three on the road and are winless in their last five outings. We fancy the hosts to avoid defeat in this one. Our Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction is Melbourne Victory draw no bet.
Use £30 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Melbourne City game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings