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Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
by Devesh Jaganath in Football Predictions
Saturday’s A-League action will conclude with the Melbourne Derby between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City at AAMI Park. The Boys in Blue are third in the league standings while the City Boys are three points behind them in fourth place. Check out our match prediction below.
Melbourne Victory have made a solid start to the season and notched up their fifth win in seven games last time out, beating Perth Glory 2-0 at this venue.
That result marked the fifth time in six games that the Big V have scored two or more goals this season, while they have only conceded four, which is the second-fewest in the division.
Victory have won all three of their home games this season, scoring two or more goals in each. They are also unbeaten in their last five matches against their cross-town rivals.
Meanwhile, Melbourne City recorded their first stalemate of the season last week when they played out a 2-2 draw at home to high-flying Auckland.
With that, the Hearts have now netted 14 goals across their first seven matches, though they have also conceded eight and failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three.
However, on the road, the visitors have a perfect four wins in four matches this season and maintained clean sheets in three of those matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Melbourne City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.2 | 2.6 | 3.7 |
|
|
4.47 | 2.89 | 1.85 |
|
|
4.47 | 2.89 | 1.85 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.6 | 3.66 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.6 | 3.66 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.55 | 3.65 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.4 | 2.81 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.6 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.9 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.8 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/12/2024 between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.32% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Melbourne City with odds of 4.47 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City is 23.2% with odds of 3.9 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Melbourne City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 43.32% | 4.47 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.67% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 40.83% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory | 21.3% | 5.6 at Unibet |
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Form
Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
|
4
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - A-League
30 Nov 2024 - A-League
23 Nov 2024 - A-League
8 Nov 2024 - A-League
2 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - A-League
8 Nov 2024 - A-League
2 Nov 2024 - A-League
29 Sep 2024 - FFA Cup
21 Sep 2024 - FFA Cup
12 May 2024 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - A-League
23 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
18 Oct 2024 - A-League
14 Sep 2024 - FFA Cup
28 Aug 2024 - FFA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
29 Nov 2024 - A-League
10 Nov 2024 - A-League
4 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - A-League
29 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
28 Apr 2024 - A-League
13 Apr 2024 - A-League
30 Mar 2024 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
10 Nov 2024 - A-League
4 Nov 2024 - A-League
19 Oct 2024 - A-League
3 Aug 2024 - FFA Cup
5 May 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
60 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
5 May 2024 - A-League
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
17 Feb 2024 - A-League
23 Dec 2023 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Melbourne City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
N. Vergos
(2 Goals)
, 
N. Velupillay
(2 Goals)
, 
Z. Machach
(2 Goals)
Y. Cohen
(4 Goals)
R. Piscopo
(2 Assists)
,
N. Vergos
(2 Assists)
A. Kuen
(4 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City Key Points
- Melbourne Victory have scored two goals in each of their home games this season.
- Melbourne Victory have only failed to score in one of their last six league games.
- Melbourne City have scored in all four of their away league games this season.
- Melbourne City have also only failed to score in one of their last six league games.
- Both teams scored in each of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Prediction
There is very little to choose between these cross-town rivals based on the starts they’ve made this season, but the hosts have been the more successful side in this contest of late, unbeaten in their last five meetings.
However, the visitors held league leaders Auckland to a draw last week and have been excellent on the road this season, having not dropped a single point on their travels to date. Should be a close contest but we fancy both teams to find the net in this one. Our Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Melbourne City
| Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 2.4 | 1.95 | -18.8% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.6 | +5.9% |
| Melbourne City wins | 2.8 | 3.8 | +35.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 18.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 51.3% (9.6%)
Use £30 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Melbourne City game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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