Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath in A-League Predictions
With the international break now complete, the A-League will resume this weekend with Melbourne Victory playing host to Adelaide United at AAMI Park on Saturday. The Big V are in fifth place, while the Reds are in sixth. Let’s get into the match prediction!
Melbourne Victory dropped a place in the league standings ahead of the international break when they suffered a 4-2 loss on the road to Western Sydney Wanderers, who moved up to third place as a result.
That defeat ended the Big V’s four-match unbeaten run and was the sixth time they conceded two or more goals in their last 11 league games since early January.
However, the hosts have been very good at home this season, conceding just one defeat to date, while scoring two or more goals in eight of their 10 matches at AAMI Park.
Meanwhile, Adelaide United will be hoping that the international break brings a change of fortune, having failed to win any of their last five games, losing three and drawing two.
Their last match was a nine-goal thriller, which they lost 5-4 at home to Macarthur. That was also the seventh game in the last 10 in which they conceded two or more goals.
The visitors have also experienced a notable downturn in results on the road, failing to win any of their last three games, while conceding three or more goals in each of those matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.9 | 2.8 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.75 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.95 | 4 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.97 | 4.05 | 3.36 |
|
|
1.97 | 4.05 | 3.36 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/03/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.17% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Adelaide United with odds of 2.3 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United is 28.46% with odds of 4.12 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 3.64 at Melbet.
Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Adelaide United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 44.17% | 2.3 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.41% | |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Melbourne Victory/Melbourne Victory | 18.61% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Form
Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
42 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|
6
|
38 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | -2 |
Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
1 Mar 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
14 Feb 2025 - A-League
8 Feb 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
14 Feb 2025 - A-League
24 Jan 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
4 Jan 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - A-League
1 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Feb 2025 - A-League
1 Feb 2025 - A-League
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
23 Feb 2025 - A-League
15 Feb 2025 - A-League
7 Feb 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
15 Feb 2025 - A-League
7 Feb 2025 - A-League
22 Jan 2025 - A-League
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
23 Feb 2025 - A-League
1 Feb 2025 - A-League
28 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
21 Sep 2024 - FFA Cup
9 Mar 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Adelaide United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
, 
N. Velupillay
(7 Goals)
A. Goodwin
(13 Goals)
Z. Machach
(5 Assists)
,
D. Arzani
(5 Assists)
Z. Clough
(9 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United Key Points
- Four of Melbourne Victory’s last six league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 home league games.
- Eight of Adelaide United’s last 10 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Adelaide United have conceded three or more goals in each of their last three away matches.
- Adelaide United have scored two or more goals in six of their last nine away league games.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction
While both these sides are looking to bounce back to winning ways, Adelaide United are certainly in greater need of three points, having failed to win any of their last five league games.
The major issue for the Reds has been the rate at which they have been conceding goals of late, and that does not bode well for their chances here against the Big V, who tend to score freely on their home patch. Our Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United prediction is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Adelaide United
| Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 2 | 2.3 | +15.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.9 | +4.0% |
| Adelaide United wins | 3.4 | 2.8 | -17.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 43.5% (-6.5%)
Use the Melbourne Victory vs. Adelaide United game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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