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Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
by Thobelani Moyo in Football Predictions
Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix will exchange blows at AAMI Park in the 12th round of the A-League on Friday. Melbourne City are fifth in the league standings and are three points behind second place, while Wellington Phoenix are ninth. Below is our prediction for the match.
While Melbourne City did manage to pick up a point in a 1-1 draw against Central Coast Mariners away from home, it was far from the result they had been expecting to end the year 2024 with.
That result marked the hosts' third consecutive league stalemate. However, they remain unbeaten in four matches with a 4-1 victory over Brisbane Roar on December 6th serving as a glimmer of hope.
The City Boys have yet to meet expectations at home this season as they are winless in their last three matches recording two losses and one draw.
Wellington Phoenix on the other hand were all smiles as they ended the year on a positive note courtesy of a 2-1 home victory against Newcastle Jets.
Before this, the Nix were on a three-match losing streak with two of those losses coming on the road.
Despite being on a two-match losing streak away from home, recall that this is a side that was recently on a two-match winning streak while outscoring their opponents 5-0 and is not one to be ruled out from causing an upset.
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.5 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.98 | 4.19 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.98 | 4.19 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.52 | 4.54 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.52 | 4.54 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.85 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.52 | 4.54 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.4 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.63 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix?
Our prediction for the Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2025 between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.05% for a win of Melbourne City against Wellington Phoenix with odds of 2.15 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix is 22.95% with odds of 3.98 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28% chance ⭐ for a win of Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City with odds of 4.54 at Betwinner.
Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne City Wellington Phoenix Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 49.05% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.89% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | 1.85 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time : Melbourne City/Melbourne City | 23.55% | 3 at Bet365 |
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Form
Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
|
10
|
13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 |
Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
21 Dec 2024 - A-League
15 Dec 2024 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
30 Nov 2024 - A-League
10 Nov 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - A-League
30 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
28 Apr 2024 - A-League
14 Apr 2024 - A-League
30 Mar 2024 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
21 Dec 2024 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
10 Nov 2024 - A-League
4 Nov 2024 - A-League
19 Oct 2024 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - A-League
22 Dec 2024 - A-League
13 Dec 2024 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
23 Nov 2024 - A-League
10 Nov 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - A-League
13 Dec 2024 - A-League
23 Nov 2024 - A-League
2 Nov 2024 - A-League
19 Oct 2024 - A-League
18 May 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
10 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
6 Aug 2024 - FFA Cup
12 May 2024 - A-League
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Mar 2024 - A-League
10 Apr 2023 - A-League
Melbourne City against Wellington Phoenix Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Most goals and assists
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
Y. Cohen
(4 Goals)
K. Barbarouses
(6 Goals)
A. Kuen
(5 Assists)
H. Ishige
(3 Assists)
Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix Key Points
- Melbourne City has conceded a goal in each of their last four matches in the A-League.
- Wellington Phoenix has seen both teams score in each of their last four matches in the A-League.
- Five of the last eight fixtures between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in two of Melbourne City's last three home league games.
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Our Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction
Melbourne City is three points behind second place in the league standings and can't afford to drop points. Failure to secure a win could also see them drop to ninth place and that doesn't align with their aspirations for a top-two finish.
Wellington Phoenix has seen a significant drop in their performances on the road and will try by all means to avoid an unfavorable outcome here. The visitors have shown potential in the final third and can be counted on to get on the scoresheet. Our Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix prediction is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne City Wellington Phoenix
| Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 1.67 | 1.83 | +9.6% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 3.5 | -22.2% |
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 4 | 4.33 | +8.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 54.6% (-5.2%)
Use £30 free bets for the Melbourne City vs. Wellington Phoenix game!
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Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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