Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath in A-League Predictions
Matchday 26 in the A-League kicks off at AAMI Park on Friday with Melbourne City playing host to Brisbane Roar. City are in third place in the league standings, while the Roar are 12th after 21 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Melbourne City were able to maintain pressure on the top two teams in the league last week when they held on to a one-goal lead to defeat the Central Coast Mariners at home.
That win marked the City Boys’ fifth victory in their last seven games (W5 D1 L1) since mid-February, a period during which they managed to keep four clean sheets.
The hosts have also been in excellent form at home of late, losing only one of their last eight at AAMI Park, while shutting out opponents in all but two of those matches.
Meanwhile, after going unbeaten in three straight games leading up to the international break, Brisbane Roar are now hoping to avoid a third straight defeat following back-to-back losses to Auckland and Macarthur.
Against the Bulls in their last match, the Roar conceded five goals and scored just one, marking their heaviest defeat of the season to date. Brisbane have not kept a clean sheet in the league this season.
Notably, of the 11 points the visitors have earned this season, 10 have come in away games, including eight in their last five on the road (W2 D2 L1).
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne City v Brisbane Roar Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 4.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.6 | 7 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.1 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 4.6 | 6.75 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.77 | 7.33 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar?
Our prediction for the Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar match is: Melbourne City wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2025 between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.58% for a win of Melbourne City against Brisbane Roar with odds of 1.65 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar is 17.18% with odds of 5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City with odds of 9 at Betfair.
Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne City Brisbane Roar Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 63.58% | 1.65 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 49.58% | 1.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Melbourne City/Melbourne City | 30.42% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar Form
Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
43 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
|
13
|
11 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | -22 |
Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
12 Mar 2025 - A-League
7 Mar 2025 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Mar 2025 - A-League
7 Mar 2025 - A-League
15 Feb 2025 - A-League
11 Jan 2025 - A-League
7 Jan 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
7 Feb 2025 - A-League
25 Jan 2025 - A-League
17 Jan 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2025 - A-League
30 Mar 2025 - A-League
15 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
1 Mar 2025 - A-League
21 Feb 2025 - A-League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2025 - A-League
30 Mar 2025 - A-League
1 Mar 2025 - A-League
31 Jan 2025 - A-League
7 Jan 2025 - A-League
3 Jan 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
21 Feb 2025 - A-League
5 Feb 2025 - A-League
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
11 Jan 2025 - A-League
Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Jan 2025 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
10 Feb 2024 - A-League
28 Dec 2023 - A-League
11 Mar 2023 - A-League
23 Mar 2022 - A-League
Melbourne City against Brisbane Roar Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Most goals and assists
Melbourne City
Brisbane Roar
M. Caputo
(4 Goals)
,
M. Tilio
(4 Goals)
, 
Y. Cohen
(4 Goals)
,
M. Memeti
(4 Goals)
T. Waddingham
(4 Goals)
A. Kuen
(7 Assists)
J. O'Shea
(6 Assists)
Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar Key Points
- Melbourne City have won five of their last seven league games.
- Melbourne City have won six of their last seven home matches.
- Melbourne City have only conceded once in their last seven home league games.
- Brisbane Roar have only won one of their last eight league matches.
- Brisbane Roar have not kept a single clean sheet in the league this season.
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Our Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar Prediction
Melbourne City will enter this match with confidence after a resilient performance against the Central Coast Mariners last time out, when they posted yet another clean sheet - their sixth in seven home games.
Brisbane Roar, meanwhile, have struggled all season and are one of the lowest-scoring teams in the division, which does not bode well for their chances going up against the team with the tightest defence in the top flight this term. Our Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar prediction is Melbourne City wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne City Brisbane Roar
| Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 1.45 | 1.42 | -2.1% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.75 | +5.6% |
| Brisbane Roar wins | 6.5 | 7 | +7.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.0% and is now 70.4% (1.5%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Melbourne City vs. Brisbane Roar game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on A-League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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