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Marseille vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Daniel Ngulu | in Europa League Predictions
Olympique Marseille have a date at home to Villarreal in the first leg of the Europa League last 16 this Thursday. The hosts got here courtesy of a 5-3 aggregate win over Shakhtar Donetsk in the knockout playoff round. The French side wouldn’t have picked a better time to have this game. They’ve posted three straight wins since their last loss, away to Brest in Ligue 1. Marseille are coming from a well-deserved 5-1 win away to struggling Clermont in Ligue 1. Among the scorers for Marseille was Pierre Emerick Aubameyang, who has been in fine form lately. The Gabonese forward has five goals in the last five matches and will be relied upon here. Aubameyang is also a prolific scorer in the history of the Europa League. In Marseille’s eight Europa League matches this season, Aubameyang has scored seven times. In his form, Marseille are enjoying a good run lately, but they aren’t doing great defensively. In 10 straight matches, they have no clean sheet but they only failed to score in one of the last five matches. Both teams scored in eight of Marseille’s last 10 matches.
Villarreal, like Marseille, are also coming into this game on a good run. They won their last two outings and carry to this game a seven-game unbeaten streak. In those seven matches, Alexander Sørloth scored six times, and will be a key figure for them here. In their most recent match, Sørloth scored three as they thrashed Granada 5-1. This was the third time in six matches that they scored at least three goals. Earlier, they beat Real Sociedad 3-1 and Barcelona 5-3. What would seem like an issue to deal with for Villarreal is the defence. They have one clean sheet in 14 matches. In eight of their last 10 matches, both teams managed to score. Three times in their last 10 matches, they conceded three goals. The Yellow Submarines come into this game without a clean sheet in 12 straight away matches but only failed to score in one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Villarreal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.7 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.7 | 3.76 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.7 | 3.76 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.22 | 4.52 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.22 | 4.52 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.4 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.76 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.8 | 4 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.7 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.9 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.82 | 4 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Villarreal?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2024 between Marseille and Villarreal in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.94% for a win of Marseille against Villarreal with odds of 2.09 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Villarreal is 39.1% with odds of 4.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Marseille with odds of 5 at Vbet.
Marseille - Villarreal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille Villarreal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 40.94% | 2.09 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.79% | 2.04 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 88.1% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Marseille/Marseille | 16.38% | 3.25 at Betsson |
Marseille vs Villarreal Form
Marseille and Villarreal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2024 - Europa League
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2024 - Europa League
9 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2024 - Europa League
9 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2024 - Europa League
4 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2024 - French Cup
7 Jan 2024 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
10 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
9 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
10 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
7 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
2 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
Marseille against Villarreal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
V. Rongier
B. Nadir
J. Foyth
MidfielderD. Suarez
ForwardY. Pino
A. Pedraza
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Villarreal
P. Aubameyang
(27 Goals)
A. Sorloth
(26 Goals)
P. Aubameyang
(11 Assists)
A. Baena
(17 Assists)
Marseille - Villarreal Key Points
- Both teams scored in four of Marseille’s last five matches
- Both teams scored in each of Villarreal’s last four matches
- Marseille have failed to score in two of their last 10 matches
- In Marseille’s last 10 Europa league matches, both teams scored in eight
- Villarreal failed to score in just one of their last five Europa League matches
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Our Marseille vs Villarreal Prediction
Marseille and Villarreal have only faced off previously in two friendly matches. Both matches had the two sides scoring, a trend that has been consistent in their recent matches. Here, the two teams will be going for a first leg advantage and we don’t expect either to keep it tight. Their Europa League matches haven't been characterized by many clan sheets. For this reason, in the Marseille v Villarreal game, we predict that both teams will score.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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