France - Ligue 1
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille will look to restore some shimmer to their Ligue 1 campaign when they host Toulouse on Sunday. The two meet as the league enters the final seven rounds, with Marseille third and Toulouse 11th in the standings. Below we have a prediction for this match.
Earlier in the season, Marseille had shown all indications of challenging for the title especially as they weren’t in Europe. That has since died away and they are even struggling to secure a top three spot.
Les Phoceens' last outing ended in a 3-1 defeat at Reims, their fourth loss in the last five league matches. In three of those five league games, they conceded three times.
The hosts have a good run at home which they will bank on but Toulouse will be keen on punishing their porous defence. Toulouse themselves aren’t on a great run though.
They are winless in the last three matches, losing the latest two. In their most recent outing, Les Violets suffered a 4-2 defeat at home to Brest. That came on the heels of an earlier 2-1 loss at Strasbourg.
Having scored 11 times in their last four away matches, Toulouse will be plotting their recovery here, given Marseille’s defensive woes. Toulouse are, however, winless in the last 15 matches against Marseille in all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Toulouse Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 3.8 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.8 | 4.04 | 4.69 |
|
|
1.8 | 4.04 | 4.69 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Toulouse match is: over 3.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/04/2025 between Marseille and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.01% for a win of Marseille against Toulouse with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Toulouse is 31.01% with odds of 4.04 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Marseille with odds of 4.8 at Unibet.
Marseille vs Toulouse Form
Marseille and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
49 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
|
11
|
34 | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 2 |
Marseille and Toulouse Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2025 - French Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
29 Dec 2022 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2020 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Toulouse last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
A. Murillo
MidfielderP. Hojbjerg
A. Harit
ForwardF. Moumbagna
R. Nicolaisen
MidfielderN. Schmidt
ForwardZ. Aboukhlal
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Toulouse
M. Greenwood
(15 Goals)
Z. Aboukhlal
(7 Goals)
A. Gouiri
(5 Assists)
G. Suazo
(5 Assists)
Marseille and Toulouse Stats in Ligue 1
Marseille - Toulouse Key Points
- An average of four goals were scored in Toulouse’s last four away matches.
- Over 3.5 goals were realized in four of these teams’ last five meetings.
- Marseille’s last two matches had eight goals in total.
- Toulouse’s last five matches had 20 goals scored.
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Our Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction
Marseille have really dropped off the pace. Once the main challengers to PSG for the league title, they are now 22 points behind the champions and in danger of falling further. The one area they have gotten it wrong is in defence.
A typical Roberto De Zerbi side, the focus on attack seems to only be working in home matches. Marseille have conceded three goals three times in the last five matches. Here they face a Toulouse side that has been scoring a lot and conceding in equal measure. As such, our prediction for Marseille v Toulouse is for over 3.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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