France - Ligue 1
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Marseille vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
The biggest game on French soil will go down this Sunday as champions PSG take the trip to Marseille for a massive Ligue 1 fixture. This will be Le Classique number 108 and in case you are looking to bet on the match, this preview, followed by two predictions will help. The Orange Velodrome in Marseille will be the venue for the match. The two sides are currently three points apart, with Le Parisiens top and Les Phoceens third.
Hosts Marseille will be eager to put a halt to PSG’s dominance in this fixture. Home fans will hope the changes at Marseille, occasioned by a new man in charge come with a new lease of life.
Marseille’s renewed vigor meets a PSG side in transition but still looking to carry with them the dominance seen in years gone. Apart from the outcome, the one thing to look out for here is goals. PSG have scored 25 times already while Marseille’s 21 equal a 75-year-old record of goals at this stage of the season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.2 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.75 | 2 |
|
|
4.21 | 3.8 | 1.89 |
|
|
4.21 | 3.8 | 1.89 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.9 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.96 | 1.93 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.96 | 1.93 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.8 | 1.99 |
|
|
3.38 | 3.86 | 2 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.55 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.95 | 1.83 |
|
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4.1 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
|
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3.9 | 3.9 | 1.85 |
|
|
4 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
|
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4.2 | 4.1 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.8 | 4 | 1.83 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and PSG?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs PSG match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/10/2024 between Marseille and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.15% for a win of Marseille against PSG with odds of 4.21 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs PSG is 36.76% with odds of 4.1 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.08% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Marseille with odds of 2.02 at Tonybet.
Marseille - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 38.08% | 2.02 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.57 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 60.83% | 1.55 at Betway |
| Half-time : Marseille / Full-time : PSG | 18.2% | 23 at Betsson |
Marseille vs PSG Form
Marseille and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
|
3
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
Marseille and PSG Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
27 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Marseille vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2023 - French Cup
16 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
17 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
Marseille - PSG: Form Analysis
Marseille have the chance to not only cut PSG’s lead but also inflict the first league loss of the season on the champions.
The last time PSG visited Marseille, the visitors snatched a 2-0 win on their way to winning the title. That loss still stands as Marseille’s only one in the last 20 league matches at home.
If the home team needed any other motivation to go for three points, that’s it. As they have no continental engagements this season, Marseille will go into this game ready and well rested after their 5-0 win against Montpellier.
That was their fifth win of the season.
PSG have dropped points on four different occasions; three were away from home.
PSG returned to the league summit after a short stay in second place. That was helped on by Monaco drawing their match.
Now they have a chance to make a statement for their title defence as well as maintaining their lead. The champions had another frustrating night in the Champions League, as they drew 1-1 with PSV.
That result means they come into this game with one win in their last four matches. It was also the first time this season that PSG dropped points at home. In the earlier three times they failed to win, it was always on the road, and they will expect some difficulty here.
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Marseille against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
R. Blanco
DefenderU. Garcia
MidfielderV. Carboni
L. Hernandez
P. Kimpembe
ForwardG. Ramos
Marseille & PSG Squad Analysis
A cruciate ligament injury will lock Valntin Carboni out of this game. Unless there’s a drastic change he will be out for the entire season.
The hosts can, however, name Quentin Marlin in the team after he returned to training following his recovery from a thigh injury.
Roberto de Zerbi can also call on Mason Greenwood to do the job in attack after his impressive start to life in Ligue 1. The Englishman has six goals.
The two Ligue 1 leading scorers are from these competing teams!
Kylian Mbappe used to enjoy playing in this fixture but with his departure new stars will rise. Bradley Barcola has shown potential to rise to the occasion.
The youngster leads the scoring charts with seven goals and given a chance, he has shown great potential. With Goncalo Ramos out with an ankle injury, Barcola’s young shoulders will continue to carry the weight in attack.
Lucas Hernandez also remains sidelined for the long-term. Another defender, Presnel Kimpembe is still out ahead of this match. He is nursing a muscle strain.
Most goals and assists
Marseille
PSG
M. Greenwood
(8 Goals)
B. Barcola
(10 Goals)
A. Harit
(3 Assists)
, 
Luis Henrique
(3 Assists)
O. Dembele
(6 Assists)
Marseille - PSG Key Points
- Marseille’s last five matches produced 15 goals.
- Five of Marseille’s last eight matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Half of Marseille’s last 10 home matches had over 2.5 goals.
- PSG’s last five league matches had a total of 18 goals netted.
- These teams’ last five league meetings averaged 2.6 goals.
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Our Marseille vs PSG Prediction
The two highest scoring sides in the league will clash this Sunday. From teams that have scored a combined 46 times across eight matches apiece, you can always bet on goals.
On Average, this season these teams have scored a combined average of 2.875 goals and adding the goals they’ve conceded would even push the tally higher.
As this has rarely been the fixture to produce draws, we expect two attacking sides to go at each other which is a promise for goals. Our prediction for Marseille v PSG is for over 2.5 goals.
Marseille vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Part of PSG’s dominance in this fixture has been winning with clean sheets. However, there is a wind sweeping across Ligue 1; that of attacking football at Marseille introduced by Roberto de Zerbi.
The Marseille that PSG will meet is a different crop – one that doesn’t sit back. With PSG also an attacking side and showing defensive weaknesses, our second prediction will be for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille PSG
| Marseille vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 3.6 | 4.2 | +16.7% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.7 | +2.8% |
| PSG wins | 2 | 1.8 | -10.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 55.6% (5.6%)
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Marseille vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions
The Marseille v PSG match will be played at the Orange Velodrome in Marseille.
The Marseille v PSG match will be played on Sunday 27 October.
Francois Letexier will be the center referee in this match. He will be assisted by Cyril Mugnier and Mahdi Rahmouni. Eric Wattellier will serve as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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