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Marseille vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Ian John | in Ligue 1 Predictions
The best home record in Ligue 1 takes on the best away as Marseille host Paris St Germain at the Stade Velodrome in Sunday Night's big game in France (Kick off 7.45pm). Le Classique is regarded as the biggest game in French Football and current Champions and Ligue 1 leaders Paris St Germain can expect a very warm welcome from the home fans on the Virage Nord. The league title may not be on the line in this game, but the rivalry will be as fierce as ever.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.4 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
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3.4 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
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3.3 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
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3.65 | 3.8 | 1.92 |
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3.47 | 3.96 | 2.11 |
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3.47 | 3.96 | 2.11 |
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3.34 | 3.8 | 2.03 |
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3.34 | 3.8 | 2.03 |
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3.05 | 3.75 | 2.25 |
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3.18 | 3.78 | 2.11 |
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3.2 | 3.85 | 2.13 |
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3.25 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
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3.25 | 3.9 | 2.04 |
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3.3 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
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3.3 | 3.7 | 2.08 |
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3.3 | 3.7 | 2.05 |
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3.41 | 3.96 | 2.09 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and PSG?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/03/2024 between Marseille and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.5% for a win of Marseille against PSG with odds of 3.65 at NetBet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs PSG is 23.43% with odds of 3.96 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.07% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Marseille with odds of 2.25 at Stake.
Marseille - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 47.07% | 2.25 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.45% | 1.65 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 65.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: PSG/PSG | 18.84% | 3.45 at Unibet |
Marseille vs PSG Form
Marseille and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
76 | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 48 |
|
8
|
50 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Marseille and PSG Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2024 - Europa League
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2024 - Europa League
2 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2024 - Europa League
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2024 - Europa League
9 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2024 - Europa League
2 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2024 - Europa League
4 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2024 - French Cup
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2024 - Champions League
1 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2024 - French Cup
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2024 - Champions League
10 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2024 - French Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2024 - Champions League
1 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
2 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2024 - French Cup
Marseille vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2023 - French Cup
16 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
17 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
24 Oct 2021 - Ligue 1
Marseille - PSG: Form Analysis
To say Marseille's season has a Jekyll and Hyde quality to it is an understatement. At home, Marseille have been the best team in Ligue 1. Unbeaten in their 13 home games, they have won eight and drawn five this season, conceding just seven, the joint-second best defensive record in Ligue 1, while their 24 goals are the 2nd best behind PSG (33) and Rennes (28). In contrast, on the road Marseille have lost seven of their 13 games, winning just twice and drawing four times. They have also lost three of their last five away games, drawing one and winning one. That discrepancy in form is a large reason why Marseille, despite that home record, lies 7th in the Ligue 1 table, three points behind Lens in sixth and level on points with Rennes who lie below them on goal difference.
Ligue 1 leaders Paris St Germain seem set for yet another league title win. The mega-rich side from the capital have a 12 point lead over Brest in second place in the table and a +23 better goal difference than the second placed team. Incredibly, PSG's away record is even better than Marseille's home record with the leaders having won nine and drawn four of their thirteen away games, conceding just nine goals in the process and scoring an impressive 29 goals. They have won four of their last five away games, drawing the other. Far better form that at home where they have drawn three and won one of the last four. They have won six penalties in their 13 away games and are unbeaten in their last 21 Ligue 1 games, winning 15 and drawing 6.
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Marseille against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
V. Rongier
B. Nadir
P. Kimpembe
Marseille & PSG Squad Analysis
Marseille's defense has had a number of injuries to contend with in recent times. Right back Jonathan Clauss is out along with Amir Murillo, Samuel Gigot, Bamo Meite, Leonardo Balerdi and Ulisses Garcia. This does leave Marseille severely understaffed in defense with Quentin Merlin and Chancel Mbemba their only two fit specialist defenders, though Geoffrey Kondogbia could drop into a defensive role while Leo Jousselin and Roggerio Nyakossi could make the step up from their B team. Midfielders Valentin Rongier and Jean Onana are also ruled out, while winger Ismaila Sarr will also be out with a hamstring injury. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has been one of their top performers this season, netting 11 goals in 26 Ligue 1 games so far this season, as well as another 11 in European competition.
Similarly, Paris St Germain also have injury absentees in defense too. Milan Skriniar, Presnel Kimpembe, Layvin Kurzawa and club captain Marquinhos are all out injured, while young striker Bradley Barcola picked up an injury when playing for France Under-23s last week, and he joins winger Marco Asensio who is also out with an injury. With three of their first choice back four on the sidelines, Marseille may hope to profit from the lack of options PSG have in defense, but they will also have to contend with the brilliant Kylian Mbappe who, in his final season with PSG has scored 24 goals in 24 Ligue 1 games and a total of 38 goals in 37 matches for the club this season - despite not finishing 90 minutes that often under Luis Enrique.
Most goals and assists
Marseille
PSG
P. Aubameyang
(27 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(35 Goals)
P. Aubameyang
(11 Assists)
O. Dembélé
(9 Assists)
Marseille - PSG Key Points
- Marseille have picked up 29 of their 39 points at home this season, the best record in Ligue 1. However, they have drawn three of their last five at the Orange Velodrome.
- Paris St Germain have picked up 31 points from 39 available on the road this season, comfortably the best away record in the league. They are unbeaten in all 13 away matches this season.
- Both teams have scored in 62% of PSG's games this season and 65% of their games have seen Over 2.5 goals.
- Paris St Germain have scored 15 more goals in Ligue 1 (62) than the team with the next best scoring record (Monaco with 47). Defensively only Nice and Brest have conceded fewer goals (20 compared to 23).
- Marseille have faced Paris St Germain 88 times in total, winning 32, losing 36 and drawing 20. Paris St Germain have won on each of the last four occasions the teams have met. Marseille have not beaten PSG at home since a 3-0 win in 2011/12.
- Paris St Germain were 4-0 winners when the teams met at the Parc des Princes earlier this season. Achraf Hakimi (8), Randal Kolo Muani (37) and Goncalo Ramos (47,89) handing the home side a comfortable win.
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Our Marseille vs PSG Prediction
Marseille vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions
Kylian Mbappe (Paris St Germain) to score at any time
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Marseille vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions
Benoit Bastien will referee the Le Classique on Sunday night.
Bastien has refereed 14 Ligue 1 games this season, awarding 57 yellow cards but just one red. He has refereed Marseille on three previous occasions this season, and Paris St Germain twice.
Marseille have lost on all three occasions Bastien has refereed their games this season, while PSG have won on both occasions he has refereed their fixtures.
He will have Aurelien Berthomieu and Hicham Zakrani as his two assistants and Marc Bollengier will be the fourth official. Jeremie Pignard will be the VAR official and Hamid Guenaoui will be his assistant VAR official.
The weather for the game between Marseille and Paris St Germain on Sunday could be changeable.
Ahead of the game starting, there is a 50-60% chance of rain just prior to kick off, but the rain should ease off throughout the game, perhaps stopping before the final whistle.
Temperatures will be around 15 degrees centigrade and windier than usual conditions are expected as the rain blows in with gusts up to 25mph expected around kick off time.
UK football fans can tune in to watch Marseille take on Paris St Germain in Ligue One on Sunday 31st March (7.45pm kick off) by tuning in to the subscription channel TNT Sports 1. It is one of four Ligue 1 games scheduled to be shown live on TNT Sports on Sunday.
If you do not have a TNT subscription, then you can catch the data updates live on the Marseille vs Paris St Germain Livescore page.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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