France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille playing host to Olympique Lyon will bring the curtain down to an exciting round of matches in Ligue 1. The two giants of French football start the week separated by seven points; Marseille in second spot and Lyon sixth. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Marseille will be at home and hoping to reignite their title challenge which took a heavy dent last week. A 2-0 defeat at the hands of Nice left Les Phoceens winless in three matches.
It was also a blow to their title chase as they are now 10 points behind league leaders PSG.
They are set to face a Lyon side that has also been out of sorts lately. The visitors will arrive for this game straight off a 1-1 draw with Ludogorets in the Europa League.
Corentin Toliso gave Lyon the lead in that game but Dinis Almeida leveled matters for the visiting team. Jorge Maciel’s charges are now seeking a first win in seven matches.
From the said six, each of the last five ended in draws, then they lost the first. Also, in the said six matches, both teams scored in four. Four defeats in five meetings with Marseille means Lyon have been dominated in this fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Lyon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.01 | 3.7 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.81 | 3.54 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.81 | 3.54 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Lyon match is: Marseille wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/02/2025 between Marseille and Lyon in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.83% for a win of Marseille against Lyon with odds of 2.1 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Lyon is 38.45% with odds of 3.81 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Marseille with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
Marseille - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 40.83% | 2.1 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.08% | 1.86 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 77.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Marseille/Marseille | 14.29% | 3.5 at Betsson |
Marseille vs Lyon Form
Marseille and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
55 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 20 |
|
4
|
51 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
Marseille and Lyon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
23 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1
1 May 2022 - Ligue 1
Marseille against Lyon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
F. Moumbagna
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Lyon
M. Greenwood
(18 Goals)
A. Lacazette
(16 Goals)
A. Gouiri
(5 Assists)
R. Cherki
(16 Assists)
Marseille - Lyon Key Points
- Marseille are unbeaten in four home matches in Serie A.
- Marseille beat Lyon four times in their last five meetings.
- Lyon have failed to win any of their last six matches.
- In their last three away league matches, Lyon lost twice.
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Our Marseille vs Lyon Prediction
Lyon have managed just one win in the last five meetings with Marseille and they look likely to struggle here too. Their form coming into this game is really poor as well, failing to win any of their last six matches.
On the other hand, Marseille have not lost at home in the last four matches, winning twice in that period. Having dominated recent meetings, the hosts will be the favorites here. Our prediction for Marseille v Lyon is that Marseille wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Lyon
| Marseille vs Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 2 | 2.01 | +0.5% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.7 | -2.6% |
| Lyon wins | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 49.8% (-0.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Marseille vs. Lyon game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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