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Marseille vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille will be looking to keep alive their slim chances of qualifying for Europe next season when they host Lorient on Sunday. With three matches to play, Marseille are five points below the top six while Lorient are three behind the relegation playoff zone. Marseille will be looking to rise up and dust off after their elimination from the Europa League on Thursday. They were thumped 3-0 away to Atalanta in the semi-final return leg, eventually losing 4-1 on aggregate to exit the competition. The Europa League was one of Marseille’s routes to European football next season and now they have all to play for in Ligue 1. Maximum points in their final three games will boost this quest but as things stand, those hopes remain faint. Two of those matches are against teams in the survival battle and it won’t get any easier for Marseille. They’ll want to take inspiration from their only win in the last six league matches, a 2-1 home win over Lens. Marseille’s home form is also a source of motivation, having lost just once in the league at home this season.
Lorient’s season is hinged on this game; a loss here, coupled with their inferior goal difference, will confirm their return to Ligue 2. It is indeed a perilous position for the visitors, who face a superior side, also in need of three points. Coming from a six-game losing run, and winless in eight straight games, this doesn’t look so promising for Lorient. Most recently, Lorient lost 2-0 to Lens, for the second straight time collapsing in the second half. It is easy to tell, Lorient have run out of steam, and it will be a miracle if they stay up. At 26 points, they are already six points below the safe zone and with a poor goal difference. Their best bet at the moment is to better Metz’s performance, hoping to settle in the playoff position eventually. However, having failed to win any of their last four away league games doesn’t make for a very optimistic reading. Lorient have actually lost each of the last three away matches, and failed to score in any of them.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Lorient Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 51 | 451 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.5 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.48 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.48 | 8.4 |
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|
1.46 | 4.36 | 7.2 |
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|
1.46 | 4.36 | 7.2 |
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|
1.44 | 5 | 6.8 |
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|
1.4 | 5 | 7.2 |
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|
1.44 | 5 | 7 |
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|
1.43 | 5.4 | 7.2 |
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|
1 | 34 | 151 |
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1.02 | 23 | 141 |
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1.36 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
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1.47 | 4.7 | 6.4 |
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1.36 | 5 | 8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Lorient?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/05/2024 between Marseille and Lorient in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.92% for a win of Marseille against Lorient with odds of 1.47 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Lorient is 22.35% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs Marseille with odds of 451 at Bet365.
Marseille - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:
Marseille Lorient Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Marseille wins | 56.92% | 1.47 at Betsson |
Over 2.5 goals | 59.27% | 1.87 at Unibet |
Both Team To Score | 53.33% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Marseille | 31.89% | 46 at Unibet |
Marseille vs Lorient Form
Marseille and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8
|
50 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
17
|
29 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -23 |
Marseille and Lorient Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2024 - Europa League
2 May 2024 - Europa League
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2024 - Europa League
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2024 - Europa League
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2024 - Europa League
5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2024 - Europa League
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2024 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
9 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
8 May 2022 - Ligue 1
17 Oct 2021 - Ligue 1
17 Apr 2021 - Ligue 1
Marseille against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
V. Rongier
B. Nadir
I. Silva
Most goals and assists
Marseille - Lorient Key Points
- Marseille have one loss at home in the league this season
- Marseille are unbeaten in 11 meetings with Lorient, winning eight
- Lorient have no win in their last eight matches, losing seven of them
- Lorient have three straight away defeats in Ligue 1, and failed to score in all
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Our Marseille vs Lorient Prediction
Marseille will be looking to bounce back in this game after their Europa League disappointment. Having dominated this fixture, we do not expect them to struggle here. Also, they face a side on a poor run and this should be a straightforward win for them. Our prediction for Marseille v Lorient is for Marseille to win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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