France - Ligue 1
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Marseille vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Two title hopefuls in Ligue 1, Marseille and Lille will be facing off this weekend. Les Phoceens will welcome Les Dogues for this encounter which finds the teams placed just three points apart. Below we have the stats and a prediction going into the match.
Marseille have been on the rise in recent times, sending them just five points behind leaders PSG. After years in the cold, Roberto De Zerbi’s team can think of a title challenge.
They have the additional advantage in the title race that they aren’t in Europe this season. In their last outing, they claimed a 2-0 win away to Saint-Etienne.
Lille’s undefeated run continued in midweek as they scored late to save themselves from what would have been a disappointing draw. Lille came from leading 2-0 to 2-2 in the final 10 minutes before a late goal saw them beat Sturm Graz 3-2.
Now attention shifts to Ligue 1 where a win could move them into the coveted top three. Being unbeaten in three matches against Marseille helps in that quest. They haven't won at Marseille in the last five visits though.
To this match, Lille carry a 15-game unbeaten run but in three of their last four away matches, they posted draws.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Lille Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
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2.1 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
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2.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
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2.09 | 3.57 | 3.67 |
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2.09 | 3.57 | 3.67 |
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2.05 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
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2.11 | 3.44 | 3.44 |
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2.11 | 3.44 | 3.44 |
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2.2 | 3.45 | 3.4 |
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2.13 | 3.44 | 3.42 |
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2.15 | 3.55 | 3.5 |
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2.15 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
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2.11 | 3.47 | 3.66 |
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2.05 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
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2.12 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
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2 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
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2.12 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Lille?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Lille match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/12/2024 between Marseille and Lille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.34% for a win of Marseille against Lille with odds of 2.2 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Lille is 34.84% with odds of 3.57 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs Marseille with odds of 3.7 at Betobet.
Marseille - Lille Prediction and Best Odds:
Marseille Lille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Lille wins | 39.82% | 3.7 at Betobet |
Over 2.5 goals | 63.83% | 1.92 at Betobet |
Both Team To Score | 68.33% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lille | 15.19% | 8 at Betfair |
Marseille vs Lille Form
Marseille and Lille's standings in the Ligue 1
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
|
37 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 17 |
4
|
35 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
Marseille and Lille Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
24 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
1 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
18 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Lille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
20 May 2023 - Ligue 1
10 Sep 2022 - Ligue 1
16 Jan 2022 - Ligue 1
3 Oct 2021 - Ligue 1
Players list
G. Rulli
DefenderA. Murillo
L. Balerdi
P. Lirola
MidfielderG. Kondogbia
P. Hojbjerg
D. Cornelius
A. Rabiot
ForwardLuis Henrique
B. Nadir
J. Rowe
L. Chevalier
DefenderT. Meunier
B. Diakite
A. Ribeiro
G. Gudmundsson
MidfielderB. Andre
A. Gomes
R. Cabella
ForwardM. Bakker
O. Sahraoui
J. David
Substitutes
J. De Lange
DefenderB. Meite
D. Cornelius
L. Brassier
P. Lirola
B. Nadir
I. Kone
A. Harit
ForwardJ. Rowe
V. Mannone
DefenderM. Bakker
T. Meunier
Ismaily
MidfielderR. Cabella
A. Bouaddi
O. Sahraoui
A. Gomes
M. Bayo
Missing players
V. Carboni
ForwardF. Moumbagna
A. Gouiri
S. Umtiti
T. Santos
MidfielderN. Bentaleb
Most goals and assists
Marseille - Lille Key Points
- 16 goals were scored in total in Marseille’s last five matches.
- Four of Marseille’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Lille scored three in each of their last two matches.
- Lille’s last five matches produced 17 goals.
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Our Marseille vs Lille Prediction
Lille are unbeaten in their last 15 matches, a honor they will hope to protect as they face a tough opponent. They have scored three times in each of their last two matches but keeping clean sheets is proving to be a major challenge.
Lille can bank on this good scoring run to lift them but they face another challenging task here. Their hosts are on a good run as well and have been scoring at least twice on a regular basis. In such attacking forms we expect a high-scoring match. Our prediction for Marseille v Lille is for over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Lille
Marseille vs Lille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Marseille wins | 2.15 | 2.1 | -2.3% |
Draw | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
Lille wins | 3.2 | 3.5 | +9.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.3% and is now 28.6% (-2.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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