France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
A season outside Europe has been refreshing for Marseille, who are favorites to secure Champions League football. On matchday 25 of Ligue 1, Les Phoceens will be at home against Lens this Saturday. We have the preview and a prediction for this match below.
In their last game, Marseille beat Nantes 2-0 to recover from a shock 3-0 loss away to Auxerre in the earlier outing. That marked a fourth win in five matches, strengthening their push for a top two finish.
As things stand, they are 13 points behind the league leaders PSG, and any chances of winning the title are fast slipping away.
Among the hurdles Lens will be dealing with here is the fact that Marseille are unbeaten in seven home league matches. Lens will arrive for this game having lost their last two matches against Marseille.
The recent weeks haven't been great for Lens. To this game they carry a run of four straight defeats, the most recent ending 4-3 at home to Le Havre.
In the last four matches they’ve conceded at least two goals and won just three of 11 matches. Will Still’s men have managed an impressive 19 points away from home but that may not be enough against this Marseille side.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Lens Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 4.33 | 6 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.6 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.6 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.47 | 5.95 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.47 | 5.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Lens?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Lens match is: Marseille wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2025 between Marseille and Lens in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.7% for a win of Marseille against Lens with odds of 1.75 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Lens is 19.23% with odds of 5 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Marseille with odds of 7 at Betfred.
Marseille - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille Lens Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 51.7% | 1.75 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.48% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Marseille | 20.65% | 5 at Betsson |
Marseille vs Lens Form
Marseille and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
55 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 20 |
|
9
|
42 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Marseille and Lens Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
6 May 2023 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2022 - Ligue 1
Players list
G. Rulli
DefenderM. Greenwood
L. Balerdi
J. Rowe
MidfielderG. Kondogbia
Luis Henrique
N. Maupay
P. Hojbjerg
V. Rongier
A. Rabiot
ForwardA. Gouiri
M. Ryan
DefenderR. Aguilar
J. Gradit
M. Sarr
A. Bah
D. Machado
MidfielderH. Ojediran
N. El Aynaoui
A. Zaroury
ForwardR. Fofana
F. Sotoca
Substitutes
J. De Lange
DefenderU. Garcia
P. Lirola
L. Felipe
MidfielderD. Bakola
ForwardM. Greenwood
N. Maupay
Luis Henrique
J. Rowe
A. Delplace
DefenderN. Celik
S. Sagnan
MidfielderT. Pouilly
H. Ojediran
G. Koyalipou
ForwardJ. Agbonifo
A. Zaroury
R. Fofana
Missing players
A. Murillo
ForwardF. Moumbagna
D. Petric
DefenderJ. Chavez
ForwardM. Satriano
R. Lascary
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Lens
M. Greenwood
(18 Goals)
M. Nzola
(6 Goals)
A. Gouiri
(5 Assists)
D. Machado
(5 Assists)
Marseille - Lens Key Points
- In their last 11 matches, Lens won just three.
- Lens are coming from back-to-back away defeats.
- Marseille won their last two matches against Lens.
- Marseille are unbeaten in seven home Ligue 1 matches.
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Our Marseille vs Lens Prediction
For the first time since May 2015, Lens have suffered four straight defeats in Ligue 1. It could get worse, seeing that they will be taking on a Marseille side that’s having a good season.
Playing away from home hasn’t offered the visitors much comfort and it will not be easy away against this particular host. Marseille are unbeaten at home in seven Ligue 1 matches and have won the last three. With this run, our prediction for Marseille v Lens is that Marseille wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Lens
| Marseille vs Lens | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 1.7 | 1.5 | -11.8% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.33 | +11.0% |
| Lens wins | 4.33 | 6 | +38.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 66.7% (7.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Marseille vs. Lens game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Marseille and Lens? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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