France - Ligue 1
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Marseille vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Ian John in Ligue 1 Predictions
Ligue One sees an important clash at the Stade Velodrome on Sunday evening as eighth-place Marseille host sixth-place Lens. It is a game that could have significant repercussions on which team gets the sixth and final European qualifying spot next season. Marseille lie five points behind Lens after a miserable run of form which has seen them go five games without a win, three of those losses. A 2-2 draw in Toulouse ended that run of defeats but they then could only draw 2-2 at home to Nice on Wednesday night in the Derby de la Mediterranee. With just one defeat at home this season, Marseille will start as favourites, but it is their away form that has prevented them from being in the upper-reaches of the table. Just two away wins and the third-worst record on the road is not good enough for Jean-Louis Gasset’s team.
Sixth-place Lens hold a four-point lead over Rennes in seventh and Marseille are a point further back in the table. Up until a couple of games ago, Lens away form had been excellent, with three wins and a draw in their previous four. However, successive 2-1 defeats away to Lille and Metz have seen them fall to sixth. A 1-0 home win over Clermont last weekend steadied the ship after four games without a win. With this game against Marseille and another away game at Rennes to come, Franck Haise’s team may need to get something from both those games to keep their rivals for that sixth spot at bay.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Lens Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
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1.02 | 19 | 501 |
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2.3 | 3.4 | 3 |
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2.17 | 3.45 | 3.1 |
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2.26 | 3.77 | 3.25 |
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2.26 | 3.77 | 3.25 |
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2.34 | 3.52 | 2.91 |
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2.34 | 3.52 | 2.91 |
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2.25 | 3.65 | 3.2 |
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2.18 | 3.62 | 3.14 |
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2.2 | 3.65 | 3.2 |
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2.24 | 3.57 | 3.34 |
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1.01 | 19 | 201 |
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1.08 | 9 | 101 |
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2.25 | 3.4 | 3 |
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2.18 | 3.55 | 3.2 |
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2.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Lens?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/04/2024 between Marseille and Lens in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.87% for a win of Marseille against Lens with odds of 2.34 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Lens is 18.75% with odds of 19 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Marseille with odds of 501 at Bet365.
Marseille - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:
Marseille Lens Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Marseille wins | 46.87% | 2.34 at Betwinner |
Over 2.5 goals | 50.95% | 2.38 at Betway |
Both Team To Score | 52.92% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Marseille | 20.77% | 26 at Unibet |
Marseille vs Lens Form
Marseille and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
|
51 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
8
|
50 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Marseille and Lens Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
11 Apr 2024 - Europa League
5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2024 - Europa League
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2024 - Europa League
5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2024 - Europa League
2 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2024 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2024 - Europa League
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
6 May 2023 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2022 - Ligue 1
26 Sep 2021 - Ligue 1
3 Feb 2021 - Ligue 1
Marseille against Lens Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
V. Rongier
B. Nadir
J. Cabot
Most goals and assists
Marseille - Lens Key Points
- Both teams have scored in four of Lens’ last five games.
- All of Marseille’s last three games have had Over 2.5 Goals and both teams score.
- There have been Over 2.5 Goals in six of Lens’ last eight games.
- Lens have scored in 12 successive matches.
- 26 of Marseille’s 45 goals in Ligue One this season have come at home.
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Our Marseille vs Lens Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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