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Lens - Marseille Prediction

France - Ligue 1

Marseille
28 Apr 2024 15:00
Lens

Prediction :

 

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

 
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Marseille vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

 by Ian John in Ligue 1 Predictions

Ligue One sees an important clash at the Stade Velodrome on Sunday evening as eighth-place Marseille host sixth-place Lens. It is a game that could have significant repercussions on which team gets the sixth and final European qualifying spot next season. Marseille lie five points behind Lens after a miserable run of form which has seen them go five games without a win, three of those losses. A 2-2 draw in Toulouse ended that run of defeats but they then could only draw 2-2 at home to Nice on Wednesday night in the Derby de la Mediterranee. With just one defeat at home this season, Marseille will start as favourites, but it is their away form that has prevented them from being in the upper-reaches of the table. Just two away wins and the third-worst record on the road is not good enough for Jean-Louis Gasset’s team.

Sixth-place Lens hold a four-point lead over Rennes in seventh and Marseille are a point further back in the table. Up until a couple of games ago, Lens away form had been excellent, with three wins and a draw in their previous four. However, successive 2-1 defeats away to Lille and Metz have seen them fall to sixth. A 1-0 home win over Clermont last weekend steadied the ship after four games without a win. With this game against Marseille and another away game at Rennes to come, Franck Haise’s team may need to get something from both those games to keep their rivals for that sixth spot at bay.

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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Lens Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.02 19 501
Ladbrokes
2.3 3.4 3
NetBet
2.17 3.45 3.1
1xbet
2.26 3.77 3.25
22bet
2.26 3.77 3.25
Betwinner
2.34 3.52 2.91
LSbet
2.34 3.52 2.91
Stake
2.25 3.65 3.2
Melbet
2.18 3.62 3.14
Tonybet
2.2 3.65 3.2
Vbet
2.24 3.57 3.34
Betway
1.01 19 201
Unibet
1.08 9 101
Betfair
2.25 3.4 3
Betsson
2.18 3.55 3.2
William Hill
2.2 3.5 3.1
Check all Marseille vs Lens odds
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Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Lens?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/04/2024 between Marseille and Lens in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.87% for a win of Marseille against Lens with odds of 2.34 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Lens is 18.75% with odds of 19 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Marseille with odds of 501 at Bet365.

Marseille - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:

Marseille Lens Prediction Probability Odds
Marseille wins 46.87% 2.34 at Betwinner
Over 2.5 goals 50.95% 2.38 at Betway
Both Team To Score 52.92%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Marseille 20.77% 26 at Unibet

Marseille vs Lens Form

Marseille and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Lens
Lens
51 34 14 9 11 8
8
Marseille
Marseille
50 34 13 11 10 11

Marseille and Lens Last Matches

Marseille
Marseille Last matches
L L L W D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Nice

21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Marseille

18 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Marseille
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Marseille

5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille
3 :  1
Marseille

31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
PSG
W W W L W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Nice

18 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Marseille
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
PSG

10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  0
Nantes

7 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Marseille
4 :  0
Villarreal

25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  1
Montpellier Hsc
W L L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Marseille

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Marseille

5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille
3 :  1
Marseille

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  0
Marseille

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Villarreal
3 :  1
Marseille

2 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Clermont
1 :  5
Marseille
Lens
Lens Last matches
W L L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Clermont

12 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  1
Lens

6 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  1
Le Havre

29 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  1
Lens

16 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  3
Nice

9 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Brest
D L W L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Clermont

6 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  1
Le Havre

16 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  3
Nice

9 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Brest

25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  3
Monaco

15 Feb 2024 - Europa League

Lens
0 :  0
Freiburg
W D L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  1
Lens

29 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  1
Lens

3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lyon
0 :  3
Lens

22 Feb 2024 - Europa League

Freiburg
3 :  2
Lens

18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Reims
1 :  1
Lens

3 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  1
Lens

Marseille vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

17 %

Draw

17 %

Lens

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Marseille

6 May 2023 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Marseille

22 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  1
Lens

22 Jan 2022 - Ligue 1

Lens
0 :  2
Marseille

26 Sep 2021 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  3
Lens

3 Feb 2021 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  2
Marseille
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Marseille against Lens Lineups: Starting 11

Marseille

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

16
P. Lopez
5
L. Balerdi
4
S. Gigot
62
A. Murillo
7
J. Clauss
11
A. Harit
22
P. Gueye
27
J. Veretout
6
U. Garcia
29
I. Ndiaye
10
P. Aubameyang
11
A. Fulgini
9
S. Wahi
7
F. Sotoca
3
D. Machado
23
N. El Aynaoui
26
N. Mendy
29
P. Frankowski
14
F. Medina
4
K. Danso
21
M. Haidara
30
B. Samba

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Lens

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Midfielder

V. Rongier

B. Nadir

Lens
Lens
Defender

J. Cabot

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Marseille
CD Huachipato Lens
Top Goalscorer
Gabon P. Aubameyang (27 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France S. Wahi (12 Goals)
Best assists
Gabon P. Aubameyang (11 Assists)
Best assists
France F. Sotoca (7 Assists)

Marseille - Lens Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in four of Lens’ last five games.
  2. All of Marseille’s last three games have had Over 2.5 Goals and both teams score.
  3. There have been Over 2.5 Goals in six of Lens’ last eight games.
  4. Lens have scored in 12 successive matches.
  5. 26 of Marseille’s 45 goals in Ligue One this season have come at home.
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Our Marseille vs Lens Prediction

In the context of European Football next season, the Marseille v Lens clash this weekend is huge. A win for Lens puts them eight points ahead of Marseille with just three games left. A win for Marseille and that gap is cut to just two points. Nice, Rennes and Lyon will be watching the outcome of this game closely as their fates are intertwined with these two teams over the next four games. Recent form suggests that both teams have been amongst the goals of late and while Lens have better form, Marseille have lost just once at home. As such, our Marseille v Lens prediction here precludes a results-based option and we’ve gone for Over 2.5 Goals and both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

 
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$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marseille vs Lens Prediction
Up to $150 to bet on Marseille - Lens! 

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