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Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille are set to return to Ligue 1 action for 2025 with a home match against Le Havre. Les Phoceens go into the Sunday game placed second while their visitors are second from bottom. We have the prediction for this match below.
From the first half of the season, Marseille bagged 30 points. That is 10 behind league leaders and champions PSG. With PSG out in Doha, Marseille will look to cut the gap.
The hosts had a good finish to 2024 and will hope to pick up from where they left. In their latest outing, they thrashed Saint Etienne 4-0 in the French Cup. With that, they registered a fourth win in five matches.
While Marseille are enjoying top form, Le Havre are really struggling, at least by last year’s standards. The visiting side managed just two wins in the last 13 matches across all competitions.
In their last match of 2024, Le Havre were humiliated by National 2 side Stade Briochin. They lost that game 1-0 away from home. With that defeat, they have now lost each of the last four matches and failed to score in three of them.
Across all competitions, they’ve played eight away matches, and only avoided defeat in two.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Le Havre Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.25 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 5 | 11 |
|
|
1.53 | 3 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.74 | 10.4 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.74 | 10.4 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.5 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.55 | 9.9 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.55 | 9.9 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.6 | 10 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.55 | 9.9 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.6 | 10 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.25 | 10 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.4 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.29 | 5 | 11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Le Havre?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Le Havre match is: Marseille to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/01/2025 between Marseille and Le Havre in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.28% for a win of Marseille against Le Havre with odds of 1.53 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Le Havre is 13.73% with odds of 5.74 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Le Havre vs Marseille with odds of 11.5 at Unibet.
Marseille - Le Havre Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille Le Havre Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 69.28% | 1.53 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.12% | 1.92 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | 2.3 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Marseille | 28.16% | 4 at Betsson |
Marseille vs Le Havre Form
Marseille and Le Havre's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
33 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
|
17
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | -22 |
Marseille and Le Havre Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Le Havre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
Marseille against Le Havre Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
P. Lirola
MidfielderV. Carboni
G. Kondogbia
ForwardF. Moumbagna
D. Mosengo
C. Operi
O. Targhalline
M. Bodmer
ForwardJ. Casimir
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Le Havre
M. Greenwood
(10 Goals)
N. Maupay
(4 Assists)
C. Operi
(2 Assists)
,
Y. Zouaoui
(2 Assists)
Marseille - Le Havre Key Points
- Marseille have eight straight wins against Le Havre.
- Le Havre scored once in five league meetings with Marseille.
- Le Havre lost their last four matches, failing to score in three.
- Marseille are unbeaten in five matches, winning four.
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Our Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction
If ever Marseille wish to improve on their home form, such are the matches for that. The hosts are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four but at home they have just a win in five. They’ve dominated previous meetings with Le Havre who are not only doing badly, but are also struggling in attack.
In three of their four defeats, the visitors failed to score, while Marseille have two clean sheets in their last three games. Our prediction for Marseille v Le Havre is for Marseille to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Le Havre
| Marseille vs Le Havre | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 5.25 | -4.5% |
| Le Havre wins | 8.5 | 9.5 | +11.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 76.9% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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