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Europe - Europa League

Marseille
05 Oct 2023 12:45
Brighton

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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Marseille vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

 by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions

Second placed Marseille host Brighton and Hove Albion (who are third) in Group B of the Europa League. Both clubs are looking to win their first group match and had poor results at the weekend. Marseille are 12th in Ligue 1, while their opponents are sixth in the Premier League and were recently also knocked out of the Carabao Cup. A win for either of these two clubs will put them in contention to qualify for the knockout stages. Defeat though will leave a club looking at hoping to finish third and be moved into the Europa Conference League knockout play-off round. Marseille will hope that home advantage will pay off for them. For Brighton it's just an exciting night as they play their first away European fixture.
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Marseille vs Brighton Form

Marseille and Brighton's standings in the Europa League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Brighton
Brighton
13 6 4 1 1 5
2
Marseille
Marseille
11 6 3 2 1 4

Marseille and Brighton Last Matches

Marseille
Marseille Last matches
W D D D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1

Monaco
3 :  2
Marseille

24 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  0
Marseille

21 Sep 2023 - Europa League

Ajax
3 :  3
Marseille

17 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  0
Toulouse

1 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
Marseille

26 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  0
Brest
L L W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  0
Toulouse

26 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  0
Brest

15 Aug 2023 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

12 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  1
Reims

27 May 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  2
Brest

14 May 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  1
Angers
L D D D L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1

Monaco
3 :  2
Marseille

24 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  0
Marseille

21 Sep 2023 - Europa League

Ajax
3 :  3
Marseille

1 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
Marseille

18 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  2
Marseille

9 Aug 2023 - Champions League

Panathinaikos Athens
1 :  0
Marseille
Brighton
Brighton Last matches
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
6 :  1
Brighton

27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Brighton

24 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  1
Bournemouth

21 Sep 2023 - Europa League

Brighton
2 :  3
AEK Athens

16 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  3
Brighton

2 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  1
Newcastle
D W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

24 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  1
Bournemouth

21 Sep 2023 - Europa League

Brighton
2 :  3
AEK Athens

2 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  1
Newcastle

26 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  3
West Ham

12 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  1
Luton Town

24 May 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Manchester City
L W W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
6 :  1
Brighton

27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Brighton

16 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  3
Brighton

19 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  4
Brighton

28 May 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Brighton

18 May 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  1
Brighton
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Marseille - Brighton: Form Analysis

Marseille have one thing in common with their opponents. They, like Brighton and Hove Albion, come into this match hoping to avoid a third successive defeat. The French club did well to earn a point from their opening Europa League group fixture. They trailed Ajax 2-0 and 3-2 and needed a late goal to come home with a 3-3 draw. They aren't having the best of Ligue 1 seasons and are 12th in the table. Only two of their first seven games have been won in that league but they are only five points behind leaders Monaco. Their two most recent matches have produced defeats at PSG and Monaco. The latter was disappointing as they led 1-0 and 2-1. With ten goals conceded in their last tightened three games they do need to up at the back. They come into this match having gone five games without a win. Home form has seen them two of their last five competitive fixtures.

It's a big match for Brighton as they play their first away game in European competition. They got off to a poor start in their opening Europa League group game with a 3-2 home loss to AEK Athens. Brighton conceded an early goal in their first ever European game but equalized with the first of two penalties they were awarded in that game. AEK regained the lead by half time but Brighton's second penalty levelled the game. The Greek side got the winner in the 84th minute leaving Brighton to play catch-up in this group. The Seagulls made several team changes and that went against them. It's been an up and down season at times for the Albion. There have been some impressive wins over sides such as Newcastle and Manchester United but also a 3-1 home loss to West Ham and at the weekend a 6-1 thrashing at Aston Villa. It'll be interesting to see what line-up is chosen for this game as they dare not start this group with two successive defeats. That's especially the case as their next two games in this group are both against Ajax.

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Marseille against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11

Marseille

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

16
P. Lopez
7
J. Clauss
99
C. Mbemba
5
L. Balerdi
62
A. Murillo
11
A. Harit
27
J. Veretout
21
V. Rongier
20
J. Correa
10
P. Aubameyang
29
I. Ndiaye
18
D. Welbeck
31
A. Fati
22
K. Mitoma
7
S. March
13
P. Gross
8
M. Dahoud
34
J. Veltman
5
L. Dunk
29
J. Van Hecke
2
T. Lamptey
23
J. Steele

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Brighton

Marseille & Brighton Squad Analysis

Brighton and Hove Albion have Pascal Gross, Evan Ferguson and James Milner doubtful for this match against Marseille. It remains to be seen if coach Roberto De Zerbi will make changes as he did when his side faced AEK Athens in their previous Europa League game but it's likely that will happen. 

Marseille will be witout Geoffrey Kondogbia for this match againsho bot Brighton and Hove Albion due to a groin injury. Back from time out the side are both Sarr and Ndiaye who both have experience of English football having played for Watford and Sheffield United respectively. A 4-3-3 formation is expected to be played by The Olympians. They'll be hoping for more goals from Aubameyang who scored twice in the draw at Ajax. He's shown good form against Brighton in the past with three goals against the English Premier League club. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Marseille
CD Huachipato Brighton
Top Goalscorer
Gabon P. Aubameyang (27 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil J. Pedro (15 Goals)
Best assists
Gabon P. Aubameyang (11 Assists)
Best assists
Germany P. Gross (11 Assists)

Marseille - Brighton Key Points

  1. Six of the last nine Marseille games have seen both teams score.
  2. Both teams have scored in the last two games Marseille have played in European competition.
  3. Eight of the last nine Brighton games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
  4. Both teams have scored in five of the last six Brighton away league and cup games.
  5. The last three European home games played by Marseille have seen both teams score.
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Our Marseille vs Brighton Prediction

Both clubs had poor weekends and have work to do in this Europa League group. Marseille have a point which is one more than the Seagulls have after a home loss to AEK Athens. Keeping clean sheets is often difficult for both 'The Youngs from Marseille' and Brighton, though it's a different story when it comes scoring to themselves, Brighton in particular are a side that always look dangerous when moving forward but conceding those nine goals against AEK and Aston Villa indicate problems at the back. Our  Marseille v Brighton  prediction is for both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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Marseille vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5 goals

Odds 1.48
Eight of the last nine Brighton and Hove Albion games have had over 2.5 goals scored in them. The opening Marseille game in this Europa League group saw six goals scored. Each of their last three games have had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Over 1.5 goals in the first half

Odds 2.2
The last three Marseille fixtures have all seen over 1.5 goals scored in the first half. This stat has also come up in three of the last four Brighton matches.
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Marseille vs Brighton match : Frequently asked questions

This Europa League game between Marseille and Brighton is being played on Thursday 5 October with a17:45 KO, that's UK time.
This is a home game for Marseille in the Europa League. They will therefore be hosting Brighton and Hove Albion at the Stade Velodrome in Marseille.
You will need to be a subscriber to TNT Sports to see this match live. If not, you can visit the Sportytrader Livescore page for all the latest news and statistics from this Europa League fixture.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marseille vs Brighton Prediction
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