Spain - Copa del Rey
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Marbella vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
by Daniel Ngulu in Football Predictions
Atletico Madrid will face third tier side Marbella in round 32 of Copa del Rey. Read on for our prediction of this match.
This is the first time Marbella have advanced this far in the Copa in 15 years. Their best performance in the tournament was in 2010 when they reached the fourth round. Coincidentally, it is Atletico who ended their campaign then with an 8-0 aggregate victory.
Carlos de Lerma’s men defeated Bergantinos 2-1 in the first round. To book this slot, they beat Burgos 1-0. The win over Burgos kickstarted a four match unbeaten run that has seen them win twice. Marbella are coming off a 3-1 league success away to Recreativo Huelva.
Heading to the South, La Liga leaders Atletico are putting their 12-game winning streak on the line. Diego Simione’s men haven’t lost since a 1-0 setback to Real Betis in October.
In this winning streak, Los Rojiblancos have scored at least three goals a game five times.
The 10 time Copa champions began this season’s tournament with a 2-0 victory away to Vic. That success kickstarted their current streak. To advance to this round, the visitors battled from a goal down to eliminate Cacereno 3-1 away from home.
Atleti, who reached the Copa semis last season, are coming off a 2-1 league win away to Barcelona.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marbella v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17 | 7.5 | 1.13 |
|
|
17 | 8 | 1.11 |
|
|
11 | 4.2 | 1.28 |
|
|
17.2 | 7.58 | 1.14 |
|
|
17.2 | 7.58 | 1.14 |
|
|
17 | 7.25 | 1.15 |
|
|
24 | 9.9 | 1.1 |
|
|
24 | 9.9 | 1.1 |
|
|
17 | 7.8 | 1.12 |
|
|
23 | 9.7 | 1.1 |
|
|
21 | 9.4 | 1.14 |
|
|
23 | 8.5 | 1.08 |
|
|
23 | 9 | 1.13 |
|
|
23 | 8.5 | 1.11 |
|
|
23 | 9.5 | 1.13 |
|
|
19 | 8.5 | 1.11 |
|
|
21 | 8.75 | 1.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marbella and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Marbella vs Atletico Madrid match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2025 between Marbella and Atletico Madrid in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.81% for a win of Marbella against Atletico Madrid with odds of 24 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marbella vs Atletico Madrid is 15.89% with odds of 9.9 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 64.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Marbella with odds of 1.28 at Ladbrokes.
Marbella - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marbella Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 64.3% | 1.28 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.23% | |
| Both Team To Score | 54.76% | 2.38 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time: Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 28.71% | 1.61 at Ladbrokes |
Marbella vs Atletico Madrid Form
Marbella and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Primera Federación
14 Dec 2024 - Primera Federación
8 Dec 2024 - Primera Federación
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
1 Dec 2024 - Primera Federación
24 Nov 2024 - Primera Federación
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Primera Federación
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
24 Nov 2024 - Primera Federación
10 Nov 2024 - Primera Federación
26 Oct 2024 - Primera Federación
12 Oct 2024 - Primera Federación
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Primera Federación
8 Dec 2024 - Primera Federación
1 Dec 2024 - Primera Federación
20 Nov 2024 - Primera Federación
16 Nov 2024 - Primera Federación
30 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
Missing players
E. Granero
Most goals and assists
Marbella
Atletico Madrid
A. Griezmann
(11 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Llorente
(6 Assists)
Marbella - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Seven of Atleti’s last eight matches have seen over 2.5 goals
- Five of Marbella's last seven fixtures produced over 2.5 goals.
- Marbella have kept one clean sheet in their last seven outings.
- Atletico have scored at least three goals five times in their last seven fixtures.
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Our Marbella vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Our prediction for Marbella v Atletico Madrid is for this match to have over 2.5 goals. Atletico are in spectacular form and are coming into this match having won 12 straight games. They have dominated their opponents in this winning streak and only twice have they been kept from scoring more than once.
Their opponents on the other hand, though playing two divisions lower, have been in good goal scoring form. We therefore expect a high scoring affair with the visitors being responsible for the lion’s share of goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marbella Atletico Madrid
| Marbella vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella wins | 9 | 17 | +88.9% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 7.5 | +66.7% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.3 | 1.13 | -13.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 88.5% (11.6%)
Use £30 free bets for the Marbella vs. Atletico Madrid game!
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Try your luck on this year's Copa del Rey! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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