Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Nella Wagah in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
Mara Sugar will play host to Kenyan Premier League title chasers Tusker FC this Sunday. A tough run of form in recent outings have Mara Sugar in 11th place while Tusker are second with 25 rounds of matches played. Below is our preview and prediction of the match.
While Mara Sugar sit five places above the drop zone, they are only separated from the bottom three by four points. They are coming from a 2-1 away loss at Mathare United which left them winless across the last five league matches.
The Awendo based team has managed just three wins in the last 18 league games.
In November, these two teams met for the first time ever, and Tusker emerged 2-1 winners. The Brewers will be looking to complete a double over the league newcomers.
After a difficult run in recent matches, some stability is coming back at Tusker and two straight wins have helped them stay in the title race. The Ruaraka-based side is coming from a 1-0 win over Bidco United.
That and the earlier 2-1 win over Posta Rangers softened the blow of their elimination from the Shield Cup by second tier side Nairobi United.
Away from home, Tusker are unbeaten in four league matches, winning two and keeping four clean sheets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mara Sugar FC v Tusker Football Club Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13.6 | 1.09 | 10.9 |
|
|
13.6 | 1.09 | 10.9 |
|
|
3.35 | 2.95 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.55 | 2.85 | 2.28 |
|
|
13 | 1.1 | 11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mara Sugar FC and Tusker Football Club?
Our prediction for the Mara Sugar FC vs Tusker Football Club match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/04/2025 between Mara Sugar FC and Tusker Football Club in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.38% for a win of Mara Sugar FC against Tusker Football Club with odds of 13.6 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mara Sugar FC vs Tusker Football Club is 27.99% with odds of 2.95 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Tusker Football Club vs Mara Sugar FC with odds of 11 at Vbet.
Mara Sugar FC - Tusker Football Club Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mara Sugar FC Tusker Football Club Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Tusker Football Club wins | 46.63% | 11 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.38% | 5.8 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 2.26 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Tusker Football Club | 22.56% | 5 at Betfair |
Mara Sugar FC vs Tusker Football Club Form
Mara Sugar FC and Tusker Football Club's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
48 | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
|
13
|
29 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
Mara Sugar FC and Tusker Football Club Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Mara Sugar FC vs Tusker Football Club Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
27 Nov 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Mara Sugar FC - Tusker Football Club Key Points
- Tusker kept clean sheets in their last four away league matches.
- Tusker’s last five away league matches produced five goals.
- Four of Tusker FC’s last five league matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Three of Mara Sugar’s last four matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Mara Sugar scored four goals in their last five matches.
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Our Mara Sugar FC vs Tusker Football Club Prediction
Mara Sugar will be looking to make use of home advantage when Tusker visit. They’ve lost three times in their last 10 home league matches but the larger part of these matches were low-scoring. Seven of their previous 10 matches, for example, produced under 2.5 goals.
The team, scoring 27 goals in 25 matches points to just about a goal per game average. Meanwhile, Tusker managed just three goals in their last five away matches. Based on such numbers, our prediction for Mara Sugar v Tusker would be for under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mara Sugar FC Tusker Football Club
| Mara Sugar FC vs Tusker Football Club | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mara Sugar FC wins | 3.07 | 13.6 | +343.0% |
| Draw | 3 | 1.09 | -63.7% |
| Tusker Football Club wins | 2.27 | 10.9 | +380.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Tusker Football Club is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 380.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.1% and is now 9.2% (-34.9%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Mara Sugar FC vs. Tusker Football Club game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Mara Sugar FC and Tusker Football Club when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Kenyan Premier League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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