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Manchester United vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester United
16/01/2025 14:00
Southampton

Prediction :

 

Half Time: Manchester United, Full Time: Manchester United

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions

Manchester United have had a good year so far and look to continue that when hosting Southampton on Thursday evening. United are 13th in the Premier League before this latest set of games begin, while the Saints are rock bottom. Here's our match prediction.

2025 has so far seen the Red Devils draw at Liverpool and then beat Arsenal on penalties in the FA Cup.  A clean sheet still eludes them with the last one they managed being on December 1 against goal-shy Everton. Three of their next four league games are at Old Trafford and they will be out to get as many points as possible from them.

Southampton had a rare win in the FA Cup on Sunday. They are in deep relegation trouble in the Premier League with just six points from 20 matches. That has left them ten points from safety. virtually 11 because of their appalling -32 goal difference and only one league game has been won this season. They have a tough fixture list in coming weeks and a return to the Championship is looking very likely.

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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Southampton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.27 6 10
Betfred
1.25 6 12
Ladbrokes
1.25 6 10
1xbet
1.3 6.16 9.91
22bet
1.3 6.16 9.91
Check all Manchester United vs Southampton odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Southampton?

Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Southampton match is: Manchester United to win and lead at half and full time.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/01/2025 between Manchester United and Southampton in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.21% for a win of Manchester United against Southampton with odds of 1.3 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Southampton is 22.52% with odds of 6.4 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Manchester United with odds of 12 at Betfred.

Manchester United - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:

Manchester United Southampton Prediction Probability Odds
Manchester United wins 57.21% 1.3 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 50.53% 2.6 at William Hill
Both Team To Score 34.17%
Half-time / Full-time : Manchester United/Manchester United 24.6% 1.83 at Bet365

Manchester United vs Southampton Form

Manchester United and Southampton's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14
Manchester United
Manchester United
38 33 10 8 15 -8
20
Southampton
Southampton
11 33 2 5 26 -54

Manchester United and Southampton Last Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United Last matches
L L L L D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Arsenal
1 :  1
Manchester United

5 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Manchester United

30 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
Newcastle

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  0
Manchester United

22 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  3
Bournemouth

19 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup

Tottenham
4 :  3
Manchester United
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
Newcastle

22 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  3
Bournemouth

7 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  3
Nottingham Forest

1 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  0
Everton

28 Nov 2024 - Europa League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Bodoe/Glimt

10 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  0
Leicester
W W L L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Arsenal
1 :  1
Manchester United

5 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Manchester United

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  0
Manchester United

19 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup

Tottenham
4 :  3
Manchester United

15 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United

12 Dec 2024 - Europa League

Viktoria Plzen
1 :  2
Manchester United
Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L D L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton
3 :  0
Swansea

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  5
Brentford

29 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  1
Southampton

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  1
West Ham

22 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  0
Southampton

18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
1 :  2
Liverpool
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton
3 :  0
Swansea

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  5
Brentford

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  1
West Ham

18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
1 :  2
Liverpool

15 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  5
Tottenham

4 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  5
Chelsea
L L D L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  1
Southampton

22 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  0
Southampton

7 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Southampton

29 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Southampton

9 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  0
Southampton

26 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Southampton

Manchester United vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

50 %

Draw

50 %

Southampton

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
33%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

14 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Manchester United

12 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Southampton

27 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  1
Manchester United

12 Feb 2022 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Southampton

22 Aug 2021 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Manchester United

2 Feb 2021 - Premier League

Manchester United
9 :  0
Southampton
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Manchester United - Southampton: Form Analysis

There are two ways of looking at Manchester United's current form. Yes, they drew at Liverpool and then beat Arsenal on penalties. However, over 90 minutes the Reds have gone six games without a win. It's also ten successive games in which they have conceded a goal.

United need to go on a good run in the Premier League. That's needed as they are 11 points behind the top six and only seven above the relegation zone. Home form for United has seen them win four of their ten league games but lose five.

Southampton are heading back to the Championship.

It's looking rather bleak for Southampton who are eight points adrift at the bottom of the Premier League. The newly-promoted side look set for an immediate return to the Championship. Only Leicester City have been beaten by them in their first 20 league games of this season.

44 goals have been conceded and just two away points earned. Including their last time in the Premier League (2022/23), the Saints have gone 17 away games without a win. The reverse fixture against United saw them lose 3-0.

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Players list

Manchester United
Manchester United
Goalkeeper

A. Onana

Defender

H. Maguire

M. De Ligt

L. Martinez

C. Eriksen

Midfielder

A. Diallo

T. Collyer

Antony

B. Fernandes

Forward

A. Garnacho

J. Zirkzee

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

A. Ramsdale

Defender

Y. Sugawara

N. Wood

T. Harwood-Bellis

J. Bree

K. Walker-Peters

Midfielder

P. Onuachu

F. Downes

A. Armstrong

Forward

W. Smallbone

K. Sulemana

Substitutes

Manchester United
Manchester United
Goalkeeper

A. Bayindir

Defender

T. Malacia

G. Kukonki

H. Maguire

L. Yoro

Midfielder

C. Eriksen

N. Mazraoui

T. Collyer

M. Ugarte

Casemiro

Forward

J. Zirkzee

R. Hojlund

Antony

K. Mainoo

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

A. McCarthy

Defender

N. Wood

J. Bednarek

Midfielder

W. Smallbone

T. Dibling

F. Downes

J. Aribo

R. Manning

A. Lallana

Forward

C. Archer

P. Onuachu

L. Ugochukwu

A. Armstrong

M. Fernandes

Missing players

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

L. Shaw

J. Evans

Southampton
Southampton
Forward

R. Stewart

Manchester United & Southampton Squad Analysis

Manchester United have some selection problems ahead of this home game against Southampton. Diogo Dalot has been suspended after he was sent off against Arsenal last Sunday. Amad Diallo is his likely replacement.

Changes may be made after Sunday's cup tie.

There may also be changes up front with decisions over which two to play from Joshua Zirkzee, Amad Diallo, Alejandro Garnacho and Rasmus Hojlund. Tyrell Malacia and Leny Yoro could also come into the team. Marcus Rashford is unlikely to feature in this match. There's still plenty of talk of him going on loan at some point during this January transfer window and could even leave this week.

Southampton will be missing Ross Stewart and Jack Stephens for this game at Old Trafford. Flynn Downes has been out of the team due to illness. He's gradually getting fit again but is unlikely to play here. They'll hope for more goals from Tyler Dibling who scored twice against Swansea on Sunday.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester United
CD Huachipato Southampton
Top Goalscorer
Portugal B. Fernandes (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Archer (5 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal B. Fernandes (15 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal M. Fernandes (6 Assists)

Manchester United - Southampton Key Points

  1. Manchester United have won four home league games this season.
  2. Southampton have only earned two away points this season.
  3. Southampton have gone 17 away Premier League matches without a win.
  4. Manchester United won the reverse fixture 3-0.
  5. Southampton have lost eight away league games this season, six saw them behind at half and full time.
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Our Manchester United vs Southampton Prediction

Manchester United still have plenty of problems but they seem to be slowly turning a corner. Qualifying for European football next season might only be achieved if they win a cup competition. 

They are yet to win two consecutive league games this season and that desperately needs to be changed. Southampton haven't even won two league games this season. Just two away points have been earned by the Saints with eight matches lost.

Our main Manchester United v Southampton prediction is Manchester United to win and lead at half and full time.

Prediction :

 

Half Time: Manchester United, Full Time: Manchester United

 
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Manchester United vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions

Manchester United to win and over 2.5 goals

Odds 1.73
Manchester United won the reverse fixture against Southampton 3-0. The Reds have scored three goals in their last two matches and they were at Liverpool and Arsenal. This won't be a 9-0 win for the Red Devils as seen four years ago but we should see at least three scored in a United win.
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester United Southampton

Manchester United vs Southampton Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Manchester United wins 1.36 1.27 -6.6%
Draw 5.25 6 +14.3%
Southampton wins 7 10 +42.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Manchester United is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 78.7% (5.2%)

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Manchester United vs Southampton match : Frequently asked questions

This Premier League between Manchester United and Southampton is being played on Thursday January 16. It has a scheduled start of 20:00 UK time.
This is a home match for Manchester United, their first of 2025. That means the game will be played at Old Trafford in Manchester where Southampton havent won since January 23, 2016. That's also their last win over United and 16 games have been played since then.
This Premier League match  is being shown live on TNT Sports, You do need a subscription to watch this channel. To keep in touch with all that's happening as it happens, go to our Premier League livescore which will have live text commentary and updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester United vs Southampton Prediction
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