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Manchester United vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Manchester United have had a good year so far and look to continue that when hosting Southampton on Thursday evening. United are 13th in the Premier League before this latest set of games begin, while the Saints are rock bottom. Here's our match prediction.
2025 has so far seen the Red Devils draw at Liverpool and then beat Arsenal on penalties in the FA Cup. A clean sheet still eludes them with the last one they managed being on December 1 against goal-shy Everton. Three of their next four league games are at Old Trafford and they will be out to get as many points as possible from them.
Southampton had a rare win in the FA Cup on Sunday. They are in deep relegation trouble in the Premier League with just six points from 20 matches. That has left them ten points from safety. virtually 11 because of their appalling -32 goal difference and only one league game has been won this season. They have a tough fixture list in coming weeks and a return to the Championship is looking very likely.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.27 | 6 | 10 |
|
|
1.25 | 6 | 12 |
|
|
1.25 | 6 | 10 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.16 | 9.91 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.16 | 9.91 |
|
|
1.28 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.95 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.95 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.27 | 6 | 10 |
|
|
1.29 | 6.2 | 11 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.2 | 12 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.8 | 10 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.2 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.75 | 11 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.75 | 12 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.5 | 10.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Southampton match is: Manchester United to win and lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/01/2025 between Manchester United and Southampton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.21% for a win of Manchester United against Southampton with odds of 1.3 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Southampton is 22.52% with odds of 6.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Manchester United with odds of 12 at Betfred.
Manchester United - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester United Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 57.21% | 1.3 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.53% | 2.6 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 34.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester United/Manchester United | 24.6% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Manchester United vs Southampton Form
Manchester United and Southampton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
30 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -7 |
|
20
|
9 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 21 | -42 |
Manchester United and Southampton Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
5 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
5 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
Manchester United vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
12 Mar 2023 - Premier League
27 Aug 2022 - Premier League
12 Feb 2022 - Premier League
22 Aug 2021 - Premier League
2 Feb 2021 - Premier League
Manchester United - Southampton: Form Analysis
There are two ways of looking at Manchester United's current form. Yes, they drew at Liverpool and then beat Arsenal on penalties. However, over 90 minutes the Reds have gone six games without a win. It's also ten successive games in which they have conceded a goal.
United need to go on a good run in the Premier League. That's needed as they are 11 points behind the top six and only seven above the relegation zone. Home form for United has seen them win four of their ten league games but lose five.
Southampton are heading back to the Championship.
It's looking rather bleak for Southampton who are eight points adrift at the bottom of the Premier League. The newly-promoted side look set for an immediate return to the Championship. Only Leicester City have been beaten by them in their first 20 league games of this season.
44 goals have been conceded and just two away points earned. Including their last time in the Premier League (2022/23), the Saints have gone 17 away games without a win. The reverse fixture against United saw them lose 3-0.
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Manchester United against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Missing players
L. Shaw
J. Evans
MidfielderM. Mount
R. Stewart
Manchester United & Southampton Squad Analysis
Manchester United have some selection problems ahead of this home game against Southampton. Diogo Dalot has been suspended after he was sent off against Arsenal last Sunday. Amad Diallo is his likely replacement.
Changes may be made after Sunday's cup tie.
There may also be changes up front with decisions over which two to play from Joshua Zirkzee, Amad Diallo, Alejandro Garnacho and Rasmus Hojlund. Tyrell Malacia and Leny Yoro could also come into the team. Marcus Rashford is unlikely to feature in this match. There's still plenty of talk of him going on loan at some point during this January transfer window and could even leave this week.
Southampton will be missing Ross Stewart and Jack Stephens for this game at Old Trafford. Flynn Downes has been out of the team due to illness. He's gradually getting fit again but is unlikely to play here. They'll hope for more goals from Tyler Dibling who scored twice against Swansea on Sunday.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
Southampton
A. Diallo
(9 Goals)
, 
B. Fernandes
(9 Goals)
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(11 Assists)
M. Fernandes
(5 Assists)
Manchester United - Southampton Key Points
- Manchester United have won four home league games this season.
- Southampton have only earned two away points this season.
- Southampton have gone 17 away Premier League matches without a win.
- Manchester United won the reverse fixture 3-0.
- Southampton have lost eight away league games this season, six saw them behind at half and full time.
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Our Manchester United vs Southampton Prediction
Manchester United still have plenty of problems but they seem to be slowly turning a corner. Qualifying for European football next season might only be achieved if they win a cup competition.
They are yet to win two consecutive league games this season and that desperately needs to be changed. Southampton haven't even won two league games this season. Just two away points have been earned by the Saints with eight matches lost.
Our main Manchester United v Southampton prediction is Manchester United to win and lead at half and full time.
Prediction :
Half Time: Manchester United, Full Time: Manchester United
Manchester United vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions
Manchester United to win and over 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester United Southampton
| Manchester United vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 1.36 | 1.27 | -6.6% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 6 | +14.3% |
| Southampton wins | 7 | 10 | +42.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 78.7% (5.2%)
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Manchester United vs Southampton match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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