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Manchester United vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Devesh Jaganath in Europa League Predictions
Manchester United will look to secure their first win of the 2024-25 Europa League season when they face PAOK at Old Trafford on Thursday evening. The Red Devils are in 21st place in League Phase standings, while Dikefalos tou Vorra are 30th after the first three games of the competition. Check out our match prediction below.
These two sides have never met in any competition in the past, but Man United have won all six of their previous matches against Greek opponents, scoring 20 goals while conceding just one in that time. PAOK have taken on English opposition six times in their history and have split the results (W2 D2 L2).
The hosts are massive favourites at the books for this match, but they are without a permanent manager at the helm and have been struggling to find wins this season. Can the visitors upset the odds in this one? Let’s jump into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v PAOK Thessaloniki Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 6.25 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 6 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.79 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.79 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.25 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.8 | 12 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.55 | 11 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.4 | 10 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.75 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 7 | 13 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.25 | 7.1 | 12 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and PAOK Thessaloniki?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs PAOK Thessaloniki match is: Over 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/11/2024 between Manchester United and PAOK Thessaloniki in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.66% for a win of Manchester United against PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 1.27 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs PAOK Thessaloniki is 25.2% with odds of 7.1 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.14% chance ⭐ for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki vs Manchester United with odds of 13 at Betsson.
Manchester United - PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester United PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 43.66% | 1.27 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.1% | 1.53 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester United/Manchester United | 17.85% | 1.75 at Ladbrokes |
Manchester United vs PAOK Thessaloniki Form
Manchester United and PAOK Thessaloniki's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
|
33
|
1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 |
Manchester United and PAOK Thessaloniki Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Superleague
30 Oct 2024 - Greece Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Superleague
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
20 Oct 2024 - Superleague
6 Oct 2024 - Superleague
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Superleague
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
29 Sep 2024 - Superleague
15 Sep 2024 - Superleague
25 Aug 2024 - Superleague
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Superleague
30 Oct 2024 - Greece Cup
20 Oct 2024 - Superleague
6 Oct 2024 - Superleague
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Superleague
Manchester United - PAOK Thessaloniki: Form Analysis
Manchester United are having a very poor 2024-25 season, and are yet to win a match in Europe, having drawn each of their first three games against Twente, Porto and Fenerbahce respectively.
Back home in the Premier League, the Red Devils are in 13th place and have managed just 12 points from their first 10 games of the campaign - their worst-ever start to a top-flight season.
Following a 1-1 draw against Chelsea at the weekend, United have now won only two of their last 10 games in all competitions and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five.
Man United have failed to win any of their last six major European matches (W0 D4 L2)!
Meanwhile, following back-to-back losses to Galatasaray and FCSB, PAOK finally got their first point in this competition by playing out a 2-2 draw against Viktoria Plzen last time out.
With those results, the Double-Headed Eagle of the North has now lost five and drawn one of their last six Europa League games, dating back to a 4-1 win over BATE in October 2018.
The visitors' only away game in this season’s Europa League ended in a 3-1 loss to Gala, though they are unbeaten in their last four on the road across all competitions (W3 D1 L0).
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Manchester United against PAOK Thessaloniki Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
L. Yoro
T. Malacia
L. Shaw
H. Maguire
MidfielderK. Mainoo
Manchester United & PAOK Thessaloniki Squad Analysis
Interim Man United boss Ruud van Nistelrooy is expected to be without at least seven first-team players for this match, as he looks to orchestrate their first win in the competition this season.
Four of those absentees are in defence, with Leny Yoro (foot), Tyrell Malacia (knee), Luke Shaw (calf) and Harry Maguire (muscle) all currently ruled out due to injury.
In midfield, Mason Mount is flagged as a major doubt having only resumed training on Monday, while Kobbie Mainoo is sidelined until the next international break and Antony is out for the foreseeable future.
Bruno Fernandes will be eligible to return to the team this week having served his one-match suspension!
Giannis Konstantelias scored PAOK’s only goal against Galatasaray in the first match of the competition but will not be part of the travelling squad this week due to an illness.
The Greek international will be joined on the sidelines by backup goalkeeper Antonis Tsiftsis and former Chelsea man Tiemoue Bakayoko, both of whom are ruled out through injury.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
PAOK Thessaloniki
A. Garnacho
(6 Goals)
S. Schwab
(4 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(6 Assists)
K. Despodov
(3 Assists)
Manchester United - PAOK Thessaloniki Key Points
- Five of Manchester United’s last eight games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Manchester United have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches.
- Manchester United have scored in all three of their Europa League matches this season.
- Each of PAOK’s last four matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- PAOK have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 away games in all competitions.
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Our Manchester United vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction
While Manchester United are installed as clear favourites in this contest, it’s difficult to back them with much confidence given their record this season both in this competition and in the Premier League.
Indeed, PAOK arguably represents the easiest opponent the Red Devils have faced in Europe this season, but the Greek outfit carries proper attacking threat and will fancy their chances against a leaky United defence. Therefore, our Manchester United vs PAOK prediction: Over 2.5!
Manchester United vs PAOK Thessaloniki - Other Interesting Predictions
PAOK Over 0.5
PAOK have scored in 13 consecutive away games across all competitions dating back to April 11. Additionally, Man United have only managed to keep one clean sheet in their last nine Europa League matches.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester United PAOK Thessaloniki
| Manchester United vs PAOK Thessaloniki | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 1.24 | 1.25 | +0.8% |
| Draw | 6 | 6.25 | +4.2% |
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 11.5 | 10.5 | -8.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.6% and is now 80.0% (-0.6%)
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Manchester United vs PAOK Thessaloniki match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Europa League match between Manchester United and PAOK will be played on November 7 at 20:00 GMT.
The UEFA Europa League match between Manchester United and PAOK will take place at Old Trafford in Manchester.
The UEFA Europa League match between Manchester United and PAOK will be broadcast on TNT Sports 2 and discovery+ in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Europa League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Radu Petrescu will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Radu Ghinguleac, Mircea Mihail Grigoriu and Marcel Birsan as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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